|
|
Post by carlton43 on Feb 26, 2022 12:10:16 GMT
Every Conservative to gain a seat in a by-election while the Tories have been in office has been a woman since the '60s: Angela Rumbold (Mitcham & Morden 1982) Trudy Harrison (Copeland 2017) Jill Mortimer (Hartlepool 2021) Not getting my hopes up or anything, but a Labour (re)gain in Hartlepool at the next GE would be amusing wouldn't it? Wherein lies the humour? I know why you want to win it of course. Legitimate and vulnerable target. But why 'funny'? |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 6, 2022 2:10:48 GMT
A Bush has been, or will be, on the ballot in seven of the US election years this century
2002: Jeb Bush - Florida governor election
2004: George W. Bush - US Presidential election
2014: George P. Bush - Texas Land Commissioner
2016: Jeb Bush - Republican Presidential primary
2018: George P. Bush - Texas Land Commissioner
2020: Pierce Bush - Texas US House elections
2022: George P. Bush - Texas Attorney General primary
The Bushes won 4/7 elections (so far)
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 6, 2022 2:22:19 GMT
A Kennedy has been on the ballot in nine of the US election years this century
2002: Patrick Kennedy - Rhode Island US House election
2004: Patrick Kennedy - Rhode Island US House election
2006: Ted Kennedy - US Senate; Patrick Kennedy - US House
2008: Patrick Kennedy - Rhode Island US House election
2012: Joe Kennedy III - Massachusetts US House election
2014: Joe Kennedy III - Massachusetts US House election
2016: Joe Kennedy III - Massachusetts US House election
2018: Joe Kennedy III - Massachusetts US House election
2020: Joe Kennedy III - Massachusetts US Senate primary; Amy Kennedy (wife of Patrick) - New Jersey US House
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,988
|
Post by The Bishop on Mar 6, 2022 11:40:58 GMT
Not getting my hopes up or anything, but a Labour (re)gain in Hartlepool at the next GE would be amusing wouldn't it? Wherein lies the humour? I know why you want to win it of course. Legitimate and vulnerable target. But why 'funny'? Because of the sheer scale of the Tory win in the byelection, even before we get to the near-iconic status it attained. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 13, 2022 6:08:01 GMT
No Republican presidential candidate has won the state they were born in since Bob Dole won Kansas in 1996.
George W Bush was born in Connecticut, John McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone, Mitt Romney was born in Michigan, and Donald Trump was born in New York.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,988
|
Post by The Bishop on Mar 13, 2022 10:13:27 GMT
No Republican presidential candidate has won the state they were born in since Bob Dole won Kansas in 1996. George W Bush was born in Connecticut, John McCain was born in the Panama Canal Zone, Mitt Romney was born in Michigan, and Donald Trump was born in New York. Not so easy to win that one tbf. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 14, 2022 3:55:25 GMT
Bernie Sanders' seat has never had a Democratic Senator.
The last time each state without a Republican Senator voted for one:
Arizona 2016
California 1988
Colorado 2014
Connecticut 1982
Delaware 1994
Georgia 2016
Hawaii 1970
Illinois 2010
Maryland 1980
Massachusetts 2010*
Michigan 1994
Minnesota 2002
Nevada 2012
New Hampshire 2010
New Jersey 1972
New Mexico 2002
New York 1992
Oregon 2002
Rhode Island 2000
Vermont 2000
Virginia 2002
Washington 1994
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 15, 2022 5:54:51 GMT
The last time each state without a Democratic Senator voted for one
Alabama 2017
Alaska 2008
Arkansas 2008
Florida 2012
Idaho 1974
Indiana 2012
Iowa 2008
Kansas 1932
Kentucky 1992
Louisiana 2008
Maine 1988
Mississippi 1982
Missouri 2012
Nebraska 2006
North Carolina 2008
North Dakota 2012
Oklahoma 1990
South Carolina 1998
South Dakota 2008
Tennessee 1990
Texas 1988
Utah 1970
Wyoming 1970
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 15, 2022 9:10:06 GMT
Surprises in the above lists - New Jersey not having voted Republican since Nixon's landslide. It is far from a Democratic lock in Presidential politics. Jon Corzine only won it in 2000 by spending a large part of his considerable fortune, and Frank Lautenberg only narrowly survived in 1994. Christine Todd Whitman nearly pulled off an unlikely win in 1990.
Maine not having voted for a Democrat since 1988 is a surprise but the consistent way Maine Republicans have selected moderate candidates has been the key to that.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,988
|
Post by The Bishop on Mar 15, 2022 12:15:09 GMT
Even if its a traditionally safe GOP state (though intriguingly becoming less so now) Kansas going back to the 1930s is pretty remarkable.
|
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Mar 15, 2022 17:56:18 GMT
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 15, 2022 19:47:25 GMT
Even if its a traditionally safe GOP state (though intriguingly becoming less so now) Kansas going back to the 1930s is pretty remarkable. Why did Kansas vote to the left of Missouri in 2020? JoCo = Johnson County |
|
J.G.Harston
Lib Dem
Leave-voting Brexit-supporting Liberal Democrat
Posts: 14,796 
Member is Online
|
Post by J.G.Harston on Mar 15, 2022 20:28:08 GMT
What will the data comprise? I can give people the polling district household and elector numbers for SBC right now: link |
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Mar 15, 2022 22:20:32 GMT
What will the data comprise? I can give people the polling district household and elector numbers for SBC right now: linkI only know what it says on the page. Thanks for the link. |
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 15, 2022 22:37:14 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by johnloony on Mar 15, 2022 23:29:05 GMT
Talking of electorates, the local elections electorate for Fairfield ward in Croydon is now 10,595. In 2018 it as 8,471. When the new ward boundaries were drawn in the run up to the 2018 election, it was deliberately made with an electorate much smaller than other 3-member wards, because a big increase in electorate over the next 5-10 years was projected. This increase in electorate has now materialised.
Apart from anything else, the turnout (number, not percentage) in the by-election in Fairfield ward (a 3-member ward) in 2019 was lower than in the by-election in Park Hill & Whitgift ward (a 1-member ward) in 2021.
|
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,858
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 16, 2022 7:26:18 GMT
Even if its a traditionally safe GOP state (though intriguingly becoming less so now) Kansas going back to the 1930s is pretty remarkable. Why did Kansas vote to the left of Missouri in 2020? JoCo = Johnson County  |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,858
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Mar 16, 2022 7:30:13 GMT
|
|
|
|
Post by minionofmidas on Mar 16, 2022 7:46:25 GMT
And if you're wondering what's going on in the sw of the state  With the added info that the Hispanic share of CVAP - lagging well behind share of the total pop - is rising yearly. |
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Mar 16, 2022 8:41:40 GMT
And if you're wondering what's going on in the sw of the state With the added info that the Hispanic share of CVAP - lagging well behind share of the total pop - is rising yearly. |
|
