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Post by Devonian on May 8, 2014 13:29:46 GMT
ANC well ahead in the Northern Cape, the DA has advanced well there but it looks like most of their advance has been at the expense of other opposition parties like COPE.
The EFF look like they will be the opposition in Limpopo and they are running neck and neck with the DA in North West. |
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Post by Devonian on May 8, 2014 15:36:32 GMT
Final results from the Northern Cape provincial election
ANC 64.40% (+3.65%)
DA 23.89% (+11.32%)
EFF 4.96% (+4.96%)
COPE 3.60% (-13.7%)
Note: The Independent Democrats which gained 4.94% of the vote in Northern Cape in 2009 have subsequently merged with the DA.
So it seems that although the DA have made big advances they don't seem to have made any dent in the ANC vote ij Northern Cape, they have rather gained many (but not all) of those who voted COPE and ID in 2009.
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Post by Devonian on May 8, 2014 16:47:21 GMT
Final results from Mpumalanga provincial election
ANC 78.23% (-7.32%)
DA 10.40% (+2.91%)
EFF 6.26% (+6.26%)
Cope which got 2.91% here is 2009 got 0.32% this election. Once again the gains of the DA seem to be almost entirely at the expense of other opposition parties. Most of the decline of the ANC vote here can be accounted for by the EFF.
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Post by Andrew_S on May 8, 2014 18:00:01 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on May 8, 2014 19:35:51 GMT
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Post by Andrew_S on May 8, 2014 19:54:21 GMT
City of Johannesburg, latest figures:
DA: 325,594
ANC: 317,781
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850 
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Post by johng on May 8, 2014 20:32:28 GMT
City of Johannesburg, latest figures: DA: 325,594 ANC: 317,781 Most of Soweto has yet to declare. Think 80% ANC. TBF to the DA too, there are some quite wealthy areas still to declare, but far fewer than ANC strongholds. Overall not a bad election for any party, except for the minor parties. The ANC will have more than 60% of the vote, and if will have enough votes to change the constitution if required, if they get support from the EFF. Any dissent from normal ANC voters voting ANC has been very localised (from the striking miners etc.), and hasn't affected the national picture at all. The DA has consolidated the non-black vote quite well, and in black township areas has increased its vote from less than 1% to ~6%. They have done very well in the Western Cape. They managed to get the Coloured vote out, where looking at the turnout figures, the ANC struggled in the black townships (and again the DA has increased its vote share). In the WC, most of Cape Town city centre is yet to declare, and should be in the 90% DA territory. Think 60% DA in this province from 50. They should become the official opposition in Kwazulu-Natal, something unthinkable a decade ago (Though this is primarily because of the collapse of the IFP). They also have done very well in Gauteng and Port Elizabeth. The EFF will have quite a few members of parliament, and have shown their ability to take township black votes like COPE did. It will provide a platform for Malema, and his real task now is keeping his party together unless he wants to copy COPE and collapse into oblivion. COPE- What a disaster. Agang- What a disaster. Funnily enough, the only districts they have managed to eke over 1% of the vote have been majority white ones. So much for challenging the ANC. IFP- Probably not even going to come second in KZN. Has sunk into oblivion. Some minor parties like UDM and VF+ haven't done badly, and should be pretty happy. |
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Post by Andrew_S on May 8, 2014 20:50:16 GMT
Turnout must be down compared to previous elections because the ANC is only just going to reach 10 million votes.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 9, 2014 10:21:17 GMT
Not everywhere in yet, but the ANC is now on 10,967,878 votes so is likely to be over 11 million by the end. Malema has taken over a million.
The DA has added at least a million to its 2009 showing, while COPE has fallen from 1.3 million to 120,000.
But looks like the ANC percentage will be below 1994.
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Post by Andrew_S on May 9, 2014 16:05:05 GMT
The main South African opposition party has beaten its previous best performance in terms of absolute numbers of votes (and also percentage): 1994: 3,983,690 [20.39%] — National Party 1999: 1,527,337 [9.56%] — Democratic Party 2004: 1,931,201 [12.37%] — Democratic Alliance 2009: 2,945,829 [16.66%] — Democratic Alliance Latest 2014 figures: 4,043,289 [22.15%] — Democratic Alliance www.news24.com/Elections/Results#map=live |
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on May 9, 2014 16:09:28 GMT
With 99.6% of the vote in...
ANC - 62.20%
DA - 22.19 (First time an opposition party has gotten more than 4 million votes) (Came third in 'the black vote' behind the ANC and EFF)
EFF - 6.31% (Fewer votes than COPE last time. But has done well in the townships of Gauteng)
IFP - 2.41% (What a disaster!)
NFP - 1.58% (IFP splinter group)
UDM - 1.01%
All of the others have less than 1%.
The international vote is quite interesting. For the first time SAers abroad have had the vote, and around 17k voted.
DA- 84.44%. ANC- 8.32%. Agang 1.81%. EFF- 1.41%. VF+- 1.09%. ACDP- 1.01%. Everyone else only got a few votes.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on May 9, 2014 16:20:09 GMT
Projected seats
ANC 255 (-9)
DA 90 (+23) (+19 if we count the ID as part of the DA)
EFF 27 (New)
IFP 9 (-9)
NFP 6 (New (IFP Splinter))
UDM 4 (+-0)
VF Plus 3 (-1)
COPE 2 (-28)
ACDP 2 (-1)
AGANG 1 (New)
AIC 1 (NEW) (Controversial as the ANC has claimed they have stolen ANC votes, destined for them with the similar name)
Leaving Parliament
UCDP (-2)
PAC (-1)
MF (-1)
AZAPO (-1)
APC (-1)
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Post by Devonian on May 10, 2014 11:03:26 GMT
Report on the election results here. Helen Zille saying that she intends to retire from the leadership of the DA after the 2016 local elections
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Post by Andrew_S on May 10, 2014 12:34:53 GMT
Things are moving in the right direction. We might get a competitive election in 10 years' time.
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johng
Labour
Posts: 4,850
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Post by johng on May 10, 2014 21:40:04 GMT
The IEC have set out the final results (although they won't be officially confirmed until 6pm tomorrow)
ANC - 62.15% -249 seats (-15) (Lowest ever vote or seat share by the ANC)
DA - 22.23% - 89 seats (+18 if we include the ID total) (Highest ever vote and seat share by an opposition party)
EFF - 6.35% -25 seats (New)
IFP - 2.40% - 10 seats (-8)
NFP - 1.57% - 6 seats (New - IFP Splinter)
UDM - 1.00% - 4 seats (+-0)
VF+ - 0.90% - 4 seats (+-0)
COPE - 0.67% - 3 seats (-27)
ACDP - 0.57% - 3 seats (+-0)
AIC - 0.53% - 3 seats (New) (Controversial as the ANC claims it took votes from the ANC due to the similar name).
AGANG SA - 0.28% - 2 seats (New)
PAC - 0.21% - 1 seat (+-0)
APC - 0.17% - 1 seat (+-0) (PAC Splinter)
Leaving Parliament
UCDP (-2)
MF (-1)
AZAPO (-1)
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Dan
Animal Welfare Party
Believes we need more localism in our politics
Posts: 813
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Post by Dan on May 12, 2014 11:50:11 GMT
Things are moving in the right direction. We might get a competitive election in 10 years' time. If the ANC continues to lose 4/5% of their share of the vote in every subsequent election, and the DA add on 4/5%, we can look forward to 2029 with much interest! |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 12, 2014 11:56:35 GMT
If you're going to rig, usually it's a good idea to cover your tracks a bit better. Seems unlikely they would bother given the derisory figures for other parties. More likely an administrative error. |
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