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Post by middleenglander on Nov 3, 2013 14:49:30 GMT
Looks like 25 by-elections during November 2013:
- 10 on 7th November
- 4 on 14th November
- 5 on 21st November
- 6 on 28th November
* 3 of the contests are in seats last contested earlier this year
- one county council, one unitary authority and one Scottish Council where there was a first by-election in a seat elected in 2012
* 6 are in seats last contested in 2012
- four in metropolitan boroughs and two in district councils
* 14 are for seats elected in 2011
- eight in unitary authorities and six in district councils
* 2 are in London boroughs where the last elections were in 2010
Conservatives are defending 7 seats, 2 arising from the death of the former councillor and 5 following resignations
Labour are defending 12 seats, 4 following a death and 8 o resignation
Lib Dems are defending 2 seats, both following a resignation although their candidate in one has subsequently withdrawn
Independents are defending 2 seats, both following the death of the same councillor
Its Our County (Herefordshire) and SNP are each defending one seat following resignations
With all nominations now reported:
Conservatives are contesting 24 of the 25 seats, Labour, Lib Dems and UKIP each 21 seats and Greens 12
Independents have 15 candidates contesting 10 seats, Resident Groups 4 (2 for Its Our County, 1 each for Harrow First and Wear Valley Independent) along with TUSAC 5, BNP 2 whilst SNP, SP(GB) and Elvis each have 1 - a total of 128 candidates.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of the election.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2013 17:27:37 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood
Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 45
Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 15
Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 10
Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 25
DURHAM - Crook
John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 33
Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 5
David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 3
Ian HIRST (Independent) 15
Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 32
Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 12
HARBOROUGH - Bosworth
Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 45
Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 15
Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 40
HARROW - Harrow on the Hill
Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 3
Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 40
Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 5
Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 20
Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20
Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 12
HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley
Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 35
Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 25
Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire) 40
NOTTINGHAM - Dales
Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 8
Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 25
Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 16
Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 20
Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 15
Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 16
NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park
David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 5
Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 15
Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 15
Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 15
Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 40
Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 10
SEFTON - Derby
Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 5
Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 10
Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 5
Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 10
Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 60
Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 10
SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham
Michael FULLER (UKIP) 36
John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 19
Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 35
Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 10
WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton
Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 20
Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat) 1
Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20
Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 59
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 6, 2013 21:42:22 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood
Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 61.7
Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 13.0
Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 3.3
Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 22.0
DURHAM - Crook
John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 26.0
Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 4.9
David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 4.7
Ian HIRST (Independent) 30.1
Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 30.8
Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 3.5
HARBOROUGH - Bosworth
Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 62
Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 15
Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 23
HARROW - Harrow on the Hill
Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 6
Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 31
Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 8
Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 24
Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 21
Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 10
HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley
Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 20
Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 23
Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire) 57
NOTTINGHAM - Dales
Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 16
Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 50
Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 16
Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 4
Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2
Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 12
NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park
David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 1
Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 4
Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 13
Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 23
Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 57
Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2
SEFTON - Derby
Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 4
Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 18
Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 4
Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 2
Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 69
Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 3
SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham
Michael FULLER (UKIP) 27
John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 12
Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 47
Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 14
WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton
Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 5
Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat)4
Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 36
Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 55
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 7, 2013 0:08:20 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 64.0% Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 17.6% Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 15.2% Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 3.2% DURHAM - Crook Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 33.5% Ian HIRST (Independent)30.6% John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 24.3% Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 4.9% David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 4.5% Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 2.2% HARBOROUGH - Bosworth Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 64.4% Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 17.9% Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 17.7% HARROW - Harrow on the Hill Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 34.1% Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 23.2% Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 15.2% Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 12.3% Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 9.4% Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 5.8% HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire) 60.1% Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 24.6% Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 15.3% NOTTINGHAM - Dales Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 56.4% Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 12.7% Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 12.3% Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 11.6% Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 3.8% Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 3.2% NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 54.0% Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20.5% Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 13.1% Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 6.3% Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 4.7% David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 1.4% SEFTON - Derby Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 71.1% Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 12.6% Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 8.3% Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 3.5% Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 2.4% Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 2.1% SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 50.0% Michael FULLER (UKIP) 27.9% Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 11.6% John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 10.5% WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 52.7% Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 38.5% Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 5.2% Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat)3.6% Read more: vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/3462/prediction-competition-november-2013?page=1#scrollTo=116387#ixzz2juFzlWb0 |
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Post by hempie on Nov 7, 2013 8:16:29 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood
Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 46.0%
Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 20%
Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 22%
Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 12%
DURHAM - Crook
Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 34
Ian HIRST (Independent)20%
John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 27%
Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 7%
David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 8%
Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 4%
HARBOROUGH - Bosworth
Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 61%
Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 20%
Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 19%
HARROW - Harrow on the Hill
Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 32%
Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 27%
Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 10%
Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 10%
Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 9%
Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 12%
HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley
Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire) 53%
Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 24%
Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 23%
NOTTINGHAM - Dales
Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 43%
Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 12%
Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 22%
Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 13%
Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 5%
Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 5%
NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park
Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 53%
Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 20%
Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 12%
Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 10%
Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 3%
David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 2%
SEFTON - Derby
Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 62%
Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 22%
Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 5%
Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 5%
Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 3%
Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 3%
SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham
Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 45%
Michael FULLER (UKIP) 26%
Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 14%
John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 15%
WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton
Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 49%
Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 39%
Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 5%
Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat)7%
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Post by marksenior on Nov 7, 2013 8:51:06 GMT
Corby Lab 60 UKIP 20 Con 16 LD 4
Durham Ind 32 Lab 30 WVIG 28 LD 5 Green 3 Con 2
Harborough Con 63 Lab 21 LD 16
Harrow Lab 35 Con 26 Harr 1st 16 UKIP 13 LD 8 Ind 2
Herefordshire IOC 44 LD 29 Con 27
Nottingham Dales Lab 50 UKIP 16 LD 14 Con 13 TUSC 4 Green 3
Nottingham Radford Lab 44 UKIP 19 Con 18 Green 9 Elvis 6 TUSC 4
Sefton Lab 67 UKIP 18 Green 6 TUSC 5 Ind B 2 Ind E 2
Spelthorne Con 55 UKIP 20 Lab 14 LD 11
West Oxon Lab 42 Con 40 LD 14 Green 4
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 7, 2013 9:12:45 GMT
Corby: Lab 71.1 UKIP 13.2 Con 11.6 LD 4.1 Durham: Lab 31.5 Ind 28.8 WVI 22.1 Con 8.5 LD 5.7 Grn 3.4 Harborough: Con 60.4 UKIP 21.6 LD 18.0 Harrow: Lab 35.2 Con 22.1 Ind 16.3 Harrow 1st 10.6 LD 8.5 UKIP 7.3 Herefordshire: IOC 52.2 LD 24.7 Con 23.1 Nottingham - Dales: Lab 50.8 LD 19.4 Con 12.5 UKIP 11.1 Grn 3.7 TUSC 2.5 Nottingham - Radford & Park: Lab 53.4 Con 21.2 Grn 11.2 UKIP 9.9 Elvis 2.2 TUSC 2.1 Sefton: Lab 70.7 UKIP 12.1 Ind E 9.2 Ind B 3.5 Grn 2.7 TUSC 1.8 Spelthorne: Con 49.9 UKIP 28.4 Lab 13.7 LD 8.0 West Oxfordshire: Lab 55.3 Con 36.8 Grn 4.2 LD 3.7 I've just noticed that I'd originally put Labour rather than LD in Harborough - I'll take the penalties for a late alteration/submission or whatever other penalties middleenglander deems appropriate. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Nov 7, 2013 9:17:03 GMT
Harrow LB - Harrow on the Hill Con 34.5% Lab 32.3% LD 9.6% Ind 9.1% HF 7.6% UKIP 6.9% Sefton MB - Derby Lab 71.7% UKIP 18.6% TUSC 5.2% Ind B 1.7% Ind E 1.7% Grn 1.1% Durham UA - Crook Lab 32.4% Ind 29.9% WVI 24.3% LD 6.5% Con 4.2% Grn 2.8% Herefordshire UA - Tupsley IOC 51.7% LD 26.8% Con 21.5% Nottingham UA - Dales Lab 51.2% Con 18.4% LD 16.6% UKIP 5.8% Grn 4.7% TUSC 3.2% Nottingham UA - Radford & Park Lab 48.3% Con 27.7% Grn 10.5% UKIP 6.8% TUSC 3.8% Elvis 2.9% Corby BC - Kingswood Lab 56.4% UKIP 22.1% Con 16.4% LD 5.1% Harborough DC - Bosworth Con 54.3% UKIP 27.8% LD 17.9% Spelthorne - Riverside & Laleham Con 50.6% UKIP 25.4% LD 13.7% Lab 10.3% West Oxon DC - Chipping Norton Lab 51.8% Con 40.8% LD 4.2% Grn 3.2% I subsequently emailed MIddle Englander with two amendments to the tune of 0.1% each because two of my results didn't add up to 100 |
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Post by marksenior on Nov 7, 2013 9:48:26 GMT
My Lab vote in Harborough should of course be UKIP Amend or keep as is whatever penalties are lower .
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Post by Philip Davies on Nov 7, 2013 10:53:45 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 68.4 Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 13.9 Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 2.9 Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 14.8 DURHAM - Crook John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 23.8 Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 7.9 David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 6.9 Ian HIRST (Independent) 26.9 Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 30.7 Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 3.8 HARBOROUGH - Bosworth Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 53.5 Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 23.0 Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 23.5 HARROW - Harrow on the Hill Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 6.1 Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 39.7 Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 11.6 Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 7.8 Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 28.5 Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 6.3 HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 18.6 Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 25.9 Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire)) 55.5 NOTTINGHAM - Dales Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 12.5 Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 54 Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 12.5 Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 4 Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2 Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 15 NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 1 Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 8 Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 12.5 Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 25 Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 51.5 Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 2 SEFTON - Derby Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 1.5 Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 15 Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 1.5 Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 2 Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 76 Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 4 SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham Michael FULLER (UKIP) 26.9 John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 13.4 Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 49.4 Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 10.3 WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 5.0 Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat) 3.2 Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 40.0 Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 51.8 |
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Post by electionknight on Nov 7, 2013 19:18:26 GMT
CORBY - Kingswood
Elise ELLISTON (The Labour Party Candidate) 52
Phil EWERS (Conservative Party Candidate) 20
Julie GRANT (Liberal Democrat) 3
Peter MCGOWAN (The UK Independence Party) 25
DURHAM - Crook
John BAILEY (Wear Valley Independent Group) 28
Beaty BAINBRIDGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 4
David ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat) 5
Ian HIRST (Independent) 25
Andrea PATTERSON (Labour Party Candidate) 35
Joanne YELLAND (The Green Party) 3
HARBOROUGH - Bosworth
Lesley BOWLES (Conservative Party Candidate) 57
Annette DEACON (Liberal Democrat Focus Team) 13
Bill PIPER (UK Independence Party) 30
HARROW - Harrow on the Hill
Gaye BRANCH (Liberal Democrat) 4
Glen HEARNDEN (The Labour Party Candidate) 36
Gajan IDAIKKADAR (Harrow First) 13
Eileen KINNEAR (Independent) 13
Stephen LEWIS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 28
Jeremy ZEID (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 6
HEREFORDSHIRE - Tupsley
Duncan FRASER (Liberal Democrats) 28
Jason KAY (Local Conservatives) 30
Cath NORTH (It's OUR County (Herefordshire) 42
NOTTINGHAM - Dales
Tad JONES (Liberal Democrats) 18
Neghat KHAN (The Labour Party Candidate) 40
Irenea MARRIOTT (UK Independence Party) 17
Adam MCGREGOR (The Green Party) 5
Cathy MEADOWS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 3
Neale MITTENSHAW-HODGE (The Conservative Party Candidate) 17
NOTTINGHAM - Radford and Park
David BISHOP (Elvis Loves Pets Party) 3
Katharina BOETTGE (The Green Party) 10
Francesco LARI (UK Independence Party) 17
Nicholas PACKHAM (The Conservative Party Candidate) 24
Anne PEACH (The Labour Party Candidate) 38
Geraint THOMAS (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 8
SEFTON - Derby
Janice BLANCHARD (Independent) 6
Jack COLBERT (UK Independence Party) 15
Juliet EDGAR (Independent) 4
Laurence RANKIN (The Green Party) 9
Anne THOMPSON (Labour Party Candidate) 57
Graham WOODHOUSE (Trade Unionists and Socialist Against Cuts) 9
SPELTHORNE - Riverside and Laleham
Michael FULLER (UKIP) 25
John JOHNSTON (Labour Party Candidate) 19
Denise SALIAGOPOULOS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 32
Susan VINCENT (Liberal Democrat) 24
WEST OXFORDSHIRE - Chipping Norton
Matthew CLAYTON (Green Party) 12
Andrew CRICK (Liberal Democrat) 4
Joe JOHNSON (The Conservative Party Candidate) 29
Geoff SAUL (Labour and Co-operative Party Candidate) 55
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 7, 2013 22:27:29 GMT
9 entries this week with nothing from Andrew Teale, Arthur Figgis, Dibs and greatkkingrat amongst others. CatholicLeft and Just Looking rejoin whilst electionknight is a newcomer who unfortunately posted too late to be officially included but will still be scored as if he had been on time.
Just Looking gets 5 additional faults for adding only to 95% in Corby whilst Mark Senior also gets 5 additional faults for effectively being up to 1 hour late with his Harborough prediction.
There is a great deal of unanimity (95%) that most seats will be retained by the defending party, the exceptions being:
* Just Looking a Wear Valley Independent gain from Labour in Durham
* Mark Senior an Independent gain from Labour also in Durham
* Pete Whitehead a Conservative gain from Labour in Harrow
* Just Looking an UKIP gain from Conservative in Spelthorne
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 8, 2013 0:53:48 GMT
Corby, Kingswood
Robert Waller 4.3 faults, CatholicLeft 8.0, Mark Senior 9.8, PhilDav 13.6, Pete Whitehead 13.9, tonyotim 20.6, electionknight 22.7, Just Looking 31.7+5, hempie 37.8
Durham, Crook
Pete Whitehead 18.7 faults, CatholicLeft & electionknoght 20.5, PhilDav 21.5, tonyotim 22.1, Robert Waller 25.5, hempie 26.7, Mark Senior 28.4+10, Just Looking 50.5+10
Harborough, Bosworth - amended
PhilDav 3.1 faults, Pete Whitehead 11.9, tonyotim 12.4, hempie 13.6, Robert Waller 17.7, CatholicLeft 20.4, electionknight 21.7, Mark Senior 17.6+5, Just Looking 36.1
Nottingham, Dales
CatholicLeft 25.5, PhilDav 30.9, Robert Waller 34.6, Mark Senior 34.7, tonyotim 39.7, Pete Whitehead 47.9, hempie 52.1, electionknight 52.7, Just Looking 82.7
Nottingham, Radford & Park
Robert Waller 19.1 faults, CatholicLeft 23.2, tonyotim 23.6, hempie 24.9, PhiDav 29.0, Peter Whitehead 34.3, Mark Senior 46.9, electionknight 54.4, Just Looking 60.9
Sefton, Derby
hempie 10.3 faults, Robert Waller 12.8, Mark Senior 16.1, Pete Whitehead 17.5, CatholicLeft 18.9, tonyotim 21.1, PhilDav 24.1, electionknight 33.4, Just Looking 35.4
Spelthorne, Riverside & Laleham
tonyotim 11.4 faults, PhilDav 13.7, Mark Senior 15.1, CatholicLeft 17.6, Pete Whitehead 20.5, Robert Waller 21.1, hempie 23.0, Just Looking 40.6+10, electionknight 51.0
West Oxfordshire, Chipping Norton
tonyotim 3.5 faults, Robert Waller 4.0, CatholicLeft 8.9, PhilDav 11.5, Pete Whitehead 12.2, hempie 16.0, electionknight 16.4, Mark Senior 30.2, Just Looking 35.8
With results for 8 of this week's 10 by-elections in (subject to verification) we have:
Robert Waller 139.0, CatholicLeft 143.0, PhilDav 147.3, tonyotim 154.5, Pete Whitehead 176.8, hempie 204.5, Mark Senior 213.8, Just Looking 398.6
electionknight would be on 272.9 faults if he had posted on time
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 8, 2013 8:40:09 GMT
last but last, last, last, last , last , last , last but last, last and in total last but last only due faults. but still last.
Well at least I am consistent.
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 8, 2013 8:57:55 GMT
I think I should have 5 extra faults for Harborough as well - it was past the 9 o'clock deadline when I changed Lab to LD on my prediction...
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 8, 2013 12:01:01 GMT
I think I should have 5 extra faults for Harborough as well - it was past the 9 o'clock deadline when I changed Lab to LD on my prediction... Thanks, missed that one. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Nov 8, 2013 17:47:17 GMT
Think Phil has continued his very strong run by winning the week.
Well done!
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Post by middleenglander on Nov 8, 2013 23:12:39 GMT
Corby, Kingswood
Robert Waller 4.3 faults, CatholicLeft 8.0, Mark Senior 9.8, PhilDav 13.6, Pete Whitehead 13.9, tonyotim 20.6, electionknight 22.7, Just Looking 31.7+5, hempie 37.8
Durham, Crook
Pete Whitehead 18.7 faults, CatholicLeft & electionknoght 20.5, PhilDav 21.5, tonyotim 22.1, Robert Waller 25.5, hempie 26.7, Mark Senior 28.4+10, Just Looking 50.5+10
Harborough, Bosworth - amended
PhilDav 3.1 faults, Pete Whitehead 11.9, hempie 13.6, tonyotim 12.4+5, Robert Waller 17.7, CatholicLeft 20.4, electionknight 21.7, Mark Senior 17.6+5, Just Looking 36.1
Harrow, Harrow on the Hill
electionknight 16.7 faults, PhilDav 17.9, CatholicLeft & tonyotim 28.9, Pete Whitehead 19.2+10, Just Looking 29.3, hempie 29.7, Robert Waller 39.5, Mark Senior 41.7
Herefordshire, Tupsley - revised
Robert Waller 8.5 faults, PhilDav 11.5, CastholicLeft 14.8, hempie 16.5, tonyotim 18.1, Pete Whitehead 19.2, Mark Senior 34.5, electionknight 38.5, Just Looking 42.5
Nottingham, Dales
CatholicLeft 25.5, PhilDav 30.9, Robert Waller 34.6, Mark Senior 34.7, tonyotim 39.7, Pete Whitehead 47.9, hempie 52.1, electionknight 52.7, Just Looking 82.7
Nottingham, Radford & Park
Robert Waller 19.1 faults, CatholicLeft 23.2, tonyotim 23.6, hempie 24.9, PhiDav 29.0, Peter Whitehead 34.3, Mark Senior 46.9, electionknight 54.4, Just Looking 60.9
Sefton, Derby
hempie 10.3 faults, Robert Waller 12.8, Mark Senior 16.1, Pete Whitehead 17.5, CatholicLeft 18.9, tonyotim 21.1, PhilDav 24.1, electionknight 33.4, Just Looking 35.4
Spelthorne, Riverside & Laleham
tonyotim 11.4 faults, PhilDav 13.7, Mark Senior 15.1, CatholicLeft 17.6, Pete Whitehead 20.5, Robert Waller 21.1, hempie 23.0, Just Looking 40.6+10, electionknight 51.0
West Oxfordshire, Chipping Norton
tonyotim 3.5 faults, Robert Waller 4.0, CatholicLeft 8.9, PhilDav 11.5, Pete Whitehead 12.2, hempie 16.0, electionknight 16.4, Mark Senior 30.2, Just Looking 35.8
and with all results in for the week:
176.6 PhilDav
186.7 CatholicLeft
187.0 Robert Waller
206.5 tonyotim
225.2 Pete Whitehead
250.7 hempie
290.0 Mark Senior
470.4 Just Looking
electionknight would be on 328.1 faults if he had posted on time
Objections please by 5.00 pm on Sunday
4 by-elections next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday
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Post by Philip Davies on Nov 9, 2013 1:15:03 GMT
Think Phil has continued his very strong run by winning the week. Well done! I was getting ready to congratulate you before the Harrow result came in. But I can still tell you I spent hours reading your Almanac in the 1990s in Stockport Central Library! |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Nov 9, 2013 14:19:59 GMT
Congratulations to Phil for the week!
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