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Post by hempie on Sept 24, 2015 7:08:33 GMT
Derbyshire, Derwent Valley: Con 44, LD 22, Lab 17, UKIP 17 Norfolk, Loddon: Con 52, Lab 18, LD 17, UKIP 13 South Norfolk, Chedgrave & Thurton: Con 53, Lab 18, LD 17, UKIP 12 Wakefield, Pontefract North: Lab 54, Con 18, UKIP 16, LD 5, YF 5, TUSC 2 Wyre Forest, Blakebrook and South Habberley: Con 33, Lab 26, UKIP 14, HC 14, LD 7, Green 6
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Sept 24, 2015 7:40:10 GMT
Ugh, on the late train, and no wifi.
Derbyshire CC, Derwent Valley: C 45.6, L 21.3, LD 19.7, UKIP 13.4. Norfolk CC, Loddon: C 52.2, LD 20.7, L 15.6, UKIP 11.5. South Norfolk DC, Chedgrave & Thurton: C 50.3, LD 19.6, L 18.6, UKIP 11.5. Wakefield MB, Pontefract N: L 53.0, C 19.8, UKIP 16.8, YF 5.1, LD 4.1, TUSC 1.2. Wyre Forest DC, Blakebrook & S Habberley: C 32.6, L 25.4, HC 14.7, UKIP 13.8, G 7.3, LD 6.2.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 24, 2015 8:06:08 GMT
Wakefield MB - Pontefract North Lab 50.9% Con 22.1% UKIP 16.3% YF 6.6% LD 2.3% TUSC 1.8% Derbyshire CC - Derwent Valley Con 48.4% LD 19.9% Lab 18.3% UKIP 13.4% Norfolk CC - Loddon Con 59.5% Lab 16.7% UKIP 12.4% LD 11.4% South Norfolk DC - Chedgrave & Thurton Con 54.7% Lab 18.5% LD 13.6% UKIP 13.2% Wyre Forest BC - Blakebrook & South Habberley Con 33.7% Lab 23.5% HC 17.8% UKIP 15.6% Grn 4.8% LD 4.6%
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 24, 2015 8:54:49 GMT
Derbyshire: Con 46.4 Lab 21.6 UKIP 19.2 LD 12.8 Norfolk: Con 60.8 Lab 15.4 LD 12.0 UKIP 11.8 South Norfolk: Con 54.0 Lab 18.6 LD 15.1 UKIP 12.3 Wakefield: Lab 52.8 Con 20.6 UKIP 12.4 YF 9.1 LD 4.2 TUSC 0.9 Wyre Forest: Con 34.5 Lab 19.4 UKIP 16.2 HC 14.1 Grn 8.9 LD 6.9
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Post by lennon on Sept 24, 2015 9:27:32 GMT
Gah.... Massive bunch of personal stuff came up last night and this morning. Will be a pass from me this week and apologies.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 24, 2015 10:08:29 GMT
There's considerable uniformity in the predictions this week. Doesn't look like there's much chance of anyone else breaking into the top 3
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 24, 2015 15:42:27 GMT
10 entries this week with Lennon opting out. Everyone predicts holds in all 5 by-elections. I have taken Maxque's TF to be YF (Yorkshire First).
Derbyshire: Conservative majority ranging from 14% over Liberal Democrat (Robert Waller) to 31% over Labour (David Boothroyd) Norfolk: Conservative majority ranging from 31% over Labour (Maxque) to 45.4% over Labour (Tony Otim) South Norfolk: Conservative majority ranging from 22% over Liberal Democrat (David Boothroyd) to 42% over Liberal Democrat (Just Looking) Wakefield: Labour majority ranging from 17% over Yorkshire First (Just Looking) to 36% over Conservative (hempie) Wyre Forest: Conservative majority ranging from 4% over Labour (David Boothroyd) to 18% over Labour (Robert Waller)
It is still possible in theory for Maxque, Pete Whitehead and David Boothroyd to win but it is a big, big ask.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 24, 2015 23:16:54 GMT
Subject to verification, it looks for the month like:
Tony Otim / Arthur Figgis / hempie / Maxque / Pete Whitehead / David Boothroyd / Mark Senior / Greenhert / Robert Waller / Just Looking
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 25, 2015 7:29:15 GMT
Congratulations to Tony for the week and the month
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 25, 2015 7:51:38 GMT
Derbyshire, Derwent Valley David Boothroyd 8.2 faults, Greenhert 10.8, Arthur Figgis 11.0, Pete Whitehead 11.4, Tony Otim 12.4, Maxque 14.8, Mark Senior 19.1, hempie 22.8, Robert Waller 27.1, Just Looking 33.2
Norfolk, Loddon Greenhert & Pete Whitehead 5.5 faults, Tony Otim 7.6, David Boothroyd & Just Looking 8.3, hempie 11.2, Robert Waller 13.5, Maxque 14.0, Mark Senior 15.5, Arthur Figgis 16.9
South Norfolk, Chedgrave & Thurston Pete Whitehead 2.5 faults, Tony Otim 2.8, Maxque 5.3, hempie 5.6, Greenhert 7.3, Mark Senior 9.3, Robert Waller 10.6, Arthur Figgis 10.8, Just Looking 20.6, David Boothroyd 27.6
Wakefield, Pontefract North Maxque 16.5 faults, Arthur Figgis 18.1, hempie & Robert Waller 18.9, Pete Whithead 19.7, Mark Senior 20.9, Greenhert 22.9, Tony Otim 24.4, David Boothroyd 24.5, Just Looking 48.9
Wyre Forest, Blakebrook & South Habberley Tony Otim 17.9 faults, Maxque 21.8, Robert Waller 25.1, David Boothroyd 26.4, Mark Senior 27.1, Greenhert 27.8, Pete Whitehead 28.9, Arthur Figgis 29.7, hempie 31.1, Just Looking 40.4
and for the week Tony Otim 65.2 faults, Pete Whitehead 68.0, Maxque 72.5, Greenhert 74.4, Arthur Figgis 86.6, hempie 89.7, Mark Senior 91.9, David Boothroyd 95.0, Robert Waller 95.2, Just Looking 151.3
and for September
295.4 Tony Otim 309.5 Arthur Figgis
321.3 hempie 332.4 Maxque
341.4 Pete Whitehead 357.0 David Boothroyd
375.8 Mark Senior 377.7 Greenhert
393.9 Robert Waller 495.0 Just Looking
Objection please by 5.00 pm Saturday
New thread for October
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 25, 2015 8:58:14 GMT
Congratulations to Tony for the week and the month Thanks.
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 25, 2015 17:23:09 GMT
I must say that I think the standard of prediction was very high this week. Maybe the absence of Independents helped ...
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 26, 2015 9:34:38 GMT
Sometimes I wonder if I didn't make a prediction if I would get a better score.
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