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Post by Deleted on Dec 19, 2018 22:37:06 GMT
In 2019, Florida will have two Republican Senators for the first time since 1875.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 22, 2018 18:12:24 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election:
Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham.
Conservative win: Copeland.
Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham.
Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park.
Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon.
Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington.
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john07
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Post by john07 on Dec 22, 2018 18:15:26 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election: Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham. Conservative win: Copeland. Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham. Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park. Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon. Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington. Made a bit of a bugger of it if you ask me?
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Post by gwynthegriff on Dec 22, 2018 19:28:51 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election: Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham. Conservative win: Copeland. Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham. Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park. Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon. Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington. Made a bit of a bugger of it if you ask me? The Lib Dem predictions there weren't too bad though.
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john07
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Post by john07 on Dec 22, 2018 20:04:57 GMT
Made a bit of a bugger of it if you ask me? The Lib Dem predictions there weren't too bad though. Fair comment but the rest was pure delusion.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 22, 2018 21:08:13 GMT
Had 3 people in North East Fife and 23 in Richmond Park voted Lib Dem instead of Tory the Lib Dems would’ve won those.
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Post by greenhert on Dec 22, 2018 21:47:17 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election: Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham. Conservative win: Copeland. Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham. Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park. Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon. Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington. At the time these predictions were reasonably sound; the Conservative campaign was dreadful yet they still won 12 of the seats listed as "Conservative gains", in addition to retaining Copeland (won at the 2017 by-election) and also Mansfield. A further five (Barrow & Furness, Bishop Auckland, Dudley North, Newcastle-under-Lyme, and Perth & North Perthshire) were missed by margins of 1% or less.
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Post by Deleted on Dec 23, 2018 8:28:39 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election: Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham. Conservative win: Copeland. Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham. Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park. Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon. Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington. At the time these predictions were reasonably sound; the Conservative campaign was dreadful yet they still won 12 of the seats listed as "Conservative gains", in addition to retaining Copeland (won at the 2017 by-election) and also Mansfield. A further five (Barrow & Furness, Bishop Auckland, Dudley North, Newcastle-under-Lyme, and Perth & North Perthshire) were missed by margins of 1% or less. Lost by c30 votes in the last 3!
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Post by Deleted on Dec 26, 2018 7:31:35 GMT
From 1841 to 1955 Liverpool Council was Tory for 111 years.
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Dec 26, 2018 10:59:18 GMT
Oddly Mansfield got missed Though some people did comment on the lack of a poll there.
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Post by edgbaston on Dec 27, 2018 12:53:02 GMT
I was doing some work in Alum Rock a few weeks ago. Didn't think much of it but it looks like it was the most Labourite ward in the whole country.
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Post by greenhert on Dec 30, 2018 21:04:04 GMT
Anthony Steen holds the record for the longest serving Conservative MP without a privy counsellorship or knighthood to his name-36 years in total. Ironically, he pushed out, following boundary changes in 1983, another long-serving Conservative MP with that dubious lack of achievement, Ray Mawby (who managed 28 years as an MP without achieving either of those honours).
He is not however the longest serving Conservative MP without ever being a minister-that record is held by Sir John Langford-Holt, who never wanted or obtained ministerial office in 38 years as MP for Shrewsbury (1945 to 1983) but was nevertheless knighted in 1962 for his time in Parliament.
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Post by Merseymike on Dec 30, 2018 21:21:28 GMT
Anthony Steen holds the record for the longest serving Conservative MP without a privy counsellorship or knighthood to his name-36 years in total. Ironically, he pushed out, following boundary changes in 1983, another long-serving Conservative MP with that dubious lack of achievement, Ray Mawby (who managed 28 years as an MP without achieving either of those honours). He is not however the longest serving Conservative MP without ever being a minister-that record is held by Sir John Langford-Holt, who never wanted or obtained ministerial office in 38 years as MP for Shrewsbury (1945 to 1983) but was nevertheless knighted in 1962 for his time in Parliament. Mawby was also - curiously for a Conservative MP - in the pay of Communist Czechoslovakia for who he spied. He was also recognised as the most working class Tory Mp of his day as an electrician.
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Post by heslingtonian on Dec 30, 2018 23:08:19 GMT
Anthony Steen holds the record for the longest serving Conservative MP without a privy counsellorship or knighthood to his name-36 years in total. Ironically, he pushed out, following boundary changes in 1983, another long-serving Conservative MP with that dubious lack of achievement, Ray Mawby (who managed 28 years as an MP without achieving either of those honours). He is not however the longest serving Conservative MP without ever being a minister-that record is held by Sir John Langford-Holt, who never wanted or obtained ministerial office in 38 years as MP for Shrewsbury (1945 to 1983) but was nevertheless knighted in 1962 for his time in Parliament. It’s possible to imagine either Philip Davies or Philip Hollobone rivalling Langford-Holt for that title in due course.
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Post by heslingtonian on Dec 30, 2018 23:13:56 GMT
Anthony Steen holds the record for the longest serving Conservative MP without a privy counsellorship or knighthood to his name-36 years in total. Ironically, he pushed out, following boundary changes in 1983, another long-serving Conservative MP with that dubious lack of achievement, Ray Mawby (who managed 28 years as an MP without achieving either of those honours). He is not however the longest serving Conservative MP without ever being a minister-that record is held by Sir John Langford-Holt, who never wanted or obtained ministerial office in 38 years as MP for Shrewsbury (1945 to 1983) but was nevertheless knighted in 1962 for his time in Parliament. Actually, don’t believe Sir David Amess or Sir Roger Gale (first elected 1983) or Sir Bill Cash (first elected 1984) have ever been Ministers so this record is shortly going to be in danger.
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Post by greenhert on Dec 30, 2018 23:53:31 GMT
heslingtonian, you are correct regarding all three of these Conservative MPs. It will be 2 1/2 more years before the record is broken, though, and if a snap election occurred in 2019 the chances are at least one of those three will not stand for re-election.
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john07
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Post by john07 on Dec 31, 2018 2:00:54 GMT
How this forum predicted the 2017 General Election: Conservative gain (38): Aberdeen South; Barrow & Furness; Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk; Bishop Auckland; Blackpool South; Birmingham, Edgbaston; Birmingham, Northfield; Bolton North East; Bridgend; City of Chester; Clacton; Clwyd South; Coventry South; Darlington; Delyn; Dewsbury; Dudley North; Dumfries & Galloway; East Renfrewshire; Eltham; Great Grimsby; Halifax; Harrow West; Lancaster & Fleetwood; Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland; Moray; Newcastle-under-Lyme; North East Derbyshire; Ochil & South Perthshire; Perth & North Perthshire; Scunthorpe; Stoke-on-Trent South; Wakefield; Walsall North; West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine; Wirral West; Wolverhampton South West; Wrexham. Conservative win: Copeland. Liberal Democrat gain (5): Bath; East Dunbartonshire; Edinburgh West; North East Fife; Twickenham. Liberal Democrat win: Richmond Park. Plaid Cymru gain: Ynys Mon. Tossup: Carshalton & Wallington. At the time these predictions were reasonably sound; the Conservative campaign was dreadful yet they still won 12 of the seats listed as "Conservative gains", in addition to retaining Copeland (won at the 2017 by-election) and also Mansfield. A further five (Barrow & Furness, Bishop Auckland, Dudley North, Newcastle-under-Lyme, and Perth & North Perthshire) were missed by margins of 1% or less. Yes but how the hell were 36 Labour gains missed from this morass of electoral wisdom?
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Post by heslingtonian on Dec 31, 2018 6:41:10 GMT
heslingtonian, you are correct regarding all three of these Conservative MPs. It will be 2 1/2 more years before the record is broken, though, and if a snap election occurred in 2019 the chances are at least one of those three will not stand for re-election. I suspect Gale will be the most likely to stand down of the three. Cash strikes me as being in the Ken Clarke/Dennis Skinner category.
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Post by yellowperil on Dec 31, 2018 8:08:37 GMT
heslingtonian , you are correct regarding all three of these Conservative MPs. It will be 2 1/2 more years before the record is broken, though, and if a snap election occurred in 2019 the chances are at least one of those three will not stand for re-election. I suspect Gale will be the most likely to stand down of the three. Cash strikes me as being in the Ken Clarke/Dennis Skinner category. Three of a kind: Clarke, Skinner, Cash? Mmm, yes , I suppose so
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Post by casualobserver on Dec 31, 2018 8:24:08 GMT
From 1841 to 1955 Liverpool Council was Tory for 111 years. Not so! In the City Council elections held on November 1st 1892 the Liberals made 3 gains from the Conservatives, (just) giving overall control to the Liberals/Irish Nationalists. This control was entrenched eight days later when eight new Aldermen were elected (6 Liberals and 2 Irish Nationalists). The right to use the title "Lord Mayor" was only granted in 1892 - the first Lord Mayor of Liverpool was therefore a Liberal Councillor from Exchange Ward. It wasn't until 1895 that the Conservatives (with their Liberal Unionist allies) regained control of the City Council. The 1895 elections were all-out on new boundaries and covered an expanded City Council area. In terms of seats, the Conservatives had a landslide victory.
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