Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
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Post by Chris from Brum on Apr 25, 2024 7:05:10 GMT
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Post by LDCaerdydd on Apr 25, 2024 22:47:43 GMT
I think this is more of an issue in Wales because of the different voting ages, people can vote at 16 for a council by election in Cardiff but its 18 for police commissioner. So it's the same issue that would happen with citizenship when Westminster elections coincide with council elections (EU citizens still having the right to vote in locals but not generals). As pointed out in the other thread, you don’t need to provide ID to vote in the council by-election but do to vote in the PCC election. Sensible not to combine IMO. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 25, 2024 22:53:43 GMT
CARDIFF Grangetown
Waheeda Abdul Sattar (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 1,470
Kirstie Kopetzki (Plaid Cymru, Green Party, Common Ground / Plaid Cymru, Plaid Werdd, Tir Cyffredin) 573
Zak Weaver (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate / Ymgeisydd Plaid Geidwadol Cymru) 387
Sash Patel (Propel: Not Politics as Usual) 292
Ahned Abdillahi Abdi Samater (Independent / Annibynnol) 205
James Robin Bear (Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru) 123
Andrew Charles Hovord (Independent / Annibynnol) 44
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 25, 2024 23:07:29 GMT
No fuill voting figures yet but Neil McEvoy gives rough percentages:
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Post by phil156 on Apr 25, 2024 23:25:01 GMT
Propel 292
Ind 205
LD 123
Ind 44
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andrewp
Non-Aligned
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Post by andrewp on Apr 26, 2024 8:15:40 GMT
Cardiff Percentages
Lab 47.5
PC/ Green 18.5
Con 12.5
Prop 9.4
Ind 6.6
LD 4
Ind 1.4
Changes calculated using the traditional method
Lab -5.6
PC/Green -9.3
Con +3.5
Prop +6.2
Ind new
LD -0.9
Ind new
For the record, if you use the total votes cast last time to calculate percentage the changes are
Lab -8.4
Pc/ Green -9.1
Con +3
Prop +6.9
Ind new
LD no change
Ind new
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Post by batman on Apr 26, 2024 8:56:53 GMT
Wouldn’t it be something if the SNP chose today of all days to win their first seat under Yousaf? (And if the rumours are to be believed their only one.) my prediction remains a Conservative win
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ricmk
Lib Dem
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Post by ricmk on Apr 26, 2024 9:25:50 GMT
Just imagine being an SNP activist in this ward yesterday, trying to persuade supporters to turn out while chaos not of your making going on all around you. Surely an impossible gig?
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dizz
Labour
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Post by dizz on Apr 26, 2024 9:44:40 GMT
Just imagine being an SNP activist in this ward yesterday, trying to persuade supporters to turn out while chaos not of your making going on all around you. Surely an impossible gig? Well they are of course shameless but just imagine them asking Green voters for their second prefs.  |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on Apr 26, 2024 10:44:05 GMT
No fuill voting figures yet but Neil McEvoy gives rough percentages: His outfit presumably fought an actual campaign this time, which they likely didn't in 2022. Not much to see apart from that. And didn't realise this ward had only become safe for Labour that recently, in said context a very creditable result for them. |
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Apr 26, 2024 10:49:25 GMT
Arbroath has gone annoyingly quiet……
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Apr 26, 2024 10:49:52 GMT
Con gain in Angus apparently. No numbers so it might just be a claim of victory.
(Now there are at least first round percentages, see the next post.)
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Apr 26, 2024 10:53:13 GMT
Arbroath percentages apparently
Con 41.9 (+10.5)
SNP 29.3 (-6.9)
Lab 16.1 (+9.6)
LD 8.3 (+3.9)
Grn 4.3 (New)
No ind as prev
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 26, 2024 10:54:56 GMT
Arbroath percentages apparently Con 41.9 (+10.5) SNP 29.3 (-6.9) Lab 16.1 (+9.6) LD 8.3 (+3.9) Grn 4.3 (New) No ind as prev There was a Green candidate last time, so changes are wrong. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Apr 26, 2024 10:57:22 GMT
I'd make it:
Grn +1.0
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Apr 26, 2024 10:57:34 GMT
Angus
Con 1682
SNP 1175
Lab 644
LD 333
Green 176
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Apr 26, 2024 10:59:02 GMT
Ouch. Rubbing Humza’s nose in it a bit.
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Apr 26, 2024 11:01:18 GMT
Percentage wise I make Arbroath
Con 41.9 (+10.5)
SNP 29.3 (-6.9)
Lab 16.1 (+9.6)
LD 8.3 (+3.9)
Green 4.4 (+1.1)
No ind or Alba from before
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dizz
Labour
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Post by dizz on Apr 26, 2024 11:01:56 GMT
Arbroath percentages apparently Con 41.9 (+10.5) SNP 29.3 (-6.9) Lab 16.1 (+9.6) LD 8.3 (+3.9) Grn 4.3 (New) No ind as prev The 4 seater on those numbers would be: Con 2 SNP 1 Lab 1 Con gain 1 from Ind Lab gain 1 from SNP |
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johng
Labour
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Post by johng on Apr 26, 2024 11:11:26 GMT
And didn't realise this ward had only become safe for Labour that recently, in said context a very creditable result for them. Very recent.
It was Lib Dem for a long time until the coalition government when Labour gained the ward. Then PC became the main challenger. Though that was when in Cardiff it was the Neil McEvoy party.
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