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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 5, 2015 20:15:20 GMT
Just got back from a couple of hours doorknocking in Bocking. Hadn't been before today and didn't do enough to claim any special expertise, but don't expect a high turnout - the Labour committee room aside, I didn't see a single poster for anybody anywhere.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 5, 2015 22:29:56 GMT
Naughty doings from Labour in the Kenton by election, alleging that the Conservative candidate isn't voting for himself. They've apologised. Did they seriously think that the conservative candidate would respond positively to a Labour questionnaire? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2015 23:01:44 GMT
Bocking turnout 22.89%
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 5, 2015 23:08:18 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2015 23:11:53 GMT
BBC Essex reporter tweets:
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Post by marksenior on Mar 5, 2015 23:35:46 GMT
Brent Kenton Con 1097 Lab 839 Green 121 LD 79
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2015 23:36:40 GMT
BRENT Kenton
Michael David Maurice (C) 1,097
Vincent Lo (Lab) 839
Michaela Lichten (GP) 121
Bob Wharton (L Dem) 70
Spoiled ballots 12
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2015 23:43:29 GMT
CAMDEN St Pancras and Somers Town
Paul Tomlinson (Labour Party) 1,481
Shahin Ahmed (The Conservative Party Candidate) 243
Tina Swasey (Green Party) 213
Zack Polanski (Liberal Democrats) 96
Turnout: 20.7%
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Post by marksenior on Mar 5, 2015 23:44:32 GMT
Camden St Pancras Town Lab hold
Lab 1481 Con 243 Green 213 LD 96
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Mar 5, 2015 23:47:27 GMT
Conservatives gain Bocking, UKIP fall to third.
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Post by Devonian on Mar 5, 2015 23:52:12 GMT
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wallington
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Post by wallington on Mar 5, 2015 23:52:58 GMT
Selhurst - Croydon
Lab - 1517
Con - 246
Grn - 148
Ukp - 147
LiD - 65
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Mar 5, 2015 23:56:21 GMT
That is now a 3-way marginal but it was not too close to call. |
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Mar 5, 2015 23:58:10 GMT
Not a good result for us in Camden, was expecting a much stronger performance here.
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 6, 2015 0:14:39 GMT
Brent, Kenton - Conservative hold - corrected for Liberal Democrat vote 70 not 79 earlier reported | Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2011 B | since 2010 "top" | since 2010 "average" | | Conservative | 1,097 | 51.6% | +0.3% | -1.4% | +7.4% | +7.2% | +5.3% | | Labour | 839 | 39.4% | +7.0% | +8.0% | +1.8% | +4.4% | +4.8% | | Green | 121 | 5.7% | -4.3% | -4.8% | +2.6% | +1.1% | +1.0% | | Liberal Democrat | 70 | 3.3% | -3.0% | -1.7% | -4.1% | -12.7% | -11.1% | | Independent |
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| -7.7% |
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| | Total votes | 2,136 |
| 61% | 65% | 89% | 34% | 38% |
Swing Consertvative to Labour 3.3% / 4.7% since 2014 but Labour to Conservative 2.8% since 2011 by-election and 1.4% / 0.2% since 2010 Camden, St Pancras & Somers Town - Labour hold | Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2010 "top" | since 2010 "average" | | Labour | 1,481 | 72.8% | +4.7% | +2.7% | +20.4% | +18.4% | | Conservative | 243 | 12.0% | +2.0% | +2.4% | -1.8% | -2.4% | | Green | 213 | 10.5% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -3.6% | -0.6% | | Liberal Democrat | 96 | 4.7% | -1.9% | -1.1% | -14.9% | -15.4% | | Total votes | 2,033 |
| 55% | 58% | 39% | 41% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 1.3% / 0.1% since 2014 and ~11% since 2010 Croydon, Selhurst - Labour hold | Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2010 "top" | since 2010 "average" | | Labour | 1,517 | 71.5% | +19.4% | +18.0% | +20.0% | +19.3% | | Conservative | 246 | 11.6% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -10.0% | -8.9% | | Green | 148 | 7.0% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -1.1% | | UKIP | 147 | 6.9% | -5.6% | -4.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 65 | 3.1% | -2.9% | -3.2% | -14.6% | -14.9% | | Independent |
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| -3.2% | -3.3% |
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| -2.2% | -2.3% |
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| -1.9% | -2.0% | -1.4% | -1.5% | | Total votes | 2,123 |
| 53% | 55% | 33% | 33% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 10.7% / 9.8% since 2014 and 15.0% / 14.1% since 2010 Essex, Bocking - Conservative gain from UKIP| Party | 2015 votes | 2015 share | since 2013 | since 2009 | since 2005 | | Conservative | 1,071 | 34.3% | +2.1% | -3.0% | -3.1% | | Labour | 974 | 31.2% | +1.3% | +10.7% | -8.9% | | UKIP | 855 | 27.4% | -5.3% | +9.7% | from nowhere | | Green | 165 | 5.3% | +2.2% | -0.9% | -0.3% | | Independent | 58 | 1.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -2.2% | -11.8% | -16.9% | | BNP |
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| -6.5% |
| | Total votes | 3,123 |
| 76% | 64% | 39% |
Swing UKIP to Conservative 3.7% since 2013 but Conservative to UKIP 6.3% since 2009 - and Labour to Conservative 0.4% since 2013, Conservative to Labour 6.8% since 2009 although Labour to Conservative ~3% since 2005
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Post by johnloony on Mar 6, 2015 0:29:22 GMT
Croydon, Selhurst ward
David Wood (Lab) 1517 (71.5%)
Tirena Gunter (Con) 246 (11.6%)
Tracey Hague (Green) 148 (7.0%)
Annette Reid (UKIP) 147 (6.9%)
Geoff Morley (Lib Dem) 65 (3.1%)
total 2123
spoilt 13
turnout 2136 (18.6%)
electorate 11,485
The best bit was seeing off UKIP. In 2014 the average votes were Conservative 514, UKIP 450 so it could have been a threat for 2nd place. The most fun bit was seeing Councillor Wood extrapolating from an 18% turnout to predict victory for Labour in Croydon Central in the general election.
The most surprising bit is the turnout. In the 10 previous by-elections in Croydon over the last 20 years (i.e. the ones I stood in) the turnout was between 26% and 29% in six of them. There were two outliers on 42% and 15%, and two higher on 37% and 32%.
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Post by johnloony on Mar 6, 2015 0:32:46 GMT
Conservatives gain Bocking, UKIP fall to third. Hooray! (1) because Conservative gain, (2) because UKIP third, (3) because Councillor Canning is cute. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Mar 6, 2015 0:50:13 GMT
Not a good result for us in Camden, was expecting a much stronger performance here. My guess is that you didn't put much if anything into it. |
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Mar 6, 2015 0:58:49 GMT
Not a good result for us in Camden, was expecting a much stronger performance here. My guess is that you didn't put much if anything into it. I'm assuming that that ward is part of Holborn and St.Pancras, so im guessing there have been a lot of green activity over the last few months. |
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Post by Deleted on Mar 6, 2015 1:04:20 GMT
Maybe but this mostly isn't a ward where they will have spent a lot of time, whereas Labour will have done, both for Starmer and to produce a suitably enormous figure for the bye.
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