ORB

[iain]

Conservative - 44% (-2%)
Labour - 38% (+4%)
Lib Dem - 7% (-)
UKIP - 5% (-2%)

[Pete Whitehead]

fuck sake. Stupid stupid woman

[cogload]

Next week. Dementia Tax. Repeat, repeat, repeat.

[Tom]

Poll carried out at the same time as the 5% YouGov one.

[Pete Whitehead]

May 27, 2017 20:20:09 GMT cogload said:

Next week. Dementia Tax. Repeat, repeat, repeat.

Well clearly a far larger proportion of the electorate than I had ever imagined are demented so I can see why it's such a live issue

[peterl]

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

[Deleted]

May 27, 2017 20:58:09 GMT peterl said:

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

No doubt you would be celebrating. Shes much more likely to be axed by her own party after a narrowish win than lose the election imo.

[Jack]

May 27, 2017 20:58:09 GMT peterl said:

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

The average lead in tonights polls is nine points.

That's not really that close.

[mrpastelito]

May 27, 2017 21:03:25 GMT joe said:

May 27, 2017 20:58:09 GMT peterl said:

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

No doubt you would be celebrating. Shes much more likely to be axed by her own party after a narrowish win than lose the election imo.

I don't care how the authoritarian bitch is shafted. I really fear I might die from laughter if the Tories actually lose seats instead of increasing their majority. Stupid, stupid woman indeed.

[finsobruce]

May 27, 2017 21:07:15 GMT Jack said:

May 27, 2017 20:58:09 GMT peterl said:

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

The average lead in tonights polls is nine points.

That's not really that close.

It isn't but it's a lot closer than the Tories were anticipating only a fortnight ago..... It's like being upset when someone gives you a £50 note rather than the cheque for £250 you were hoping for.

[Old Fashioned Leftie]

May 27, 2017 21:07:15 GMT Jack said:

May 27, 2017 20:58:09 GMT peterl said:

Three polls in a row have the Tories lead much diminished. With almost two weeks to go, maybe, just maybe, June really will be the end of May.

The average lead in tonights polls is nine points.

That's not really that close.

At the start of the campaign most Labour supporters would have bitten more than your hand off for a nine point Tory lead two weeks before polling.

[maxque]

May 27, 2017 20:22:18 GMT Pete Whitehead said:

May 27, 2017 20:20:09 GMT cogload said:

Next week. Dementia Tax. Repeat, repeat, repeat.

Well clearly a far larger proportion of the electorate than I had ever imagined are demented so I can see why it's such a live issue

The thing is than most of them are old enough to be concerned about it happening soon, or are afraid of not inheriting the family house. It's often the main asset in a will.

[Jack]

[cogload]

Pick a number between x and x. Divide by y and multiply by z. That is your gap.

[The Bishop]

This poll claims that Tories are ahead in all social class groups, even D/Es. Yeah right, that's about as believable as ComRes giving them 47%.

[curiousliberal]

Jun 3, 2017 20:14:45 GMT The Bishop said:

This poll claims that Tories are ahead in all social class groups, even D/Es. Yeah right, that's about as believable as ComRes giving them 47%.

It's worth noting that this poll was taken before the 'debate' (in which Corbyn was perceived to win over May, apparently) as opposed to after it. Its information is a bit more dated than the Survation one.

[The Bishop]

Having the Tories ahead in all "class" groups is highly unusual though, especially given it is *relatively* close overall.

(even some polls with massive Tory leads have had Labour scraping ahead amongst DEs)

[No Offence Alan]

Jun 3, 2017 20:23:24 GMT The Bishop said:

Having the Tories ahead in all "class" groups is highly unusual though, especially given it is *relatively* close overall.

(even some polls with massive Tory leads have had Labour scraping ahead amongst DEs)

The class war is over - the age war has begun.

[Sibboleth]

It's more that it's the kind of thing that indicates pretty sketchy working methods.

[jamie]

ORB have continually showed the worst polling for Brexit (and hard Brexit) but suddenly now show the best for no real reason (if anything things were getting worse at the start of December). Sign of a great pollster.