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Post by carolus on Sept 7, 2024 20:47:55 GMT
East Ayrshire, Doon Valley (2027). Elaine Stewart (Labour) has resigned. She is the new MP for Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock. East Ayrshire, Kilmarnock West and Crosshouse (2027). Lillian Jones (Labour) has resigned. She is the new MP for Kilmarnock & Loudon. Both byelctions on 14 November. newsroom.east-ayrshire.gov.uk/news/date-announced-for-by-elections |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Sept 7, 2024 22:05:16 GMT
The winner of the prediction contest will deserve a lot of credit! I may take part for just that week. |
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Post by carolus on Sept 9, 2024 12:45:48 GMT
South Ribble, Middleforth (2027). Will Adams (Labour) has been removed from the list of councillors.
Ashford, Aylesfod & East Stour (2027). Sojan Joseph (Labour) has resigned. He is the new MP for Ashford.
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Post by carolus on Sept 9, 2024 19:50:11 GMT
Barking & Dagenham, Village (2026). Margaret Mullane (Labour) has resigned. She is the new MP for Dagenham for Rainham. This makes a double vacancy in the ward.
Derbyshire Dales, Calver & Longstone (2027). Kelda Boothroyd (Green) has been removed from the list of councillors.
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on Sept 9, 2024 19:56:45 GMT
10 October
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Post by carolus on Sept 9, 2024 20:22:58 GMT
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Post by southernliberal on Sept 10, 2024 10:36:55 GMT
Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley ward, Tom Morrison (LD), MP for Cheadle has resigned.
Vacancy is for the 2024-2028 term.
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Post by carolus on Sept 10, 2024 11:05:00 GMT
Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley ward, Tom Morrison (LD), MP for Cheadle has resigned. Vacancy is for the 2024-2028 term. Looks like Lisa Smart as well.
Stockport, Bredbury Green & Romiley (2027). Lisa Smart (Liberal Democrat) has been removed from the list of councillors. She is the new MP for Hazel Grove.
Redbridge, Wanstead Park (2026). Bayo Alaba (Labour) has been removed from the list of councillors. He is the new MP for Southend East & Rochford. [Now back again, so may have been an error]
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Sept 10, 2024 12:23:31 GMT
Stockport, Cheadle West & Gatley ward, Tom Morrison (LD), MP for Cheadle has resigned. Vacancy is for the 2024-2028 term. Looks like Lisa Smart as well.
Stockport, Bredbury Green & Romiley (2027). Lisa Smart (Liberal Democrat) has been removed from the list of councillors. She is the new MP for Hazel Grove.
Redbridge, Wanstead Park (2026). Bayo Alaba (Labour) has been removed from the list of councillors. He is the new MP for Southend East & Rochford.
Two by-elections of potential importance there. Cheadle West & Gatley should be safe as houses...but it might be hard work to have two defences so close together or indeed at the same time. |
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Post by carolus on Sept 10, 2024 16:24:12 GMT
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Post by carolus on Sept 11, 2024 19:14:17 GMT
West Dunbartonshire, Kilpatrick (2027). Douglas McAllister (Labour) has been removed from the list of councillors. He is the new MP for West Dunbartonshire.
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Post by spirit on Sept 11, 2024 19:50:43 GMT
Llanberis, Gwynedd is set for 17 October.
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Post by willlucky on Sept 12, 2024 9:34:24 GMT
Two by-elections of potential importance there. Cheadle West & Gatley should be safe as houses...but it might be hard work to have two defences so close together or indeed at the same time.
I don't think they'll have too much of a problem, would have waited 3 weeks or so to allow it to collide with the aftermath of the budget though. I can't see Labour making inroads, and with the closure of the Conservative Office in Hazel Grove I can't see them having the appetite either.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 10:56:45 GMT
2023 Ascot & Sunninghill (3 seats) Party Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Julian Sharpe* 1,257 48.6 −4.0
Conservative John Story* 1,254 48.5 −3.5
Conservative Asghar Majeed 993 38.4 −17.1Liberal Democrats Lilly Evans 979 37.9 +15.1 Liberal Democrats Jonathan Pope 940 36.4 +19.1 Liberal Democrats Sanjay Karia 877 33.9 +15.3 Labour John Gripton 472 18.3 +4.0 Green Rosemary Magill 423 16.4 N/A Majority Turnout 2,599 30.35 Lib Dems 15 votes off a seat. |
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Post by michaelarden on Sept 12, 2024 11:20:02 GMT
2023 Ascot & Sunninghill (3 seats) Party Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Julian Sharpe* 1,257 48.6 −4.0
Conservative John Story* 1,254 48.5 −3.5
Conservative Asghar Majeed 993 38.4 −17.1Liberal Democrats Lilly Evans 979 37.9 +15.1 Liberal Democrats Jonathan Pope 940 36.4 +19.1 Liberal Democrats Sanjay Karia 877 33.9 +15.3 Labour John Gripton 472 18.3 +4.0 Green Rosemary Magill 423 16.4 N/A Majority Turnout 2,599 30.35 Lib Dems 15 votes off a seat. Looks like a name/race thing. Reality is best part of 300 off a seat. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 11:22:43 GMT
2023 Ascot & Sunninghill (3 seats) Party Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Julian Sharpe* 1,257 48.6 −4.0
Conservative John Story* 1,254 48.5 −3.5
Conservative Asghar Majeed 993 38.4 −17.1Liberal Democrats Lilly Evans 979 37.9 +15.1 Liberal Democrats Jonathan Pope 940 36.4 +19.1 Liberal Democrats Sanjay Karia 877 33.9 +15.3 Labour John Gripton 472 18.3 +4.0 Green Rosemary Magill 423 16.4 N/A Majority Turnout 2,599 30.35 Lib Dems 15 votes off a seat. Looks like a name/race thing. Reality is best part of 300 off a seat. Isn't RBWM a liberal elite area? I'd have thought it'd be race-blind. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,908
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 12, 2024 11:48:53 GMT
2023 Ascot & Sunninghill (3 seats) Party Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Julian Sharpe* 1,257 48.6 −4.0
Conservative John Story* 1,254 48.5 −3.5
Conservative Asghar Majeed 993 38.4 −17.1Liberal Democrats Lilly Evans 979 37.9 +15.1 Liberal Democrats Jonathan Pope 940 36.4 +19.1 Liberal Democrats Sanjay Karia 877 33.9 +15.3 Labour John Gripton 472 18.3 +4.0 Green Rosemary Magill 423 16.4 N/A Majority Turnout 2,599 30.35 Lib Dems 15 votes off a seat. Looks like a name/race thing. Reality is best part of 300 off a seat. Incumbency may also be a factor - the top 2 were sitting cllrs, the third not |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,967
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 12, 2024 11:52:04 GMT
Looks like a name/race thing. Reality is best part of 300 off a seat. Isn't RBWM a liberal elite area? I'd have thought it'd be race-blind. Quite a few middle class and "respectable" people are racist as well - they just tend (*tend*) not to be as overtly crude about it. |
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Post by michaelarden on Sept 12, 2024 11:54:34 GMT
Looks like a name/race thing. Reality is best part of 300 off a seat. Incumbency may also be a factor - the top 2 were sitting cllrs, the third not The south Asian named third Lib Dem candidate also had a significantly lower vote than their running mates, so likely a bit of both. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 12, 2024 11:58:10 GMT
Isn't RBWM a liberal elite area? I'd have thought it'd be race-blind. Quite a few middle class and "respectable" people are racist as well - they just tend (*tend*) not to be as overtly crude about it. Utterly baffling to me, oh well. I'm in an inter-racial marriage, obviously. My future children will be biracial. No place for racism in 2024. |
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