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Post by middleenglander on Jul 10, 2015 18:16:24 GMT
East Sussex, Old Hastings & Tressall
Robert Waller 5.2 faults, Pete Whitehead 9.2, David Boothroyd & Mark Senior 12.6, hempie 14.6, Tony Otim 18.5, Maxque 25.1
Gwynedd, Morfa Nefyn
Robert Waller 3.8 faults, Pete Whitehead 9.2, hempie 10.2, Mark Senior 12.2, Maxque 14.2, David Boothroyd 18.2, Tony Otim 20.4
Hastings, Central St Leonards
Maxque 23.1 faults, David Boothroyd 30.8, hempie 32.8, Mark Sewnior 36.8, Robert Waller 37.1, Pete Whitehead 38.2, Tony Otim 44.8
Hastings, St Helens
hempie 10.9 faults, David Boothroyd 12.1, Pete Whitehead 15.3, Robert Waller 18.9, Tony Otim 19.5, Mark Senior 20.9+10, Maxque 24.9+10
Hounslow, Brentford
hempie 7.5 faults, David Boothroyd 8.9, Pete Whitehead 16.3, Tony Otim 24.0, Mark Senior 24.9, Maxque 25.4, Robert Waller 30.6
Hyndburn, Spring Hill
Robert Waller 12.6 faults, David Boothroyd & Maxque 16.6, Pete Whitehead 17.6, Mark Senior 18.6, Tony Otim 20.4, hempie 22.6
Sandwell, Newton
Robert Waller 17.9 faults, Pete Whitehead 18.9, Mark Senior 19.9, Tony Otim 20.4, David Boothroyd 22.2, hempie 24.2, Maxque 26.2
and with the detailed figures for North Lanarkshire, Thorniewood awaited for the week so far:
David Boothroyd 121.4 faults, hempie 122.6, Pete Whitehead 124.7, Robert Waller 126.1 faults, Mark Senior 155.9, Maxque 165.3, Tony Otim 167.8
Internet back up and running having been down for most of the day.
North Lanarkshire, Thorniewood
hempie 9.3 faults, David Boothroyd 10.1, Pete Whitehead 11.7, Tony Otim 13.3, Robert Waller 23.2, Mark Senior 20.2+10, Maxque 20.9+10
and for the week:
David Boothroyd 131.5 faults, hempie 131.9, Pete Whitehead 136.4, Robert Waller 149.3, Tony Otim 181.1, Mark Senior 186.0, Maxque 196.2
and for the first 2 weeks of July:
208.7 Pete Whitehead
214.1 David Boothroyd
220.8 hempie
242.8 Robert Waller
284.3 Tony Otim
292.0 Mark Senior
315.7 Maxque
Objections please by noon Sunday.
8 contests again next Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on the day of the election.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 10, 2015 19:26:46 GMT
Congratulations to David for the week!
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 15, 2015 22:59:10 GMT
Greystoke & Hesket - Cumbria CC
Judith Derbyshire (Liberal Democrats) 30
Thomas Wentworth Waites (The Conservative Party Candidate) 70
Prestatyn East - Denbighshire
Mike German (Independent) 24
Anton Sampson (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate / Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru) 36
Ken Wells (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 26
Jan Williams (Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales) 14
Grove - Kingston-upon-Thames LBC
John Anderson (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 5
Clare Keogh (Green Party) 5
Jenny Lewington (The Conservative Party Candidate) 33
Laurie South (Labour Party) 16
Jon Tolley (Liberal Democrats) 41
Gorleston St Andrews - Norfolk CC
Tony Harris (Liberal Democrat) 3
Adrian Myers (UKIP) 20
Graham Plant (The Conservative Party Candidate) 42
Harry Webb (Green Party) 3
Tony Wright (Labour Party) 32
Mile Cross - Norfolk CC
Chelsea Bales (The Conservative Party Candidate) 23
Tom Dymoke (Liberal Democrats) 4
Richard Edwards (Green Party) 15
Michelle Ho (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 8
Chrissie Rumsby (Labour and Co-operative Party) 50
Battle Town - Rother DC
Kevin Dixon (Liberal Democrats) 44
Timothy MacPherson (Labour Party) 10
Hazel Sharman (The Conservative Party Candidate) 35
Tony Smith (UKIP) 11
Rush Green - Tendring DC -
Samantha Atkinson (Labour Party) 15
Richard Everett (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 33
William Hones (Independent) 8
Danny Mayzes (The Conservative Party) 44
Llay - Wrexham -
Jeanette Bassford-Barton (U K Independence Party (UKIP)) 10
David Broderick 29
David Dodd (Independent) 18
Pete Evans (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 32
Emlyn Phennah (Welsh Conservatives) 9
Rob Walsh (Welsh Liberal Democrats - Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru) 2
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 16, 2015 0:05:55 GMT
CUMBRIA Greystoke and Hesket: C 72, L Dem 28
DENBIGHSHIRE Prestatyn East: C 49, Lab 28, PC 16, Ind 7
KINGSTON-upon-THAMES Grove: C 37, L Dem 32, Lab 17, UKIP 8, GP 6
NORFOLK Gorleston St Andrews: Lab 35, C 32, UKIP 21, GP 7, L Dem 5
NORFOLK Mile Cross: Lab 49, C 30, GP 10, UKIP 8, L Dem 3
ROTHER Battle Town: L Dem 41, C 40, UKIP 11, Lab 8
TENDRING Rush Green: C 34, Lab 28, UKIP 24, Ind 14
WREXHAM Llay: Lab 38, UKIP 20, C 18, Ind Dodd 13, Ind Broderick 7, L Dem 4
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306 
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Post by maxque on Jul 16, 2015 6:24:56 GMT
Greystoke and Hesket, Cumbria: Con 63, LD 37
Prestatyn East, Denbighshire: Con 48.3, Lab 24.3, Ind 16.7, PC 10.7
Grove, Kingston-upon-Thames: LD 40.1, Con 28.8, Lab 19.1, Grn 8.3, UKIP 3.7
Gorleston St Andrews, Norfolk: Lab 35.9, Con 33.7, UKIP 23.9, Grn 4.5, LD 2
Mile Cross, Norfolk: Lab 36.6, UKIP 20.3, Grn 19.5, Con 17.1, LD 6.5
Battle Town, Rother: LD 43.7, Con 28.7, Lab 13.9, UKIP 13.7
Rush Green, Tendring: Con 34.1, UKIP 30.3, Lab 20.4, Ind 15.2
Llay, Wrexham: Lab 38.5, Ind Dodd 15, LD 14.6, Con 14.4, Ind Broderick 14.2, UKIP 3.3
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Post by marksenior on Jul 16, 2015 7:03:00 GMT
Cumbria Con 59 LD 41
Denbighshire Con 41 Ind 26 Lab 22 Plaid 11
Kingston LD 38 Con 33 Lab 17 Green 8 UKIP 4
Norfolk Gorleston Lab 36 Con 34 UKIP 19 Green 6 LD 5
Norfolk Mile Cross Lab 44 Green 22 Con 19 UKIP 8 LD 7
Rother LD 43 Con 35 UKIP 14 Lab 8
Tendring Con 40 Lab 27 UKIP 22 Ind 11
Wrexham Lab 36 Con 18 Ind B 15 Ind D 14 UKIP 12 LD 5
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Post by hempie on Jul 16, 2015 7:22:10 GMT
Cumbria, Greystoke and Hesket: Con 64, LD 36
Denbighshire, Prestatyn East: Con 45, Lab 26, Ind 19, PC 10
Kingston upon Thames, Grove: LD 42, Con 29, Lab 18, Green 7, UKIP 4
Norfolk, Gorleston St Andrews: Lab 40, Con 32, UKIP 21, Green 4, LD 3
Norfolk, Mile Cross: Lab 35, Con 20, UKIP 19, Green 17, LD 9
Rother, Battle Town: LD 44, Con 32, Lab 12, UKIP 12
Tendring, Rush Green: Con 36, UKIP 26, Lab 24, Ind 14
Wrexham, Llay: Lab 35, Ind Broderick 19, Con 17, Dodd 13, UKIP 11, LD 5
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 16, 2015 8:13:29 GMT
Kingston LB - Grove LD 38.9% Con 30.9% Lab 17.7% Grn 8.7% UKIP 3.8% Cumbria CC - Greystoke & Hesket Con 57.4% LD 42.6% Norfolk CC - Gorleston St Andrews Lab 34.9% Con 31.2% UKIP 27.7% Grn 3.8% LD 2.4% Norfolk CC - Mile Cross Lab 48.2% Grn 16.9% Con 14.9% UKIP 14.6% LD 5.4% Rother DC - Battle Town LD 46.8% Con 33.5% Lab 11.6% UKIP 8.1% Tendring DC - Rush Green UKIP 36.8% Con 31.8% Lab 26.2% Ind 5.2% Denbighshire CC - Prestatyn East Con 42.7% Lab 26.3% Ind 21.2% PC 9.8% Wrexham CC - Llay Lab 37.2% Ind 23.9% UKIP 17.2% Con 12.4% ND 6.6% LD 2.7% |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 16, 2015 8:29:14 GMT
Cumbria: Con 63.3 LD 36.7 Debighshire: Con 34.4 Ind 29.4 Lab 20.6 PC 15.6 Kingston: LD 35.2 Con 32.1 Lab 19.2 Grn 9.1 UKIP 4.4 Norfolk - Gorleston St Andrews Lab 35.2 Con 29.9 UKIP 24.5 Grn 5.6 LD 4.8 Norfolk - Mile Cross Lab 39.9 Grn 18.9 UKIP 17.6 Con 17.1 LD 6.5 Rother: LD 42.8 Con 29.7 UKIP 16.3 Lab 11.2 Tendring: Con 36.2 UKIP 29.8 Lab 22.3 Ind 11.7 Wrexham: Lab 40.4 No Desc 20.1 Ind 19.8 Con 8.6 UKIP 6.5 LD 4.6 |
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 16, 2015 19:27:56 GMT
7 enties this week, all ship shape and bristol fashion.
Cumbria: 100% Conservative hold, share ranging from 57.45 (Pete Whiteheas) to 72% (David Boothroyd)
Denbighshire: 100% Conservative hold, share ranging from 5% over Ind (Tony Otim) to 24% over Labour (Maxque)
Kingston upon Thames: 6 Liberal Democrat hold with majority from 3.1% (Tony Otim) to 13% (hempie), David Boothroyd Conservative gain
Gorleston / St Andrews: 6 Labour gain from UKIP with majority over Conservative from 2% (Mark Senior) to 8% (hempie), Robert Waller Conservative gain
Mile Cross: 100% Labour hold, 3 have Conservative 2nd, Mark Senior, Pete Whitehead, Tony Otim with Green 2nd, Maxque UkIP 2nd
Rother Valley: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative with majority ranging from 1% (David Boothroyd) to 15% (Maxque)
Tendring: 6 Conservative gain from UKIP with 4 having UKIP 2nd whilst David Boothroyd and Mark Senior Labour 2nd and Pete Whitehead a UKIP hold
Wrexham: 100% Labour hold with 3 Independent 2nd, hempie, Robert Waller and Tony Otim Broderick / No Description 2nd, Mark Senior Conservative 2nd
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 16, 2015 20:33:43 GMT
Not Rother Valley. This one is Rother district, in East Sussex.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Jul 16, 2015 23:53:56 GMT
Given than everyone (but me) had LDs between 2 and 5 in Llay and than they got 52, that's at least 60 faults for each person.
I suspect we may have been better to pass on that one, since I suspect we will all be near or above 100 faults on that one.
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Post by middleenglander on Jul 17, 2015 12:23:37 GMT
Cumbria, Greystoke & Hesket
Pete Whitehead 4.7 faults, Mark Senior 7.9, Maxque 15.9, Tony Otim 16.5, hempie 17.9, Robert Waller 29.9, David Boothroyd 33.9
Denbighshire, Prestatyn East
David Boothroyd 20.4 faults, Maxque 28.6, hempie 31.8, Pete Whitehead 35.8, Mark Senior 47.8, Robert Waller 49.8, Tony Otim 63.8
Kingston-upon-Thames, Grove
hempie 35.7 faults, Robert Waller 37.7, Maxque 39.5, Pete Whitehead 41.9, Mark Senior 43.7, Tony Otim 49.3, David Boothroyd 55.7+10
Norfolk, Gorleston St Andrews
Robert Waller 13.2 faults, Mark Senior 20.8+10, hempie 21.9+10, Maxque 24.0+10, David Boothroyd 26.8+10, Pete Whitehead 30.2+10, Tony Otim 30.6+10
Norfolk, Mile Cross
Robert Waller 8.6 faults, Pete Whitehead 15.9, Mark Senior 20.5, David Boothroyd 21.4, Tony Otim 28.1, hempie 33.5, Maxque 34.7
Rother, Battle Town
Pete Whitehead 22.2 faults, hempie & Robert Waller 27.5, Maxque 28.1, Mark Senior 29.5, Tony Otim 29.9, David boothroyd 33.5
Tendring, Rush Green
Pete Whitehead 6.0 faults, Tony Otim 21.5+10, Maxque 24.3+10, hempie 25.7+10, David Boothroyd 29.1+10, Robert Waller 29.7+10, Mark Senior 33.1+10
Wrexham, Llay
Maxque 77.5+10 faults, hempie & Mark Senior 94.3+10, Tony Otim 95.1+10, Robert Waller 100.3+10, David Boothroyd 100.8+10, Pete Whitehead 104.2+10
and for the 3rd week:
Pete Whitehead 280.9 faults, Maxque 302.5, Robert Waller 316.7, hempie 318.3, Mark Senior 327.6, David Boothroyd 361.7, Tony Otim 364.8
and for the month to date:
489.6 Pete Whitehead
539.0 hempie
559.5 Robert Waller
575.8 David Boothroyd
618.2 Maxque
619.7 Mark Senior
649.1 Tony Otim
Objections please by noon Sunday.
5 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 17, 2015 14:27:49 GMT
Congratulations to Pete for week and month to date. I'm away for next two weeks, but will try to send (rushed) predictions to middlenglander in advance. Hey, I'm only making up the numbers this month anyway (and you can take that at least two ways  ). |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jul 22, 2015 23:26:49 GMT
Blackburn Mill Hill
Lab 60 UKIP 19 C 16 LD 5
Caerphilly New Tredegar
Lab 74 UKIP 22 C 4
Elmbridge Long Ditton
LD 50 C 40 Green 5 UKIP 5
NE Lincs Croft Baker
Lab 46 C 30 UKIP 14 LD 4 G 4 TUSC 2
Westminster Harrow Road
Lab 73 C 22 UKIP 5
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 22, 2015 23:51:30 GMT
BLACKBURN WITH DARWEN Mill Hill: Lab 48, C 26, UKIP 18, L Dem 4
CAERPHILLY New Tredegar: Lab 72, UKIP 17, C 11
ELMBRIDGE Long Ditton: C 46, L Dem 44, UKIP 7, GP 3
NORTH EAST LINCOLNSHIRE Croft Baker: Lab 45, C 27, UKIP 17, L Dem 6, GP 3, TUSC 2
Due to sensitivity the final prediction will be sent privately.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,306
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Post by maxque on Jul 23, 2015 6:14:27 GMT
Mill Hill, Blackburn with Darwen: Lab 52.8, UKIP 27.4, Con 13.2, LD 6.6
New Tredegar, Caerphilly: Lab 81.3, UKIP 15.7, Con 3
Long Ditton, Elmbridge: LD 45, Con 43, UKIP 9, Grn 3
Croft Baker, North East Lancashire: Lab 41, Con 24.6, UKIP 23.4, LD 6.3, Grn 2.9, TUSC 1.8
Harrow Road, Westminster: Lab 75.1, Con 21.7, UKIP 3.2
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Post by marksenior on Jul 23, 2015 6:48:03 GMT
Blackburn Lab 53 UKIP 20 Con 19 LD 8
Caerphilly Lab 84 UKIP 12 Con 4
Elmbridge LD 48 Con 42 UKIP 6 Green 4
N E Lincs Lab 42 Con 27 UKIP 16 LD 8 Green 5 TUSC 2
Westminster Lab 64 Con 30 UKIP 6
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Post by hempie on Jul 23, 2015 7:51:38 GMT
Blackburn with Darwen, Mill Hill: Lab 52, UKIP 21, Con 17, LD 10
Caerphilly, New Tredegar: Lab 73, UKIP 20, Con 7
Elmbridge, Long Ditton: LD 46, Con 40, UKIP 10, Green 4
N E Lincolnshire, Croft Baker: Lab 40, Con 26, UKIP 17, LD 9, Green 6, TUSC 2
Westminster, Harrow Road: Lab 60, Con 32, UKIP 8
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jul 23, 2015 8:08:26 GMT
Westminster LB - Harrow Road Lab 68.3% Con 25.9% UKIP 5.8% Blackburn with Darwen UA - Mill Hill Lab 59.1% UKIP 18.3% Con 16.7% LD 5.9% NE Lincolnshire UA - Vrodt Baker Lab 45.4% Con 21.5% UKIP 17.6% LD 9.9% Grn 4.1% TUSC 1.5% Elmbridge BC - Long Ditton LD 49.1% Con 36.4% UKIP 8.7% Grn 5.8% Caerphilly CC - New Tredegar Lab 78.3% UKIP 18.9% Con 2.8% |
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