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Post by middleenglander on Sept 1, 2014 0:13:20 GMT
It looks like 15 local council by-elections during September 2014: - 3 on the 4th September - 6 on the 11th - 3 on the 18th - 3 on the 25th
10 of the contests for District Councils - 6 in wards with 4 yearly elections last held in 2011 but one where there was a by-election in 2013 - 2 in wards where elections are held in alternate years with previous elections in May 2014 and - 2 in wards with annual elections with previous elections in May 2014 2 are for County Council divisions last contested in 2013 1 for a London Borough last contested in May 2014 1 for a Unitary Authority elected in 2013 but with a by-election later that year 1 for a single seat Welsh Council elected in 2012
Conservatives are defending 4 seats, 3 arising from the death of the former councillor and 1 a resignation Labour is defending 8 seats, 5 following a death and 3 a resignation Liberal Democrats are defending 2 seats, both following a resignation Independents are defending 1 seat following a death
With nominations now published for all 15 by-elections there are 72 candidates in total: Conservatives are contesting all 15, Labour 14, UKIP 13, Liberal Democrats 11 and Greens 8 - with 6 independents contesting 4 seats, 2 TUSAC and 1 each for CPA, English Democrat and No Description.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of the election.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 3, 2014 20:49:01 GMT
Carfax Green 33 Labour 28 LD 18 Con 15 UKIP 6
Lowest turnout ever? Normal people population must be very low indeed.
Folkestone UKIP 32 Con 28 Lab 23 LD 10 Green 5 TUSC 2
Surrey Heath Lab 44 UKIP 35 Con 21
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Post by hempie on Sept 3, 2014 20:53:52 GMT
Oxford, Carfax: Lab 30, Green 27, Con 22, LD 16, UKIP 5
Shepway, Folkestone Harvey Central: Con 32, Lab 28, UKIP 27, LD 7, Green 5, TUSC 1
Surrey Heath, Old Dean: Lab 53, UKIP 25, Con 22
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 3, 2014 21:14:29 GMT
Oxford, Carfax: Lab 35, Green 25, Con 14, LD 20, UKIP 6
Shepway, Folkestone Harvey Central: Con 30, Lab 24, UKIP 34, LD 7, Green 4, TUSC 1
Surrey Heath, Old Dean: Lab 47, UKIP 35, Con 18
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hedgehog
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Post by hedgehog on Sept 3, 2014 21:18:42 GMT
Back after missing a couple of months Oxford, Carfax Green 32 Lab 25 Con 21 Lib Dem 18 Ukip 4
Shepway, Folkestone harvey central Ukip 30 Con 29 Lab 26 Lib Dem 8 Green 6 Tusc 1
Surrey heath, Old dean Lab 45 Ukip 30 Con 25
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Post by brianj on Sept 3, 2014 21:58:37 GMT
Oxford, Carfax: Green 34, Lab 26, LibDem 18, Con 14, UKIP 8. Shepway, Folkestone Harvey Central: UKIP 36, Lab 25, Con 24, Green 7, LibDem 5, TUSC 3. Surrey Heath, Old Dean: Lab 48, Con 28, UKIP 24.
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Post by Philip Davies on Sept 3, 2014 22:01:09 GMT
Oxford - Carfax Maryam Ahmed (The Conservative Party Candidate) 17.9 Kenrick Bird (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 5 Tony Brett (Liberal Democrat) 13.6 Alex Hollingsworth (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 28 Richard Scrase (Green Party) 35.5
Shepway - Folkestone Harvey Central David Callahan (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 33.5 Seth Cruse (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 1.9 David Horton (The Green Party) 5.1 Tom McNeice (Liberal Democrat) 5.8 Wendy Mitchell (Labour Party Candidate) 24.4 Rodica Wheeler (The Conservative Party Candidate) 29.3
Surrey Heath - Old Dean Heather Gerred (The Labour Party Candidate) 48 Eddie Hill (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 32 Max Nelson (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20
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myth11
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Post by myth11 on Sept 3, 2014 22:14:08 GMT
Carfax Green 31 Labour 30 con 18 lib dem 14 UKIP 7
Folkestone lab 32 Con 28 ukip 20 LD 13 Green 5 TUSC 2
Surrey Heath Lab 41 con 32 ukip 27
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 3, 2014 23:35:33 GMT
OXFORD Carfax: Lab 39, GP 30, C 18, L Dem 10, UKIP 3 SHEPWAY Folkestone Harvey Central: UKIP 31, C 29, Lab 23, L Dem 12, GP 4, TUSC 1 SURREY HEATH Old Dean: Lab 46, C 30, UKIP 24
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Post by marksenior on Sept 4, 2014 7:01:08 GMT
Oxford Lab 35 Green 28 LD 16 Con 14 UKIP 7 Shepway Con 32 UKIP 27 Lab 24 LD 11 Green 5 TUSC 1 Surrey Heath Lab 49 Con 31 UKIP 20
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 4, 2014 7:16:28 GMT
Oxford Green 33 Lab 27 Con 17 LD 13 UKIP 10 Shepway UKIP 33 Con 27 Lab 23 LD 10 Green 6 TUSC 1 Surrey Heath Lab 45 UKIP 35 Con 20
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Sept 4, 2014 8:06:09 GMT
Oxford BC - Carfax Lab 32.3% Grn 27.5% Con 21.4% LD 17.3% UKIP 1.5% Shepway BC - Folkestone Harvey Central UKIP 29.9% Con 29.1% Lab 21.1% LD 16.4% Grn 2.3% TUSC 1.2% Surrey Heath BC - Old Dean Lab 40.2% Con 30.4% UKIP 29.4%
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 4, 2014 11:03:29 GMT
Oxford: Lab 31.1 Grn 28.6 LD 18.2 Con 16.7 UKIP 5.4 Shepway: UKIP 30.1 Con 28.3 Lab 22.4 LD 12.2 Grn 4.6 TUSC 2.4 Surrey Heath: Lab 49.8 Con 26.1 UKIP 24.1
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 4, 2014 20:25:07 GMT
12 entries this week with hempie back from hols and hedgehog rejoining.
Oxford, Carfax: 6 Labour holds with brianj, Carlton43, Hedgehog, Joe, Myth11 & PhilDav going for a Green gain Shepway, Harvey Central: 9 UKIP gain from Conservative, hempie & Mark Senior Conservative hold, Myth11 a Labour gain Surrey Heath, Old Dean: 100% Labour hold
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 4, 2014 22:13:34 GMT
If Pete had been right that UKIP would get 1.5% in Carfax, they'd have got precisely 6 votes!
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 4, 2014 23:37:29 GMT
Oxford, Carfax Robert Waller 32.2 faults, Mark Senior 39.6, Tony Otim 44.8, David Boothroyd 50.2, Pete Whitehead 52.0, hempie 52.2, Joe 50.2+10, brianj & Myth11 53.6+10, hedgehog 60.2+10, PhilDav 61.0+10, Carlton43 61.6+10
Shepway, Harvey Central Pete Whitehead 22.9 faults, Tony Otim 24.3, Carlton43, David Boothroyd & Joe 28.7, hedgehog 32.7, brianj 33.1, PhilDav 37.1, Robert Waller 38.7, Mark Senior 30.4+10, hempie & Myth11 38.4+10
Surrey Heath, Old Dean David Boothroyd 4.1 faults, Myth11 6.3, brianj 7.7, Pete Whitehead 7.9, hedgehog 9.7, Tony Otim 11.3, Mark Senior 12.1, hempie 17.7, Joe 17.9, Carlton43 & PhilDav 19.7, Robert Waller 23.7
And for the 1st week:
80.4 Tony Otim 82.8 Pete Whitehead 83.0 David Boothroyd
92.1 Mark Senior 94.6 Robert Waller 104.4 brianj
106.9 Joe 112.6 hedgehog 118.3 Myth11
118,4 hempie 120.0 Carlton43 127.8 PhilDav
Objections please by noon Saturday
Six by-electiond next. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday.
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 5, 2014 17:02:48 GMT
Well, at least I finally managed to win in central Oxford - even if it was over 35 years late ...
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Post by Robert Waller on Sept 10, 2014 22:10:47 GMT
Carlisle BC - Castle - Labour died Robert Currie (The Conservative Party Candidate) 19 Richard Hunt (The Green Party) 5 Lawrence Jennings (Liberal Democrat) 8 Fiona Mills (UK Independence Party) 25 Alan Taylor (The Labour Party Candidate) 43
Cumbria CC - Castle - Labour died
James Bainbridge (The Conservative Party Candidate) 19 Neil Boothman (The Green Party) 5 Lawrence Jennings (Liberal Democrat) 8 Alan McGuckin (The Labour Party Candidate) 43 John Stanyer (UK Independence Party) 25
Newark and Sherwood DC - Collingham and Meering - Conservative died
Sara Chadd (UK Independence Party (UK I P)) 18 David Clarke (Independent) 38 Kieran Owen (Labour Party Candidate) 8 Richard Shillito (Conservative Party) 36
Newark and Sherwood DC - Ollerton - Labour died
Mary Brown (The Conservative Party Candidate) 17 Moritz Dawkins (UKIP) 26 Michael Pringle (Labour Party Candidate) 57
Newham LB - Beckton - Labour died
Syed Ahmed (Conservative Party Candidate) 24 Mark Dunne (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 3 Jane Lithgow (Green Party) 3 David Mears (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 6 Kayode Shewodo (Christian Peoples Alliance) 4 David Thorpe (Liberal Democrat) 2 Tonii Wilson (Labour Party Candidate) 58
Vale of White Horse DC - Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat resigned because she moved out of area
Margaret Crick (Liberal Democrat) 36 Michael Gould (Labour Party Candidate) 10 Christopher Parkes (United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP)) 16 Andrew Todd (The Conservative Party Candidate) 38
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carlton43
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Post by carlton43 on Sept 10, 2014 22:58:45 GMT
Carlisle Lab 56 UKIP 21 Con 14 LD 7 Green 2 Cumbria Lab 56 UKIP 23 Con 12 LD 7 Green 2 Collingham Con 38 Ind 27 UKIP 26 Lab 9 Ollerton Lab 57 UKIP 24 Con 19 Beckton Lab 34 Con 25 LD 13 CPA 12 Green 7 UKIP 6 TUSC 3 Abingdon LD 33 Con 32 Lab 18 UKIP 17
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 10, 2014 23:03:22 GMT
CARLISLE Castle: Lab 40, L Dem 30, UKIP 17, C 10, GP 3 CUMBRIA Castle: Lab 40, L Dem 30, UKIP 17, C 10, GP 3 NEWARK AND SHERWOOD Collingham and Meering: Ind 38, C 35, UKIP 18, Lab 9 NEWARK AND SHERWOOD Ollerton: Lab 52, C 25, UKIP 23 NEWHAM Beckton: Lab 45, C 33, UKIP 10, CPA 5, GP 3, L Dem 3, TUSC 1 VALE OF WHITE HORSE Abingdon Dunmore: L Dem 42, C 39, Lab 11, UKIP 8
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