maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 0:29:20 GMT
Some pretty wild swings tonight - think its going to be a fault heavy evening! I can't say than the Plaid gain is surprising. The independent is forbidden to manage companies for 10 years for fake checks or something like that. link |
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Post by marksenior on Dec 12, 2014 0:30:13 GMT
Lib Dems have won both Aylesbury seats and Conservatives have won the Windsor seat
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Post by marksenior on Dec 12, 2014 0:32:29 GMT
Windsor Cox Green
Con 738 Lib Dem 315 UKIP 278 Lab 124
Conservatives have held the New Forest seat
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 0:41:41 GMT
Cox Green:
Con 50.7% (-2.2)
LD 21.6% (-10.9)
UKIP 19.1% (+19.1)
Lab 8.5% (-1.1)
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 2:37:41 GMT
Gatehouse was held by around 20 votes by LDs and UKIP was second in both Aylesbury wards.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 2:40:44 GMT
Kingsway: Lab 537, UKIP 164, Con 22, LD 11
Lab 73.2% (-2.3)
UKIP 22.3% (-2.2)
Con 3.0% (+3.0)
LD 1.5% (+1.5)
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 2:47:13 GMT
New Forest: Con 834 (77%), UKIP 171, Lab ??
Labour should be around 78, with those informations.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Dec 12, 2014 8:12:01 GMT
Some pretty wild swings tonight - think its going to be a fault heavy evening! I can't say than the Plaid gain is surprising. The independent is forbidden to manage companies for 10 years for fake checks or something like that. linkThere's a bit more about the independent's background here. cneifiwr-emlyn.blogspot.co.uk/2014/11/trelech-runners-and-riders.html I think that this is a reasonably strong area for Plaid Cymru generally but the support has been suppressed at local level by a very prominent former independent councillor |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 12, 2014 9:17:50 GMT
Gatehouse
LD 295 35.6%
UKIP 267 32.2%
Con 113 13.6%
Lab 113 13.6%
Grn 28 3.4%
Ind 12 1.4%
Southcourt
LD 429 42.3%
UKIP 266 26.2%
Lab 175 17.2%
Con 112 11.0%
Grn 33 3.3%
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 12, 2014 9:58:05 GMT
Argyll & Bute, South Kintyre - SNP hold - based on first preference votes | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 | since 2007 | | SNP | 942 | 62.2% | +37.2% | +40.8% | | Liberal Democrat | 214 | 14.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | | Conservative | 203 | 13.4% | -32.5% | -34.3% | | Labour | 156 | 10.3% | from nowhere | -4.0% | | Independents |
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| -14.9% |
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| -2.4% | | Total votes | 1,515 |
| 61% | 49% |
Swing Conservative to SNP ~35% since 2012 and 37½% since 2007 Aylesbury Vale, Gatehouse - Liberal Democrat hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 295 | 35.6% | -5.9% | -6.1% | -20.7% | -21.1% | | UKIP | 267 | 32.2% | +15.2% | +15.3% | +19.3% | +18.7% | | Conservative | 113 | 13.6% | -9.2% | -8.2% | -17.1% | -16.1% | | Labour | 113 | 13.6% | -5.0% | -5.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 28 | 3.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent | 12 | 1.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Total votes | 828 |
| 55% | 58% | 68% | 71% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to UKIP ~10½% since 2011 and ~20% since 2007 Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt - Liberal Democrat gain from Labour| Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 429 | 42.3% | +6.3% | +7.4% | -7.9% | -6.6% | | UKIP | 266 | 26.2% | +12.1% | +11.9% | +13.9% | +12.6% | | Labour | 175 | 17.2% | -12.2% | -13.6% | +1.0% | +2.8% | | Conservative | 112 | 11.0% | -9.4% | -8.8% | -10.2% | -12.1% | | Green | 33 | 3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Total votes | 1,015 |
| 68% | 75% | 72% | 80% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to UKIP ~2½% since 2011 and ~10% since 2007 Broxtowe, Toton & Chilwell Meadows - Conservative hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 B | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2009 B | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Conservative | 952 | 54.5% | +6.9% | +5.8% | +5.5% | -2.2% | +6.2% | +6.7% | | Labour | 454 | 26.0% | +3.9% | -3.5% | -3.7% | +10.5% | +11.8% | +11.7% | | UKIP | 340 | 19.5% | +6.4% | +9.8% | +9.4% | from nowhere | +14.3% | +14.1% | | Liberal Democrats |
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| -17.2% | -12.0% | -11.2% | -24.7% | -25.1% | -25.2% | | BNP |
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| -3.0% | -7.1% | -7.3% | | Total votes | 1,746 |
| 100% | 56% | 58% | 92% | 61% | 62% |
Swing Labour to Conservative 1½% since 2012 by-election and ~4½% since 2011 but Conservative to Labour ~4% since 2009 by-election and ~2½% since 2007 Carmarthenshire, Trelech - Plaid Cymru gain from Independent| Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 | since 2008 | | Plaid Cymru | 598 | 68.3% | +33.6% | +36.6% | | Independent | 181 | 20.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 96 | 11.0% | -3.4% | from nowhere | | Previous Independent |
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| -50.9% | -68.2% | | Total votes | 875 |
| 95% | 91% |
Swing not meaningful Halton, Kingsway - Labour hold | Party | 2014 B votes | 2014 B share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | | Labour | 537 | 73.2% | -2.4% | -17.1% | unopposed | from nowhere | | UKIP | 164 | 22.3% | -2.1% | from nowhere |
| from nowhere | | Conservative | 22 | 3.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| -40.1% | | Liberal Democrat | 11 | 1.5% | from nowhere | -8.2% |
| -19.0% | | Green |
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| -36.4% | | Total votes | 734 |
| 63% | 78% |
| 34% |
Negligible swing Labour to UKIP since May 2014 otherwise not meaningful
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 12, 2014 11:10:20 GMT
Also there appears to have been an election in W Lancashire DC yesterday that was totally missed here - in Skelmersdale, so of course an easy Labour hold.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 12, 2014 11:20:16 GMT
Also there appears to have been an election in W Lancashire DC yesterday that was totally missed here - in Skelmersdale, so of course an easy Labour hold. According to the SOPN was a straight Lab-Con fight - no other candidates. |
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 12, 2014 11:21:45 GMT
Wow! Those are stark results and seem to take us in many directions at once. In short we seem to all be doing well where we do well? This also shows everyone is holding up in the face of the impending big squeeze. The SNP can do that in an area where they are in internal party meltdown! Wow! What might they do where all is going well? UKIP can still pour through and take one and also raid another party and let a third through to win. The safe seats look safer and many marginals look to be a nightmare for the majors.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 12, 2014 11:26:24 GMT
Also there appears to have been an election in W Lancashire DC yesterday that was totally missed here - in Skelmersdale, so of course an easy Labour hold. According to the SOPN was a straight Lab-Con fight - no other candidates. Lab 591 Con 81, apparently. Previous results in Skelmersdale North, for comparison: 2012 Lab 945 Con 109 2011 Lab 950 Con 168 2008 Lab 563 Ind 184 Con 148 2007 Lab 669 Con 197 2004 Lab 531 Ind 473 Con 157 2003 Lab 450 Ind 195 Con 92 2002 Lab 514/498 Ind 368/301 |
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Post by marksenior on Dec 12, 2014 11:37:21 GMT
Wow! Those are stark results and seem to take us in many directions at once. In short we seem to all be doing well where we do well? This also shows everyone is holding up in the face of the impending big squeeze. The SNP can do that in an area where they are in internal party meltdown! Wow! What might they do where all is going well? UKIP can still pour through and take one and also raid another party and let a third through to win. The safe seats look safer and many marginals look to be a nightmare for the majors. The Aylesbury results were relatively poor for UKIP . They had won both the similar CC divisions in 2013 and their candidate in Southcourt is the CC for virtuslly the same ward |
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Post by Merseymike on Dec 12, 2014 12:10:18 GMT
Argyll and Bute 1st preferences SNP 942 Lib Dem 214 Con 203 Lab 156 Those numbers would be more than enough to elect SNP by first count. It's, in % SNP 62.2% (+37.2) LD 14.1% (-0.1) Con 13.4% (-32.5) Lab 10.3% (+10.3) It's an huge swing (and proves than Tory vote is most likely the Conservative incumbent personal vote). In the Highlands this is usually the case. Party labels aren't particularly important in local elections |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Dec 12, 2014 12:30:52 GMT
SNP wins in Elgin with "850 votes". Exact or roughly, I don't know.
First count: SNP 728, Ind 472, Lab 287, Con 273, UKIP 81, Grn 77
SNP 38.0% (-5.3)
Ind 24.6% (+24.6)
Lab 15.0% (-14.9)
Con 14.2% (-3.3)
UKIP 4.2% (+4.2)
Grn 4.0% (+4.0)
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Post by middleenglander on Dec 12, 2014 12:40:38 GMT
Lincolnshire, Stamford North - UKIP gain from Independent| Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2013 | since 2009 | since 2005 | | UKIP | 400 | 31.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 268 | 21.1% | +0.1% | +6.9% | -13.4% | | Conservative | 261 | 20.6% | -11.1% | -11.6% | -16.6% | | Lincolnshire Independent | 199 | 15.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 142 | 11.2% | from nowhere | -8.0% | -9.1% | | Independent |
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| -47.4% | -34.4% | -8.1% | | Total votes | 1,270 |
| 78% | 56% | 34% |
Swing not meaningful Moray, Elgin City North - SNP gain from Labour- based on first preference votes | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 | since 2007 | | SNP | 728 | 38.0% | -5.3% | -3.4% | | Independent | 472 | 24.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 287 | 15.0% | -14.9% | -8.9% | | Conservative | 273 | 14.2% | -3.2% | -2.1% | | UKIP | 81 | 4.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 77 | 4.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Previous Independent |
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| -9.4% | -18.5% | | Total votes | 1,918 |
| 74% | 53% |
Swing (if meaningful) Labour to SNP 4¾% since 2012 and 2¾% since 2007 New Forest, Bransgore & Burley - Conservative hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Conservative | 834 | 77.3% | +11.3% | +12.9% | +27.0% | +28.6% | | UKIP | 171 | 15.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 74 | 6.9% | -7.4% | -8.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat |
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| -19.8% | -20.7% | -16.2% | -16.7% | | Independent |
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| -33.5% | -34.6% | | Total votes | 1,079 |
| 40% | 42% | 41% | 42% |
Swing not particularly meaningful Sunderland, Washington East - Labour hold | Party | 2014 B votes | 2014 B share | since 2014 | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | | Labour | 775 | 38.3% | -3.0% | -18.1% | -15.5% | -6.6% | | Conservative | 595 | 29.4% | +4.2% | +5.3% | -4.0% | -2.3% | | UKIP | 506 | 25.0% | -1.1% | +14.7% | +17.9% | from nowhere | | Green | 93 | 4.6% | from nowhere | -0.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Liberal Democrat | 52 | 2.6% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -3.0% | -16.1% | | TUSAC |
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| -4.5% | | Total votes | 2,021 |
| 67% | 66% | 56% | 38% |
Swing Labour to Conservative 3.6% since May 2014, ~12% since 2012, ~6% since 2011 and ~2% since 2010 West Lancashire, Skelmersdale North - Labour hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2008 | | Labour | 591 | 87.9% | -1.8% | +2.9% | +25.0% | | Conservative | 81 | 12.1% | +1.8% | -2.9% | -4.4% | | Independent |
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| -20.6% | | Total votes | 672 |
| 64% | 60% | 75% |
Swing Labour to Conservative 1.8% since 2012 but Conservative to Labour 2.9% since 2011 Windsor & Maidenhead, Cox Green - Conservative hold | Party | 2014 votes | 2014 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Conservative | 738 | 50.7% | -2.2% | -1.7% | +13.9% | +16.0% | | Liberal Democrat | 315 | 21.6% | -10.8% | -11.3% | -19.8% | -21.5% | | UKIP | 278 | 19.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour | 124 | 8.5% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +3.1% | | BNP |
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| -5.0% | -5.3% | -15.9% | -16.8% | | Total votes | 1,455 |
| 52% | 55% | 59% | 62% |
Swing Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~4½% since 2011 and ~18% since 2007
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Dec 12, 2014 13:43:08 GMT
Wow! Those are stark results and seem to take us in many directions at once. In short we seem to all be doing well where we do well? This also shows everyone is holding up in the face of the impending big squeeze. The SNP can do that in an area where they are in internal party meltdown! Wow! What might they do where all is going well? UKIP can still pour through and take one and also raid another party and let a third through to win. The safe seats look safer and many marginals look to be a nightmare for the majors. The Aylesbury results were relatively poor for UKIP . They had won both the similar CC divisions in 2013 and their candidate in Southcourt is the CC for virtuslly the same ward Still probably better than anywhere else this week bar Stamford. |
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carlton43
Reform Party
Posts: 50,907
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Post by carlton43 on Dec 12, 2014 17:06:56 GMT
Wow! Those are stark results and seem to take us in many directions at once. In short we seem to all be doing well where we do well? This also shows everyone is holding up in the face of the impending big squeeze. The SNP can do that in an area where they are in internal party meltdown! Wow! What might they do where all is going well? UKIP can still pour through and take one and also raid another party and let a third through to win. The safe seats look safer and many marginals look to be a nightmare for the majors. The Aylesbury results were relatively poor for UKIP . They had won both the similar CC divisions in 2013 and their candidate in Southcourt is the CC for virtuslly the same ward Over 15% gain and over 12% gain; second place to you in both and nearly took one off you. I bet you wish you could do that 'poorly' as often as we do? |
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