The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 9, 2024 11:38:54 GMT
Quite a few Muslims actually voting for The Donald himself is surely the more surprising thing.
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Post by No Offence Alan on Nov 9, 2024 11:43:24 GMT
Quite a few Muslims actually voting for The Donald himself is surely the more surprising thing. Misogyny.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Nov 10, 2024 17:22:52 GMT
GOP flipped the state house here with a 58-52 win. There were no elections for the state Senate where the Democrats have a narrow 20-18 majority.
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Post by sanders on Nov 10, 2024 18:21:04 GMT
Elissa Slotkin's win is way more impressive than Gary Peters' election result in Michigan four years ago. She's outrun Harris by a decent margin. In 2020, Gary Peters underperformed Biden by about 2%, albeit with a higher winning vote share than Elissa Slotkin this year.
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Michigan
Nov 11, 2024 6:47:45 GMT
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Post by rcronald on Nov 11, 2024 6:47:45 GMT
Elissa Slotkin's win is way more impressive than Gary Peters' election result in Michigan four years ago. She's outrun Harris by a decent margin. In 2020, Gary Peters underperformed Biden by about 2%, albeit with a higher winning vote share than Elissa Slotkin this year. She’s an extremely strong candidate and debater, her opponent 4 years ago literally cried on stage. Btw, she won Dearborn while being an outspoken Zionist jew (and Kamala lost it!). The main difference between the 2? Slotkin is a moderate on most social issues outside of abortion, and Kamala is a social professional.
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Post by sanders on Nov 11, 2024 7:13:29 GMT
Elissa Slotkin's win is way more impressive than Gary Peters' election result in Michigan four years ago. She's outrun Harris by a decent margin. In 2020, Gary Peters underperformed Biden by about 2%, albeit with a higher winning vote share than Elissa Slotkin this year. She’s an extremely strong candidate and debater, her opponent 4 years ago literally cried on stage. Btw, she won Dearborn while being an outspoken Zionist jew (and Kamala lost it!). The main difference between the 2? Slotkin is a moderate on most social issues outside of abortion, and Kamala is a social professional. Fewer votes cast for Senator, however. Slotkin won Dearborn with lower turnout. Democrats won the Senate seat that way. Many voters left that vote blank.
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Post by rcronald on Nov 11, 2024 7:24:12 GMT
She’s an extremely strong candidate and debater, her opponent 4 years ago literally cried on stage. Btw, she won Dearborn while being an outspoken Zionist jew (and Kamala lost it!). The main difference between the 2? Slotkin is a moderate on most social issues outside of abortion, and Kamala is a social professional. Fewer votes cast for Senator, however. Slotkin won Dearborn with lower turnout. Democrats won the Senate seat that way. Many voters left that vote blank. She received more votes outright. A lot of the swing in Muslim areas is also related to social issues rather than just Israel. Biden’s internals apparently had Trump winning 45-46% of the Muslim vote pre 7/10.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Michigan
Nov 12, 2024 10:32:02 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Nov 12, 2024 10:32:02 GMT
The GOP may fancy a go at Gary Peters in 2026, along with Georgia probably the only realistic pick up opportunity while they play defensive. However will be a long shot under those mid-term circumstances
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Post by sanders on Nov 12, 2024 11:16:28 GMT
The GOP may fancy a go at Gary Peters in 2026, along with Georgia probably the only realistic pick up opportunity while they play defensive. However will be a long shot under those mid-term circumstances He did under-form Trump. Georgia is a more realistic gain if they run Brian Kemp. It's not clear who they'd run in Michigan. Gary Peters was the only Democrat to win an open seat in 2014 (he massively over performed that year, but somewhat underperformed Joe Biden in 2020). I suspect he will get re-elected easily enough.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Michigan
Nov 12, 2024 11:30:54 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Nov 12, 2024 11:30:54 GMT
The GOP may fancy a go at Gary Peters in 2026, along with Georgia probably the only realistic pick up opportunity while they play defensive. However will be a long shot under those mid-term circumstances He did under-form Trump. Georgia is a more realistic gain if they run Brian Kemp. It's not clear who they'd run in Michigan. Gary Peters was the only Democrat to win an open seat in 2014 (he massively over performed that year, but somewhat underperformed Joe Biden in 2020). I suspect he will get re-elected easily enough. John James came close against him in 2020, however that was when sharing a ballot with Trump and he’s probably better off trying to build up a longer spell in his House district
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nitory
Conservative
Posts: 941
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Post by nitory on Nov 12, 2024 11:41:53 GMT
Fewer votes cast for Senator, however. Slotkin won Dearborn with lower turnout. Democrats won the Senate seat that way. Many voters left that vote blank. She received more votes outright. A lot of the swing in Muslim areas is also related to social issues rather than just Israel. Biden’s internals apparently had Trump winning 45-46% of the Muslim vote pre 7/10. The Gov race showed signs of the Muslim vote starting to shift away. Whitmer only won 64% in 2022, down from 70% in 2018 in Dearborn, despite performing slightly better statewide in 2022.
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Michigan
Nov 12, 2024 12:21:30 GMT
via mobile
Post by rcronald on Nov 12, 2024 12:21:30 GMT
She received more votes outright. A lot of the swing in Muslim areas is also related to social issues rather than just Israel. Biden’s internals apparently had Trump winning 45-46% of the Muslim vote pre 7/10. The Gov race showed signs of the Muslim vote starting to shift away. Whitmer only won 64% in 2022, down from 70% in 2018 in Dearborn, despite performing slightly better statewide in 2022. more than slightly better, she won by double digits!
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Post by sanders on Nov 12, 2024 12:25:48 GMT
in 2020 Michigan voted in-line with the nation. It seems to be doing the same this time. It's a decent bellwether for the US now.
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nitory
Conservative
Posts: 941
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Post by nitory on Nov 12, 2024 14:41:29 GMT
The Gov race showed signs of the Muslim vote starting to shift away. Whitmer only won 64% in 2022, down from 70% in 2018 in Dearborn, despite performing slightly better statewide in 2022. more than slightly better, she won by double digits! Slight for Michigan only in comparison with her 2018 win, when she won by 9.5%.
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