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Post by finsobruce on Jun 29, 2024 3:25:03 GMT
It'll all Come Together next Thursday. But! What if it is an opening night disaster? And all the wrong people win after all? We'll have to carry that weight and resume our Golden Slumbers . The End. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 29, 2024 4:18:40 GMT
Labour gain. Hopefully the winner poses for a nice photo on the famous crossing from the Beatles album. How hard is Labour working this ward for the GE? It'll all Come Together next Thursday. Labour me do, you know I do. |
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Post by martinwhelton on Jun 29, 2024 6:25:31 GMT
Both Merton by- elections in Figge’s Marsh and St Helier will are also be counted on the night alongside the general election count.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 29, 2024 6:53:16 GMT
Although the Tories won the last Cazenove by-election, General Election turnout will see Labour home and dry, even if the Conservatives have found Ian Sharer 2.0. As a former Hackney resident, however, it's good to see gentrification Ground Zero have an opposition and a strident one at that. I wish all the candidates well.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 29, 2024 9:02:15 GMT
Lewisham,Blackheath
Candidates: Con, Grn, Lab, LD
2022: Lab 2035, 1884, 1565; LD 1356, 1211, 1202; Grn 708, 696, 467; Con 627, 451, 435This is surely when the Liberal Democrats get back onto Lewisham London Borough Council On a general election turnout? Anything is possible, but I wouldn't bet your life savings on it. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 2, 2024 2:41:15 GMT
The Conservative candidate in Cazenove is Hershi Moskovits. I'm sure that's a Hassidic Jewish name. I think the Lib Dem candidate is also Jewish. Here is the SOPN: docs.google.com/document/d/1ByPX6xHPuT0W3mQhQtxIs9vFWyvOEPQXJv8rk3nCPaw/edit. The Sharers nominated the Tory candidate. I think he'll win. Should the Conservatives win the (second) Cazenove by-election, Hackney council would be: LAB 46, CON 7, IND 3 GRN 2. The Tories won five seats in 2022. 2026 could be: LAB 42 (-8); CON 8 (+3); GRN 7 (+5). Eight is the Hackney Tories' ceiling (Cazenove, Springfield and Stamford Hill West). The Greens' best scenario involves sweeping Dalston and Hackney Downs, and winning in Clissold and Stoke Newington. They could win the De Beauvoir seats (bringing their total to nine), and multiple seats in Clissold and Stokey. At maximum, the Greens' best result would be 13: LAB 36 (-14); GRN 13 (+11); CON 8 (+3). Shacklewell could be close. Still, even if the Greens won all the seats there, Labour would still hold 33/57 seats in Hackney! NOC is remote, unless Labour loses wards like Haggerston and Victoria. batman do you think whocanivotefor.co.uk/person/117909/hershi-moskovits wins Cazenove for the Tories on Thursday? |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jul 4, 2024 6:25:37 GMT
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Post by lackeroftalent on Jul 5, 2024 5:06:29 GMT
Bristol, Horfield - Lab hold
Lab 2,367
Green 2,264
Con 778
LDm 407
TUSC 83
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Post by Peter Wilkinson on Jul 5, 2024 5:12:16 GMT
Barnet, Barnet Vale - Lab hold
Lab 3,244 Con 2,858 LibDem 916 Green 866
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Post by mattb on Jul 5, 2024 6:13:31 GMT
Three Rivers, Rickmansworth Town
Con 1694
LD 1389
Lab 513
Grn 383
Con hold
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 5, 2024 9:30:57 GMT
Brighton &Hove, Brunswick & Adelaide was (perhaps unsurprisingly given the GE result) a Green gain from Lab:
Grn 2193
Lab 1873
BHI 588
LD 389
Ind 98
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Post by matureleft on Jul 5, 2024 9:52:27 GMT
South Derbyshire. Hatton.
Won I think on drawing of lots last time by Labour.
Lab 415
Con 527
LD 271
Con gain from Lab
This ward is now in the Derbyshire Dales constituency but presumably will have been worked to some extent by Labour in their unexpected victory there. The LD intervention has been unusual anywhere in South Derbyshire politics but may become more common with their wins in neighbouring Hilton ward (also now in Derbyshire Dales).
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Jul 5, 2024 9:59:01 GMT
Lancaster, University Ward (no sign of a GE turnout boost here):
Grn 96
Lab 83
Con 23
LD 11
Grn gain from Lab
Tonbridge & Malling, Judd
Grn 2051
Con 787
LD 387
Grn hold
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 10:00:05 GMT
Labour won Cazenove. GE turnout doomed the Tories I think.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jul 5, 2024 10:31:41 GMT
Lancaster, University Ward (no sign of a GE turnout boost here): Grn 96 Lab 83 Con 23 LD 11 Grn gain from Lab Students nearly all away innit. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2024 10:51:48 GMT
Bedford. Wyboston
Con 1096
LD 515
Green 277
Con Hold
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2024 10:58:43 GMT
E Yorkshire
East Wolds and Coastal
Con 3105
LD 1823
Lab 1144
Yorks 634
Green 451
Ind 300
Con Hold
SE Holderness
RefUK 2027
Con 1755
Lab 1550
LD 498
RefUK gain from Con
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2024 11:02:30 GMT
Fenland
Whittlesey South
Con 988
Ind 841
WPB 274
Con Hold
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Post by froome on Jul 5, 2024 11:05:41 GMT
Lancaster, University Ward (no sign of a GE turnout boost here): Grn 96 Lab 83 Con 23 LD 11 Grn gain from Lab Students nearly all away innit. I think, but may be wrong, that the majority of electors there are students. In which case, it makes you wonder whey they bothered with the by-election now, rather than waiting until the students return. Although turnout here is always very low. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jul 5, 2024 11:09:54 GMT
Birmingham
Kings Norton North
Lab 1638
Con 1576
Green 490
LD 335
Northfield
Lab 1882
Con 1739
Green 555
LD 467
2x Lab hold
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