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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 3, 2014 12:57:59 GMT
They think Labour has the best leader?  |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,820 
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Post by john07 on Oct 3, 2014 16:00:54 GMT
If 61% of Labour voters vote Labour because they always have, and 15 because they like the policies, what about the other 24%? They don't trust any of the other bastards? |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 4, 2014 21:31:13 GMT
Survation for Mail on Sunday. Rochester & Strood Headline voting: CON 31% (-18), LAB 25% (-3), LD 2% (-14), UKIP 40% (+40), OTHER 1% (-5)
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 4, 2014 22:20:13 GMT
Survation Rochester&Strood UKIP gained 40% of those who voted Tory in 2010 27.8% of LDem voters from 2010 68.2% of those who didn't vote
Can someone explain why so many ex LibDem voters are now voting UKIP,
Noticed in a lot of polls recently that after the Tories LibDems are shifting more voters to UKIP than Labour are in percentage terms
Isn't this much like a Liverpool fan buying an Everton season ticket
Or does this prove UKIP are now the party of protest, which the LibDems used to be.
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Post by Devonian on Oct 4, 2014 22:31:58 GMT
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Post by Devonian on Oct 4, 2014 22:35:05 GMT
Or does this prove UKIP are now the party of protest, which the LibDems used to be. I think that's exactly it. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,876
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Post by right on Oct 5, 2014 8:35:23 GMT
That looks like a healthy lead, but will the UKIP ground operation be able to keep it on the day? I'm not doubting UKIP's ability to get the troops out but will they be able to keep the committee room operation up throughout the day? |
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Post by Devonian on Oct 5, 2014 9:21:06 GMT
That looks like a healthy lead, but will the UKIP ground operation be able to keep it on the day? I'm not doubting UKIP's ability to get the troops out but will they be able to keep the committee room operation up throughout the day? I think this is certainly winnable by the Tories and I'm sure they are right to throw the proverbial k!tchen sink at the seat. I think UKIP will benefit from a boost from winning Clacton and it is clear that these two defections were clearly planned and timed according to a plan. Call a by election in the most winnable seat first. Just before the first by election call the second. That way the second by election campaign can be boosted by the result of the first and UKIP has time to switch resources to the seat. I'm a little surprised at how badly Labour is doing, actually down from 2010 with switchers from the Lib Dems to Labour being outweighed by switchers from Labour to UKIP, still they are only six points behind the Tories. This will clearly be a very important by election for both the Tories and UKIP. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,015
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 5, 2014 9:35:49 GMT
Labour aren't polling better partly because a lot of 2010 LibDem votes are going UKIP.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 5, 2014 9:57:33 GMT
How does that compare with the Tories and LibDems, then? (obviously UKIP is in a *slightly* different position  ) General Election @ukelections2015 Follow Heywood & Middleton Poll What is your main reason to vote for (that party)? Answer Always voted for them
LABOUR 61.2%CON 32.4% LD 25.4% 7:03 AM - 3 Oct 2014 Deary me |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Oct 7, 2014 12:13:06 GMT
link to infointeresting to see UKIP 3% ahead with men in Heywood & Middleton but 27% behind with women
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,044
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Post by Sibboleth on Oct 7, 2014 15:01:27 GMT
Generally best not to read too much into subsamples.
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Post by gwynthegriff on Oct 7, 2014 16:19:10 GMT
link to infointeresting to see UKIP 3% ahead with men in Heywood & Middleton but 27% behind with women Women are wise. I owed my political career to the support of female voters. |
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,876
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Post by right on Oct 7, 2014 21:07:02 GMT
link to infointeresting to see UKIP 3% ahead with men in Heywood & Middleton but 27% behind with women Just going through Revolt on the Right and have just read the bit where they deal with UKIP's gender gap. Their theory is that it's partly UKIP's perceived sexism but mostly because men on the whole are less conformist and more likely to follow politics, so more likely to vote for protest parties. |
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Post by Devonian on Oct 22, 2014 20:35:24 GMT
According to Mike Smithson tonight's ComRes Rochester and Strood by election poll has been funded 'by a UKIP donor' (which I guess means Alan Brown, Paul Sykes or possibly even Arron Banks)
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 22, 2014 21:00:58 GMT
Rochester Poll: UKIP 43%, Conservatives 30%, Labour 21%, Green 3%, Lib Dem 3%.
Previous poll had UKIP 40%, Conservatives 31%, Labour 25%, Liberal Democrats 2%, others 1%.
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Post by Devonian on Oct 22, 2014 21:20:29 GMT
Rochester Poll: UKIP 43%, Conservatives 30%, Labour 21%, Green 3%, Lib Dem 3%. Previous poll had UKIP 40%, Conservatives 31%, Labour 25%, Liberal Democrats 2%, others 1%. I would mention that although the ComRes headline figure gives the Green percentage as 3% in the published tables it is listed as 2% (although as the actual numbers in the table are Lib Dem 26 (3%) and Green 23 (2%) this amounts to a matter of rounding up or down) |
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Post by Devonian on Oct 22, 2014 21:52:09 GMT
Male/Female vote breakdown
Male
UKIP 47%
Con 28%
Lab 20%
Female
UKIP 40%
Con 31%
Lab 21%
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Nov 11, 2014 16:01:28 GMT
Another Rochester and Strood poll from Lord Ashcroft:
UKIP - 44%
CON - 32%
LAB - 17%
LDEM - 2%
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Nov 11, 2014 17:27:59 GMT
Another Rochester and Strood poll from Lord Ashcroft: UKIP - 44% CON - 32% LAB - 17% LDEM - 2% Green 5% |
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