By-elections - 28th November 2013

[The Bishop]

Nov 29, 2013 1:36:29 GMT carlton43 said:

Nov 28, 2013 23:31:19 GMT markgoodair said:

Lab 1041
Ukip 856
Con 504
Lib dem 212

That looks to be a rather good UKIP result?

Yes, a generally good set of byelections for your lot. Dave doing your work for you again?

[listener]

Hatfield (Dunscroft) in Doncaster - Morrison (Ind) 318, UKIP 271, Moate (Ind) 109 - Independent gain from Lab
Thorne-Moorends (Thorne Town) in Doncaster - The Community Group 853, Lab 708 - The Community Group gain from Lab
Maryport (Netherhall) in Allerdale (Cumbria) - Lab 266, UKIP 248 - Lab hold
Oldland (Longwell Green) in South Gloucestershire - Con 553, Lab 177 - Con hold
Ross-on-Wye (Ross-on-Wye East) in Herefordshire - Con 646, Lib Dem 321 - Con gain from Lib Dem

[Pete Whitehead]

More good UKIP results in the North there.
That Dunscroft ward was confusing the fuck out of me last week when I went looking for the Hatfield South by-election result for Hatfield (Herts) town council and managed to go to the wrong town council website

[The Bishop]

They are doing well in Allerdale rather than Cumbria more generally, tbf. The local Labour party is known to have "issues".

[carlton43]

Nov 29, 2013 14:53:44 GMT The Bishop said:

Nov 29, 2013 1:36:29 GMT carlton43 said:

That looks to be a rather good UKIP result?

Yes, a generally good set of byelections for your lot. Dave doing your work for you again?

The gift that keeps on giving. What will he do next?

[AdminSTB]

Nov 29, 2013 21:43:57 GMT middleenglander said:

Bracknell Forest, Winkfield & Cranbourne - Conservative hold

Party	2013 votes	2013 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"	since 2007 "top"	since 2007 "average"
Conservative	582	52.5%	-18.9%	-18.5%	+2.0%	+1.8%
UKIP	318	28.7%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour	139	12.5%	-1.4%	-1.5%	-3.2%	-2.4%
Lib Dem	69	6.2%	-8.5%	-8.7%	from nowhere	from nowhere
Independent					-33.8%	-34.3%
Total votes	1,108		-724	-694	-562	-536

Swing not meaningful

You've based the Lib Dem changes on a Green candidate in 2011, there was no Lib Dem in 2011.
www.englishelections.org.uk/england/lby/southeast/winkfieldcranbourne.php


Does anyone have the transfers for Landward Caithness? I can't find them on the Highland Council site.

[middleenglander]

Bracknell Forest, Winkfield & Cranbourne - Conservative hold
- amended for Green not Lib Dem in 2011

Party	2013 vote	2013 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"	since 2007 "top"	since 2007 "average"
Conservative	582	52.5%	-18.9%	-18.5%	+2.0%	+1.8%
UKIP	318	28.7%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour	139	12.5%	-1.4%	-1.5%	-3.2%	-2.4%
Lib Dem	69	6.2%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Green			-14.7%	-14.9%
Independent					-33.8%	-34.3%
Total votes	1,108		-724	-694	-562	-536

Swing not meaningful

Central Bedfordshire, Caddington - Conservative hold

Party	2013 votes	2013 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"
Conservative	738	39.6%	-26.9%	-31.7%
Independent	560	30.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere
UKIP	334	17.9%	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour	209	11.2%	-10.2%	-7.4%
Lib Dem	24	1.3%	-10.8%	-8.8%
Total votes	1,865		-1,465	-1,186

Swing not meaningful

Highland, Landward Caithness - Independent gain from SNP

Party	2013 B2 votes	2013 B2 share	since 2013 B1	since 2012	since 2007
Matthew Reiss	1,150	44.4%
Winifred Sutherland	593	22.9%
Tina Irving	128	4.9%
Sub-total Independents	1,871	72.3%	+18.8%	-0.6%	+39.0%
SNP	546	21.1%	-0.2%	+5.6%	+2.3%
Conservative	171	6.6%	-1.6%	+3.5%	-4.9%
Labour			-16.9%	-8.5%	-11.5%
Lib Dem					-24.9%
Total votes	2,588		+126	-963	-2,043

Swing SNP to Independent 9½% since May 2013 by-election and ~18% since 2007 but Independent to SNP ~3% since 2012

Lambeth, Vassal - Labour hold

Party	2013 votes	2013 share	since 2010 "top"	since 2010 "average"	since 2008 B	since 2006 "top"	since 2006 "average"
Labour	1,319	59.8%	+17.4%	+15.9%	+24.0%	+15.6%	+15.1%
Lib Dem	468	21.2%	-15.5%	-14.0%	-29.2%	-14.3%	-14.2%
Conservative	153	6.9%	-4.9%	-4.5%	-1.7%	-4.5%	-4.6%
Green	113	5.1%	-4.0%	-4.3%	+0.6%	from nowhere	from nowhere
UKIP	87	3.9%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
TUSAC	44	2.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
SP (GB)	22	1.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Eng Dem					-0.3%
Independent					-0.3%
Respect						-8.9%	-8.4%
Total votes	2,206		-3,768	-3,097	-192	-1,022	-888

Swing Lib Dem to Labour ~14½% / 16½% since 2010, 27% since 2008 and 15% since 2006

St Helens, Billinge & Seneley Green - Labour hold

Party	2013 votes	2013 share	since 2012	since 2011	since 2010 B	since 2010	since 2008
Labour	936	50.7%	-12.5%	-2.2%	-5.7%	+1.2%	+9.0%
UKIP	442	24.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Conservative	248	13.4%	-5.4%	-13.5%	-13.9%	-16.7%	-27.0%
Green	94	5.1%	+0.2%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
BNP	73	4.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere	-2.2%	from nowhere	from nowhere
Lib Dem	52	2.8%	from nowhere	-1.9%	-7.2%	-17.6%	-15.1%
Independent			-13.0%	-15.5%
Total votes	1,845		-1,004	-1,741	-437	-4,120	-1,356

Swing not meaningful

Wakefield, Horbury & South Ossett - Labour hold
- Labour vote amended to 1,061 and not 1,041 reported last night

Party	2013 votes	2013 share	since 2012	since 2011 B	since 2011	since 2010	Row 1 column 8
Labour	1,061	40.3%	-0.2%	-11.2%	-8.8%	+3.8%	+4.3%
UKIP	856	32.5%	+22.0%	+25.8%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Conservative	504	19.1%	-3.7%	-11.9%	-22.2%	-18.6%	-21.0%
Lib Dem	212	8.1%	-0.2%	+2.3%	-1.4%	-10.8%	-3.2%
No Description			-17.9%
Horbury Independent				-2.7%
Independent				-2.6%			-12.5%
BNP						-6.9%
Total votes	2,633		-1,462	-817	-2,321	-5,408	-1,967

The UKIP candidate in the by-election was the No Description candidate in 2012 and served as the Conservative councillor from 2008 to 2012

Swing Labour to UKIP ~11% since 2012 and ~18½% since July 2011 by-election