|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 23, 2015 20:44:48 GMT
Tony Otim's predictions:
Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill: Lab 57.4, UKIP 22.5, Con 16.2, LD 3.9
Caerphilly, New Tredegar: Lab 76.2, UKIP 14.1, Con 9.7
Elmbridge, Long Ditton: LD 46.8, Con 44.6, UKIP 5.4, Green 3.2
NE Lincolnshire, Croft Baker:Lab 42.2, Con 27.2, UKIP 18.6, LD 7.4, Green 2.7, TUSC 1.9
Westminster, Harrow Road: Lab 69.2, Con 24.7, UKIP 6.1
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 23, 2015 21:10:37 GMT
7 entries this week with David Boothroyd getting 4 additional faults for adding to only 96% in Blackburn with Darwen.
His prediction for Westminster Harrow Hill is: Lab 67, Con 28, UKIP 5
Pete Whitehead gets 100 additional faults for having a prediction for a non-existent ward of Vrodt Baker, which cannot be in any part of Lincolnshire!!!
Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill: 100% Labour hold with all but David Boothroyd having UKIP second with majority ranging from 25.4% (Maxque) to 41% (Robert Waller)
Caerphilly, New Tredegar: 100% Labour hold with majority over UKIP ranging from 52% (Robert Waller) to 65.6% (Maxque)
Elmbridge, Long Ditton: 6 Liberal Democrat hold with majoriry ranging from 2% (Maxque) to 12.7% (Pete Whitehead with David Boothroyd Conservative gain
North East Linconshire, Croft Baker: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservative ranging from 14% (hempie) to 23.9% (Pete Whitehead)
Westminster, Harrow Road: 100% Labour hold with majority over Conservbative ranging from 2*% (hempie) to 54.4% (Maxque)
|
|
|
|
Post by dizz on Jul 23, 2015 21:51:45 GMT
7 entries this week with David Boothroyd getting 4 additional faults for adding to only 96% in Blackburn with Darwen. Pete Whitehead gets 100 additional faults for having a prediction for a non-existent ward of Vrodt Baker, which cannot be in any part of Lincolnshire!!! Harsh for an obvious keyboard typo? Vrodt & Croft |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 23, 2015 22:03:15 GMT
7 entries this week with David Boothroyd getting 4 additional faults for adding to only 96% in Blackburn with Darwen. Pete Whitehead gets 100 additional faults for having a prediction for a non-existent ward of Vrodt Baker, which cannot be in any part of Lincolnshire!!! Harsh for an obvious keyboard typo? Vrodt & Croft Maybe, but he should know I know a little bit about Lincolnshire and he is risking a win if he gets things wrong!! |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 24, 2015 6:38:58 GMT
Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill
Pete Whitehead 9.3 faults, Robert Waller 9.7, Tony Otim 11.0, Mark Senior 13.3, hempie 13.6, Maxque 14.8, David Boothroyd 31.3+4
Caerphilly, New Tredegar
Mark Senior 4.0 faults, Maxque 8.5, Tony Otim 12.7, Pete Whitehead 14.9, hempie 19.1, David Boothroyd & Robert Waller 21.1
Elmbridge, Long Ditton
Robert Waller 2.0 faults, Mark Senior 7.6, Pete Whitehead 10.6, Tony Otim 11.6, hempie 12.0, Maxque 15.6, David Boothroyd 17.6+10
North East Lincolnshire, Croft Baker
hempie 17.4 faults, Mark Senior 19.4, Tony Otim 21.7, Pete Whitehead 23.1, David Boothroyd 23.7, Maxque 24.0, Robert Waller 30.0
Westminster, Harrow Road
Maxque 1.4 faults, Robert Waller 5.0, Tony Otim 12.4, Pete Whitehead 14.2, David Boothroyd 16.8, Mark Senior 22.8, hempie 30.8
and for the week:
Maxque 64.3 faults, Mark Senior 67.1, Robert Waller 67.8, Tony Otim 69.5, Pete Whitehead 72.0, hempie 92.8, David Boothroyd 124.5
and with one week of July to come:
561.6 Pete Whitehead
627.3 Robert Waller
631.8 hempie
682.6 Maxque
686.7 Mark Senior
700.3 David Boothroyd
718.6 Tony Otim
Objections please by 5.00 pm Saturday
(If Pete had indeed been penalised for Vrodt Baker he would now be lying third on 638.5 making for a very interesting coming week)
There are 5 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on Thursday.
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Jul 29, 2015 1:34:18 GMT
I predict that the new councillor for Kincorth, Nigg & Cove will be uglier than the previous one they are replacing.
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
|
Post by maxque on Jul 29, 2015 14:16:09 GMT
I predict that the new councillor for Kincorth, Nigg & Cove will be uglier than the previous one they are replacing. You might want to verify, the SNP candidate is another young man (he applied to be candidate in Aberdeen North and seemed to be the agent of Kristy Blackman). |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Jul 29, 2015 15:48:54 GMT
Hilton / Woodside / Stockethill, Aberdeen: SNP 47.1, Lab 40, LD 4.4, Con 4.4, Grn 4.1
Kincorth / Nigg / Cove, Aberdeen: SNP 49, Lab 29, Con 10, LD 7, Grn 5
North Hykeham Mill, North Kesteven: Con 35.3, Hykeham Ind 24.7, Grn 16.2, Lab 14.9, LD 8.9
College, Northumberland: Lab 78.7, UKIP 12.2, LD 5, Con 4.1
Droitwich East, Wychavon: Con 43.8, UKIP 23, Lab 18.4, LD 14.8
|
|
|
|
Post by hempie on Jul 29, 2015 20:24:04 GMT
Aberdeen, Hilton, Woodside, Stockethill: SNP 49, Lab 41, LD 4, Con 3.5, Green 2.5
Aberdeen, Kincorth, Nigg, Cove: SNP 49, Lab 32, Con 9, LD 6, Green 4
North Kesteven,North Hykeham Mill: Con 40, Hykeham Ind 22, Lab 20, LD 12, Green 6
Northumberland, College: Lab 70, UKIP 15, Con 8, LD 7
Wychavon, Droitwich East: Con 42, Lab 24, UKIP 18, LD 16
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on Jul 29, 2015 20:32:48 GMT
Aberdeen, Hilton, Woodside, Stockethill: SNP 47, Lab 41, LD 5, Con 5, Green 2
Aberdeen, Kincorth, Nigg, Cove: SNP 46, Lab 38, Con 6, LD 8, Green 2
North Kesteven,North Hykeham Mill: Con 39, Hykeham Ind 37, Lab 14, LD 6, Green 4
Northumberland, College: Lab 73, UKIP 14, Con 7, LD 6
Wychavon, Droitwich East: Con 44, Lab 26, UKIP 14, LD 16
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 29, 2015 23:51:33 GMT
ABERDEEN Hilton / Woodside / Stockethill: SNP 56, Lab 30, C 10, L Dem 3, SGP 1
ABERDEEN Kincorth / Nigg / Cove: SNP 51, Lab 29, C 12, L Dem 6, SGP 2
NORTH KESTEVEN North Hykeham Mill: Ind 39, C 37, Lab 12, L Dem 8, GP 4
NORTHUMBERLAND College: Lab 79, UKIP 11, C 6, L Dem 4
WYCHAVON Droitwich East: C 50, L Dem 23, Lab 16, UKIP 11
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Jul 30, 2015 6:17:25 GMT
Aberdeen HWS SNP 52 Lab 33 LD 7 Con 5 Green 3
Aberdeen KNC SNP 50 Lab 30 LD 10 Con 7 Green 3
N Kesteven Ind 36 Con 31 LD 16 Lab 12 Green 5
Northumberland Lab 65 LD 23 UKIP 9 Con 3
Wychavon Con 41 Lab 27 LD 17 UKIP 15
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Jul 30, 2015 7:05:20 GMT
A bit of pre season training for next month
Hope you dont mind me having a go today
Aberdeen HWS SNP 60 Lab 30 Green 5 LD 4 Con 3
Aberdeen KNC SNP 60 Lab 30 Green 4 LD 4 Con 2
N Kesteven Ind 45 Con 21 LD 10 Lab 12 Green 2
Northumberland Lab 56 LD 30 Con 9 UKIP 5
Wychavon Con 41 Lab 30 LD 22 UKIP 7
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 30, 2015 8:10:07 GMT
Northumberland UA - College Lab 68.3% LD 14.4% UKIP 12.4% Con 4.9% North Kesteven DC - North Hykeham Mill Ind 36.8% Con 35.4% LD 10.8% Lab 9.1% Grn 7.9% Wychavon DC - Droitwich East Con 40.6% Lab 24.7% UKIP 21.5% LD 13.2% Aberdeen CC - Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill SNP 45.3% Lab 39.4% Con 6.2% LD 5.3% Grn 3.8% Aberdeen CC - Hilton/Woodside/Stockethill SNP 45.8% Lab 34.4% LD 9.5% Con 6.7% Grn 3.6% |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 30, 2015 10:57:09 GMT
I really do not know what Pete Whitehead's prediction for each ward in Scotland is>
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 30, 2015 11:00:43 GMT
FFS. The second one is NIgg etc
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 30, 2015 11:06:08 GMT
To be fair I have a pretty consistent method of ordering the contests which is not strictly alphabetical but goes: London Boroughs, Met boroughs, Unitaries, 2nd tier English districts, Scottish Unitaries, Welsh Unitaries, Within those parameters local authorities will be organised alphabetically and if more than one election is held in the same authority then the wards would be arranged alphabetically. Clearly then the second Aberdeen ward listed is intended to be the second alphabetically, as it appears on everyone else's predictions. I have copied the format from one to the other on my spreadsheet and neglected to change the name. I'm sure no additional faults are warranted in this case, particularly as I made especial effort this week to correctly type the name of the ward in Lincolnshire.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 30, 2015 15:49:36 GMT
To be fair I have a pretty consistent method of ordering the contests which is not strictly alphabetical but goes: London Boroughs, Met boroughs, Unitaries, 2nd tier English districts, Scottish Unitaries, Welsh Unitaries, Within those parameters local authorities will be organised alphabetically and if more than one election is held in the same authority then the wards would be arranged alphabetically. Clearly then the second Aberdeen ward listed is intended to be the second alphabetically, as it appears on everyone else's predictions. I have copied the format from one to the other on my spreadsheet and neglected to change the name. I'm sure no additional faults are warranted in this case, particularly as I made especial effort this week to correctly type the name of the ward in Lincolnshire. 15 additional faults for being up to 3 hours late - you posted at 12.00.43 so just 17 seconds from 20 additional faults. Otherwise elimination for outside assistance - by me, the judge. |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 30, 2015 19:42:44 GMT
Tony Otim's predictions.
Aberdeen, Hilton etc: SNP 52.8, Lab 29.9, LD 6.9, Con 6.7, Green 3.7
Aberdeen, Kincorth etc: SNP 50.6, Lab 27.8, LD 13.2, Con 5.9, Green 2.5
North Kesteven: H Ind 44.2, Con 39.8, Lab 10.2, Green 3.4, LD 2.4
Northumberland: Lab 80.2, LD 7.6, Con 6.5, UKIP 5.7
Wychavon: Con 48.2, Lab 23.1, LD 14.6, UKIP 14.1
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jul 30, 2015 20:20:08 GMT
There are 8 entries this year vwith Just Looking joining for a pre-season friendly. Unfortunsately he gets 2 additional faults for adding up to 102% in Hilton etc and 10 additional faults for adding to only 90% in College North Hykeham Mill. As previous reported Pete Whitehead gets 15 additional faults for not knowing his Woodside from his Cove.
Aberdeen, Hilton etc: 100% SNP lead on first preferences - lead ranges from 5.9% (Pete Whiteheasd) to 30% (Just Looking)
Aberdeen, Kincorth etc: 100% SNP lead on first preferences - lead ranges from 8% (Robert Waller) to 30% (Just Looking)
North Kesteven: 5 Hykeham Independent gain from Lincolnshire Independent, hempie, Maxque & Robert Waller Conservative gain
Northumberland: 100% Labour hold with Just Looking having a majority of 26% over Liberal Democrat whilst everyone elso has a majority of 42% or more
Wychavon: 100% Conservative hold, with majority ranging from 9% over Labour (Just Looking) to 27% over Liberal Democrat (David Boothroyd
|
|
