By-elections - 9th October

[maxque]

Blackpool BC - Waterloo - Tony Lee (Conservative) died

2011: Lab 937/659, Con 793/728, LD 263
2007: Con 972/940, Lab 713/605, LD 297
2003: Con 1027/895, Lab 1011/887, LD 592/545

John Braithwaite (UK Independence Party)
Kathy Ellis (Labour Party Candidate)
Mike Hodkinson (Liberal Democrat)
Jack Renshaw (British National Party)
Derek Robertson (Conservative Party)


Chelmsford BC - Bicknacre and East and West Hanningfield - Michael Harris (Conservative) died

2011: Con 1322/1279, Lab 298/281, LD 225/216
2007: Con 1222/1212, LD 168/152, Lab 150/136
2006by: Con 736, LD 151, Lab 70
2003: Con 734/667, Ind 474/177, LD 331, Lab 147/103

Matt Flack (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Reza Hossain (Green Party Candidate)
David Kirkwood (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Tony Lees (Labour Party Candidate)
Andy Robson (Liberal Democrat)


Crawley BC - Southgate - Karl Williamson (UKIP, elected as Conservative) resigned due to work commitments
2011-2015 term

2014: Lab 888, Con 823, UKIP 590, Ind 228
2012: Con 920, Lab 854, Grn 294
2011: Con 1091, Lab 995, Grn 366
2010: Con 1839, Lab 1603, BNP 322
2008: Con 1040, Lab 786, LD 323
2007: Con 900, Lab 721, LD 289, BNP 235, Grn 171
2006: Con 936, Lab 738, LD 271, BNP 263, Grn 212
2004: Lab 722/721/674, Con 671/605/554, LD 438, Grn 409/369, BNP 294

Simon Darroch (UKIP)
Arshad Khan (Justice Party)
Michael Pickett (Labour Party Candidate)
Jan Tarrant (The Conservative Party Candidate)


Essex CC - Brightlingsea - Roger Lord (UKIP) resigned after Douglas Carswell defection made him lose his PPC position

2013: UKIP 1429, LD 1264, Con 1156, Lab 585, Grn 165, Tendring First 102
2009: Con 2387, LD 1577, Lab 588, BNP 537, Grn 468
2005: Con 4157, Lab 2327, LD 2258, Grn 478

Carol Carlsson Browne (Labour Party Candidate)
Alan Goggin (Conservative Party Candidate)
Beverley Maltby (Green Party)
Anne Poonian (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Gary Scott (Liberal Democrats)


Rushmoor BC - West Heath - Malcolm Small (UKIP) resigned after being sentenced to a suspended sentence for arson (he burnt clothes belonging to his wife during an argument over attendance to the Mayor’s Valentine’s Day Ball)
2012-2015 term

2014: UKIP 970, Con 612, Lab 321, LD 179
2012: UKIP 868/828/821, Con 498/473/451, LD 252/230/223, Lab 237/220/186

Dave Bell (UKIP)
Charlie Fraser-Fleming (Liberal Democrat)
Sue Gadsby (Labour Party Candidate)
Brian Parker (Conservative Party)

[Khunanup]

Sept 27, 2014 11:45:05 GMT maxque said:

Essex CC - Brightlingsea - Roger Lord (UKIP) resigned after Douglas Carswell defection made him lose his PPC position

2013: UKIP 1429, LD 1264, Con 1156, Lab 585, Grn 165, Tendring First 102
2009: Con 2387, LD 1577, Lab 588, BNP 537, Grn 468
2005: Con 4157, Lab 2327, LD 2258, Grn 478

Carol Carlsson Browne (Labour Party Candidate)
Alan Goggin (Conservative Party Candidate)
Beverley Maltby (Green Party)
Anne Poonian (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Gary Scott (Liberal Democrats)

Presumably a relative of EAL standing for Labour in Brightlingsea?

[East Anglian Lefty]

That would be my mother, yes.

[Pete Whitehead]

Sept 27, 2014 11:45:05 GMT maxque said:

Rushmoor BC - West Heath - Malcolm Small (UKIP) resigned after being sentenced to a suspended sentence for arson (he burnt clothes belonging to his wife during an argument over attendance to the Mayor’s Valentine’s Day Ball)[/b

Brilliant

2012-2015 term

This fact is a very useful addition to these summaries. Thanks for doing that

[BossMan]

The term thing really is useful, I'm starting to add it to the English Elections pages too so hopefully it will help lots of people.

e.g. www.englishelections.org.uk/england/lby/southeast/westheath.php

[Pimpernal]

Not the greatest of reasons for 2 difficult UKIP defences...

[East Anglian Lefty]

And it particularly doesn't help that the UKIP candidate in Brightlingsea is from Frinton.

[neilm]

Hah, that's excellent. No chance then. I shall be out and about helping my chum campaign over the next week.

[Pete Whitehead]

What proportion of the division is comprised of the St Osyth ward? (I could probably check easily enough but one of you is likely to know off the top of your head). Obviously there will be a turnout boost in that part of the division plus a certain amount of coattails voting. I assume the by-election may have some impact even in those areas which are not in the constituency so would not say 'no chance'. Is the local paper in Brightlingsea etc the same as in Clacton or is it more Colchester oreinted?

[East Anglian Lefty]

St Osyth is about 20% of households in the division. Brightlingsea doesn't get much coverage in either the Colchester Gazette or the Clacton & Frinton Gazette, and I've never bought a paper there, but I suspect newsagents would primarily stock the Colchester Gazette if they have either. Alresford definitely looks much more to Colchester than Clacton and that's true to a slightly lesser extent for Thorrington and Great Bentley.

[Deleted]

Sept 27, 2014 11:45:05 GMT maxque said:

Blackpool BC - Waterloo - Tony Lee (Conservative) died

2011: Lab 937/659, Con 793/728, LD 263
2007: Con 972/940, Lab 713/605, LD 297
2003: Con 1027/895, Lab 1011/887, LD 592/545

John Braithwaite (UK Independence Party)
Kathy Ellis (Labour Party Candidate)
Mike Hodkinson (Liberal Democrat)
Jack Renshaw (British National Party)
Derek Robertson (Conservative Party)

This ward covers the Pleasure Beach and "Yeadon Way", the route of which follows the track to the former Blackpool Central trai...railway station. ( Map )

[marksenior]

Oct 5, 2014 13:45:01 GMT doktorb🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ said:

Sept 27, 2014 11:45:05 GMT maxque said:

Blackpool BC - Waterloo - Tony Lee (Conservative) died

2011: Lab 937/659, Con 793/728, LD 263
2007: Con 972/940, Lab 713/605, LD 297
2003: Con 1027/895, Lab 1011/887, LD 592/545

John Braithwaite (UK Independence Party)
Kathy Ellis (Labour Party Candidate)
Mike Hodkinson (Liberal Democrat)
Jack Renshaw (British National Party)
Derek Robertson (Conservative Party)

This ward covers the Pleasure Beach and "Yeadon Way", the route of which follows the track to the former Blackpool Central trai...railway station. ( Map )

and my old school Arnold School For Boys as it was 50 years ago .

[gwynthegriff]

Oct 5, 2014 13:45:01 GMT doktorb🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ said:

Sept 27, 2014 11:45:05 GMT maxque said:

Blackpool BC - Waterloo - Tony Lee (Conservative) died

2011: Lab 937/659, Con 793/728, LD 263
2007: Con 972/940, Lab 713/605, LD 297
2003: Con 1027/895, Lab 1011/887, LD 592/545

John Braithwaite (UK Independence Party)
Kathy Ellis (Labour Party Candidate)
Mike Hodkinson (Liberal Democrat)
Jack Renshaw (British National Party)
Derek Robertson (Conservative Party)

This ward covers the Pleasure Beach and "Yeadon Way", the route of which follows the track to the former Blackpool Central trai...railway station. ( Map )

Good boy, good boy.

[Robert]

How many UKIP losses on Thursday night before we get to Clacton and Heywood & Middleton declarations? Defending 3 seats in one night.

[maxque]

Oct 6, 2014 7:33:57 GMT Robert said:

How many UKIP losses on Thursday night before we get to Clacton and Heywood & Middleton declarations? Defending 3 seats in one night.

I doubt Brightlingsea will be counted on Thursday. Tendring Council (which manages the county by-election) will most likely focus on counting Clacton votes on Thursday.

[East Anglian Lefty]

I've been told that verification will be on Thursday night, after which those there just for Brightlingsea will be asked to leave, and reconvene the following morning.

[peterl]

Oct 6, 2014 7:33:57 GMT Robert said:

How many UKIP losses on Thursday night before we get to Clacton and Heywood & Middleton declarations? Defending 3 seats in one night.

Would suprise me if we lost all 3. I reckon we will hold Brightlingsea on the back of the effort for the Clacton by election. While the circumstances of the poll are unfortunate, with a strong result in May we might pull it off in Rushmoor too. Crawley has a fair chance of being a loss I'll admit.

[East Anglian Lefty]

If UKIP hold Brightlingsea, it'll be down to high turnout in St Osyth. And that may be easier said than done, given how many of the households in that ward are static caravans, many of which will not be inhabited year round. If Brightlingsea casts more votes than St Osyth, I'll be very surprised if it doesn't change hands.

[Robert]

Thank you EAL for the information re Brightlingsea and also for the fair assessment Peterl.

[Pimpernal]

Oct 6, 2014 9:29:09 GMT East Anglian Lefty said:

I've been told that verification will be on Thursday night, after which those there just for Brightlingsea will be asked to leave, and reconvene the following morning.

Feck that - it would be well shite!