Ashcroft week poll

[Deleted]

And according to Conservative Home, the Ashcroft poll for the Newark by-election shows: Tory 42%, Ukip 27% and Labour 20%.

[Devonian]

Ashcroft national poll

CON 25% LAB 34% LD 6% UKIP 19%

[mrhell]

Looking at one of the questions which Ashcroft has retweeted the Tories appear to be winning the ground game (or at least are most active).
Contact from any of the parties: Con 92%, UKIP 80%, Lab 71%, LD 69%
Posters/billboard seen: Con 50%, UKIP 27%, Lab 20%, LD 14%
Leaflets/newspapers: Con 81%, UKIP 70%, Lab 61%, LD 58%
Letters: Con 49%, LD 29%, UKIP 25%, Lab 20%

[Deleted]

They claimed to have had 600 people out at the weekend

[woollyliberal]

The Ashcroft poll is in stark contrast to Populus whose figures hardly change. in 4 weeks, Ashcroft has had the Tories on 25% and 34%, Labour from 31 to 35, Lib Dems from 6 to 9 and UKIP from 13 to 19. That's a big old spread.

[Deleted]

To be honest you can not take them seriously yet, no chance Tories on 25% ours at 34% is at the most and UKIP score seems too high.

[finsobruce]

Jun 2, 2014 15:22:54 GMT mrhell said:

Looking at one of the questions which Ashcroft has retweeted the Tories appear to be winning the ground game (or at least are most active).
Contact from any of the parties: Con 92%, UKIP 80%, Lab 71%, LD 69%
Posters/billboard seen: Con 50%, UKIP 27%, Lab 20%, LD 14%
Leaflets/newspapers: Con 81%, UKIP 70%, Lab 61%, LD 58%
Letters: Con 49%, LD 29%, UKIP 25%, Lab 20%

but who is ahead in bar charts?

[Deleted]

Jun 2, 2014 15:19:42 GMT Devonian said:

Ashcroft national poll

CON 25% LAB 34% LD 6% UKIP 19%

It's not in the headline figures, but the Greens are on 7%.

[mrhell]

Jun 2, 2014 18:59:14 GMT finsobruce said:

Jun 2, 2014 15:22:54 GMT mrhell said:

Looking at one of the questions which Ashcroft has retweeted the Tories appear to be winning the ground game (or at least are most active).
Contact from any of the parties: Con 92%, UKIP 80%, Lab 71%, LD 69%
Posters/billboard seen: Con 50%, UKIP 27%, Lab 20%, LD 14%
Leaflets/newspapers: Con 81%, UKIP 70%, Lab 61%, LD 58%
Letters: Con 49%, LD 29%, UKIP 25%, Lab 20%

but who is ahead in bar charts?

I could produce a bar chart on that if I felt like it.

[Devonian]

Jun 2, 2014 23:40:31 GMT ArmchairCritic said:

Jun 2, 2014 18:59:14 GMT finsobruce said:

but who is ahead in bar charts?

Well, er.....the LibDems, who do you think?

It was mentioned in the Newark thread. UKIP have started doing bar charts

[Sibboleth]

they should be banned and their publishes prosecuted

[Crimson King]

It's a two horse race. Only the lib Dems can beat UKIP at bar charts here.

[East Anglian Lefty]

The reference to 'tired, old parties' is also ripped straight from the 2010 Lib Dem playbook.

[The Bishop]

If what is claimed above is correct, this is the first poll this parliament to have the LibDems fifth behind both UKIP and the Greens.

(possibly the first ever, too?)

[carlton43]

That poll must have some methodology for treatment of won't say and don't knows that is rooted back into the last GE when the UKIP vote was very small and the Conservative vote very high, and IMO that distorts this result by inflating Conservatives and deflating UKIP. I wager the UKIP result will be better than that poll shows.

[froome]

Jun 2, 2014 22:31:09 GMT jamesdoyle said:

Jun 2, 2014 15:19:42 GMT Devonian said:

Ashcroft national poll

CON 25% LAB 34% LD 6% UKIP 19%

It's not in the headline figures, but the Greens are on 7%.

I look forward to the next article proclaiming that we are now in a 'four party situation'.

[Devonian]

Jun 3, 2014 8:41:00 GMT Crimson King said:

It's a two horse race. Only the lib Dems can beat UKIP at bar charts here.

Speaking of two horse races this image from the UKIP website


I would guess that's the other side of the same leaflet.

[Deleted]

Lord Ashcroft @lordashcroft
Ashcroft National Poll, 6-8 June: CON 28%, LAB 32%, LD 8%, UKIP 17%. Details on @conhome, 4pm

[Deleted]

@lordashcroft poll:
LAB 35%
CON 29%
UKIP 15%
LDEM 8%

So sungate appears to have had no impact :-)

[LDCaerdydd]

There was talk of an Ashcroft Con/LD marginal poll a few weeks ago, as anything more come of that?

Update - He's just tweeted. Thursday 11am