stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 2:39:07 GMT
Belfast South and Mid Down
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Post by boondock on Mar 14, 2024 15:15:29 GMT
It will be interesting to see who stands here. Hannah should still have enough even if SF and the greens stand. Can't for the life of me understand how Alliance constantly poll so well here with poor candidates
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Post by markgoodair on May 23, 2024 20:14:14 GMT
Kate Nicholl will be the Alliance party candidate.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 23, 2024 20:57:17 GMT
MLA for Belfast South.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on May 23, 2024 21:14:09 GMT
One of two they won last time out, which should in theory make it a prime Alliance target. Claire Hanna got a huge anti-Brexit tactical vote in 2019 but she’ll probably be safe if she’s personally popular? |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 24, 2024 9:07:29 GMT
My sense is that Hanna is a good fit for the seat and remains personally popular. I suspect the Alliance vote will tick up, because there's much less incentive to vote tactically against the DUP with them focused almost entirely on defence, but even if SF stand I suspect the best Nicholl can hope for is a distant second place (and Alliance certainly aren't going to resource this in preference to North Down, Belfast East or Lagan Valley.)
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batman
Labour
Posts: 12,360
Member is Online
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Post by batman on May 24, 2024 9:49:12 GMT
This seat is hotly tipped to be renamed Belfast Soyth and Mid Doyn at the next boundary review.
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,084
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Post by Sg1 on May 24, 2024 10:25:57 GMT
This seat is hotly tipped to be renamed Belfast Soyth and Mid Doyn at the next boundary review. I read that In the voice of a new York gangster |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on May 24, 2024 10:36:59 GMT
"What do we want?"
"Words Northern Irish people can't pronounce!"
*When do we want it?"
"Noiy!"
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Post by johnloony on May 24, 2024 11:28:26 GMT
Unionist gain is possible but requires there to only be one Unionist candidate and the SDLP also need to stand. Even at that it’s really a turn out game It’s currently an SDLP seat, so I think they might |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on May 24, 2024 11:28:59 GMT
Unionist gain is possible but requires there to only be one Unionist candidate and the SDLP also need to stand. Even at that it’s really a turn out game It’s currently an SDLP seat, so I think they might Wrong thread  |
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Post by johnloony on May 24, 2024 12:18:49 GMT
It’s currently an SDLP seat, so I think they might Wrong thread Oh! Did you mean F&ST? |
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on May 24, 2024 12:43:05 GMT
Wrong thread Oh! Did you mean F&ST? Indeed, hazard of me flicking through a few threads at once |
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Post by markgoodair on May 27, 2024 19:21:48 GMT
Tracey Kelly is the DUP candidate.
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Post by markgoodair on May 30, 2024 16:13:54 GMT
Sinn Fein have confirmed that they will not have a candidate for this seat.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,426
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Post by iain on May 30, 2024 17:57:18 GMT
Sinn Fein have confirmed that they will not have a candidate for this seat. That should confirm Clare Hanna's re-election, despite the growing strength of Alliance in these parts. |
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Post by boondock on May 30, 2024 23:34:36 GMT
All over in SB. Hannah to win big. Alliance can't complain as they are going to benefit in EB,ND and LV
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on May 31, 2024 6:53:25 GMT
All over in SB. Hannah to win big. Alliance can't complain as they are going to benefit in EB,ND and LV Although they themselves are consistently against parties standing aside in seats |
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Post by Cú Chulainn on May 31, 2024 8:44:04 GMT
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,366
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Post by stb12 on May 31, 2024 8:53:17 GMT
I was aware of that but in fairness I think they’ve decried it as a mistake and stayed away from pacts and standing aside since, even last time out when it was being sold as anti-Brexit pacts rather then sectarian |
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