|
|
Post by greatkingrat on Jun 10, 2014 23:00:57 GMT
AMBER VALLEY - Swanwick (deferred election, Conservative seat)
2011 - Con 903, Ind 593, Lab 523, BNP 63
2010 - Con 1610, Lab 983, LD 599
2007 - Con 719, Ind 634, Lab 284, BNP 135, LD 84
2006 - Con 983, Lab 389, LD 220
Joel HUNT (Liberal Democrat)
Allen KING (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
George SOUDAH (Independent)
Antony TESTER (Labour Party Candidate)
David WILSON (The Conservative Party Candidate)
BARNET - Colindale (deferred election, 3x Labour seats)
2010 - Lab 3259/2836/2711, Con 1175/1175/1019, LD 1095/898/764, Grn 337/306/276
2006 - Lab 1442/1348/1339, Con 572/566/414, LD 472/417/403, Grn 312
2002 - Lab 1314/1302/1219, Con 376/376/374, LD 294/282/238, Grn 156
Nneka AKWAEZE (Conservative Party Candidate)
John BASKIN (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Golnar BOKAEI (Conservative Party Candidate)
Victor CORNEY (Liberal Democrat)
Maggie CURATI (Green Party)
Daniel ESTERMANN (Liberal Democrat)
Khalid KHAN (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Francesco MARASCO (Green Party)
Nagus NARENTHIRA (Labour Party Candidate)
Andrew NEWBY (Green Party)
William NICHOLSON (Conservative Party Candidate)
Barry RYAN (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Gill SARGEANT (Labour Party Candidate)
Sabriye WARSAME (Liberal Democrat)
Zakia ZUBAIRI (Labour Party Candidate)
|
|
|
|
Post by David Ashforth on Jun 15, 2014 10:23:14 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Jun 25, 2014 12:49:33 GMT
A result from a by election held yesterday 24th
Littlehampton TC River ward Lib Dem gain from Conservative
LD 263 Lab 220 Con 180 UKIP 178
A previous by election in the ward on 6th Dec 2012 was also a Lib Dem gain from Conservative
|
|
|
|
Post by sussexpsephology on Jun 26, 2014 5:44:29 GMT
A result from a by election held yesterday 24th Littlehampton TC River ward Lib Dem gain from Conservative LD 263 Lab 220 Con 180 UKIP 178 A previous by election in the ward on 6th Dec 2012 was also a Lib Dem gain from Conservative Note that the Labour candidate is also the PPC for Bognor Regis and Littlehampton constituency. Looks a bit embarrassing, he can't even win a parish council seat what chance has he got for parliament!?!?! The winner (Berni Millam) was the LibDem parliamentary candidate for Brighton Pavilion in 2010. |
|
|
|
Post by marksenior on Jun 26, 2014 6:35:43 GMT
Littlehampton River ward was the local Labour stronghold in the area . They won both DC seats in 2003 , held 1 with Lib Dems taking the 2nd in 2007 and the Conservatives won both in 2011 . The 2011 TC elections had 2 Conservatives and an Independent elected with Labour in 2nd place . The 2 Conservative seats have both now gone to the Lib Dems
|
|
|
|
Post by sussexpsephology on Jun 26, 2014 8:01:13 GMT
Littlehampton River ward was the local Labour stronghold in the area . They won both DC seats in 2003 , held 1 with Lib Dems taking the 2nd in 2007 and the Conservatives won both in 2011 . The 2011 TC elections had 2 Conservatives and an Independent elected with Labour in 2nd place . The 2 Conservative seats have both now gone to the Lib Dems Ham was and is the Labour stronghold, having had a district seat there since 1979 and it's the only ward in Littlehampton still with Labour councillors. I think River (although overall deprived) voted Labour throughout the Blair years by default. The last Labour councillor in River only won his TC seat by 1 vote in 2007 by personal vote and stood-down in 2011. River is the ward of Liberal breakthroughs; Graham Westcott won the first Liberal seat on Littlehampton UDC in 1972 in River and Tony Scott won the first Arun-wide SDP seat in 1984 in River |
|
|
|
Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jun 26, 2014 8:06:20 GMT
A result from a by election held yesterday 24th Littlehampton TC River ward Lib Dem gain from Conservative LD 263 Lab 220 Con 180 UKIP 178 A previous by election in the ward on 6th Dec 2012 was also a Lib Dem gain from Conservative Note that the Labour candidate is also the PPC for Bognor Regis and Littlehampton constituency. Looks a bit embarrassing, he can't even win a parish council seat what chance has he got for parliament!?!?! He'd need an 18.7% swing, so I think that might not be the most relevant question. |
|
|
|
Post by sussexpsephology on Jun 26, 2014 8:28:58 GMT
Note that the Labour candidate is also the PPC for Bognor Regis and Littlehampton constituency. Looks a bit embarrassing, he can't even win a parish council seat what chance has he got for parliament!?!?! He'd need an 18.7% swing, so I think that might not be the most relevant question. I think it's highly relevant. Labour should be looking to come second at the GE and win any LA by-elections that come up within the towns at this stage in the cycle. A parish by-election in one of the most deprived wards, that was held by Labour 1995-2011, the PPC should be able to blow everyone else out of the water with their campaigning zeal. Highly embarrassing for Alan Butcher, I would say. |
|
|
|
Post by Merseymike on Jun 26, 2014 9:51:41 GMT
To be frank, in our electoral system, hell would freeze over before we won Bognor Regis & Littlehampton, so its entirely irrelevant. We have always done really badly here, and in its predecessor Arundel seat.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 26, 2014 22:36:25 GMT
Turnout in Colindale is 27.8%, which is reasonable; turnout across Barnet on 22 May was about 40%, but Colindale ward had the lowest turnout in both 2006 and 2010.
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Jun 26, 2014 22:41:58 GMT
Labour needs to have a majority in Colindale of at least 1,404 votes over the Tories to "win" the Hendon constituency in terms of this year's local elections.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Jun 26, 2014 23:06:39 GMT
Is this site working or is it just very slow.
|
|
timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823 
|
Post by timmullen1 on Jun 26, 2014 23:10:45 GMT
To be frank, in our electoral system, hell would freeze over before we won Bognor Regis & Littlehampton, so its entirely irrelevant. We have always done really badly here, and in its predecessor Arundel seat. Not factoring in any boundary changes, Nick Gibb's majorities have been 7321 in 1997, 5643 in 2001, 7822 in 2005 and 13,063 in 2010, so if we can't get closer than over 5.5K votes at the height of Blair's popularity I suspect our prospects here are below zero. |
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 26, 2014 23:15:15 GMT
Labour needs to have a majority in Colindale of at least 1,404 votes over the Tories to "win" the Hendon constituency in terms of this year's local elections. Given a turnout of 28% I guess they'd struggle - equates to probably about 3000 votes in all so they'd need to be pulling in about two thirds of those and outpolling the Tories by more than three to one (the last part is likely enough) |
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 27, 2014 0:30:59 GMT
Labour hold all three seats in Colindale.
Majority over 1,500 incidentally.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 27, 2014 0:35:41 GMT
Arjun Mittra's tweeted calculations are: "Lab 68% con 15% UKIP 10% Grn 4% LD3%"
|
|
|
|
Post by Ben Walker on Jun 27, 2014 0:41:57 GMT
Colindale (Barnet) top vote result:
LAB - 66.3% (+10.8)
CON - 15.2% (-4.9)
UKIP - 10.5% (+10.5)
LDEM - 4.0% (-14.6)
GRN - 3.9% (-1.8)
By each candidate:
CON 501 5.4%
CON 420 4.5%
CON 466 5.0%
LAB 2190 23.6%
LAB 2088 22.5%
LAB 2015 21.7%
LDEM 90 1.0%
LDEM 133 1.4%
LDEM 87 0.9%
UKIP 347 3.7%
UKIP 268 2.9%
UKIP 309 3.3%
GRN 130 1.4%
GRN 108 1.2%
GRN 114 1.2%
Video of result:
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 27, 2014 0:42:25 GMT
BARNET Colindale
Nagus NARENTHIRA (Labour Party Candidate) 2,190
Gill SARGEANT (Labour Party Candidate) 2,088
Zakia ZUBAIRI (Labour Party Candidate) 2,015
Nneka AKWAEZE (Conservative Party Candidate) 501
William NICHOLSON (Conservative Party Candidate) 466
Golnar BOKAEI (Conservative Party Candidate) 420
John BASKIN (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 347
Barry RYAN (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 309
Khalid KHAN (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 268
Daniel ESTERMANN (Liberal Democrat) 133
Maggie CURATI (Green Party) 130
Andrew NEWBY (Green Party) 114
Francesco MARASCO (Green Party) 108
Victor CORNEY (Liberal Democrat) 90
Sabriye WARSAME (Liberal Democrat) 87
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Jun 27, 2014 0:49:31 GMT
So Labour carry Hendon using top vote by 286 votes.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 27, 2014 8:08:25 GMT
AMBER VALLEY Swanwick
David WILSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 474 (36.4%)
Antony TESTER (Labour Party Candidate) 298 (22.9%)
George SOUDAH (Independent) 252 (19.4%)
Allen KING (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 245 (18.8%)
Joel HUNT (Liberal Democrat) 32 (2.5%)
|
|
