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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 2:07:40 GMT
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
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Post by uthacalthing on Mar 14, 2024 22:37:24 GMT
Well
Conservative majority of 843, which means that Andrew Bowie is toast anywhere in England, but happily for him his adversaries are the SNP who are arguably even more discredited than the Tories
I have not been nice about Andrew over time, so I wish to qualify that. He is not a bad lad. He is dripping wet and has no actual principles but that needs to be seen in the context of Tories regarding having actual principles as evidence of a lack of pragmatism. His wife Maddie is very nice and I am puzzled by her maiden name of Clarke as I would swear that she was Swedish
Further, I am overly negatively influenced by Bowie's charmed elevation from having failed (Ok, not failed, but certainly not passed) Naval College, to a minimum wage job on Better Together, carrying the bags of Ian Duncan MEP, the Liam Kerr MSP, then being Imposed as candidate for WAnK under Ruthie for the snap 2017 election. all despite not actually being gay, the usual route to preferment at that time.
He then was PPS first to Matt Handcock at DCMS then to Theresa May and TBF has never dropped the ball. He is now Minister For Nuclear Power which he never mentions. The very boast that would win my love. I have never forgiven him for denouncing Tesco for charging 2p difference at its filling stations in Westhill and Banchory, critically when I was away for the weekend, so I came home to discover that Andrew Lilico and Krisitian Neimitz had denounced him and my worship of them was such that I had no option but to pile in on him too. While I was a Conservative Councilor. I still think that anti market bollocks was written by Cllr Robbie Withey who later gained fame by threatening to kill a constituent. Obvz Robbie has long since been rehabilitated, whereas I am banned sine die
Andrew is OK but I am no longer on the voters roll as it would cost me council tax on a home I only visit to cut the grass
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Post by uthacalthing on Mar 14, 2024 22:42:06 GMT
Cllr. Glen Reynolds. The SNP candidate. Really obnoxious piece of work. Corbynite twat.
Labour used to have a really nice lad called Barry Black and the Lib Dems went from having the 3rd Bt of Crowmallie to an ex Tory-Student who offered Andrew Bowie outside in the car park.
I think this is a two-horse race for now.
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 27, 2024 19:51:37 GMT
Current odds at Ladbrokes Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine Conservatives 5/4 Greens 200/1 Labour 10/1 Liberal Democrats 25/1 SNP 8/11
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Post by Kristofer Keane on May 30, 2024 19:08:48 GMT
Greens have selected a friend of mine here, William Linegar:
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on May 31, 2024 5:49:00 GMT
Studies Animal Behaviour at Aberdeen University. Is that another way of saying he studies student behaviour?
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joe
Non-Aligned
Posts: 38
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Post by joe on May 31, 2024 7:13:33 GMT
Greens have selected a friend of mine here, William Linegar: does have a sideline in 80's rock cover band
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,711
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Post by Tony Otim on May 31, 2024 7:45:41 GMT
Greens have selected a friend of mine here, William Linegar: does have a sideline in 80's rock cover band More 90s or early 00s, I'd have thought- note the absence of skin tight leather, perm and makeup.
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,067
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Post by Sg1 on May 31, 2024 8:35:55 GMT
does have a sideline in 80's rock cover band More 90s or early 00s, I'd have thought- note the absence of skin tight leather, perm and makeup. Either way, I'd go to see his band
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,251
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Post by iain on Jun 7, 2024 23:45:19 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,134
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Post by cogload on Jun 17, 2024 18:15:47 GMT
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Post by Clark on Jun 17, 2024 21:35:52 GMT
Swinney set to announce quite a left wing manifesto so they can kiss goodbye to regaining this seat then.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 18, 2024 10:32:21 GMT
So retreating to an attempt to keep Glasgow, the West and Dundee then.
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xenon
Forum Regular
Posts: 421
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Post by xenon on Jun 18, 2024 12:22:36 GMT
Which is a a stupid game to play given the polls – if they'd played their cards right they could be close to gaining the six Tory seats to counteract some of their Central Belt losses. The best they can hope for from this strategy is that they might lose a few Central Belt seats by a slimmer margin than they would have otherwise, such is Labour's baked in advantage even with them approximately equal in the polls.
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Post by adlai52 on Jun 18, 2024 12:44:48 GMT
Which is a a stupid game to play given the polls – if they'd played their cards right they could be close to gaining the six Tory seats to counteract some of their Central Belt losses. The best they can hope for from this strategy is that they might lose a few Central Belt seats by a slimmer margin than they would have otherwise, such is Labour's baked in advantage even with them approximately equal in the polls. Of course, they might still gain those Conservative seats if the Tory vote falls sufficiently.
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 19, 2024 6:34:33 GMT
Which is a a stupid game to play given the polls – if they'd played their cards right they could be close to gaining the six Tory seats to counteract some of their Central Belt losses. The best they can hope for from this strategy is that they might lose a few Central Belt seats by a slimmer margin than they would have otherwise, such is Labour's baked in advantage even with them approximately equal in the polls. Of course, they might still gain those Conservative seats if the Tory vote falls sufficiently. Yes, with us on 14% or thereabouts I would not at all be surprised, except for Berwick that would probably surprise me. I don't see why people on this forum and elsewhere are so bullish about us picking up seats, I am deeply concerned looking at the polls. Though, I stress, that's just my reading. I am not involved at this election, so I cannot give any insights into canvassing etc.
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Post by stb12 on Jun 19, 2024 12:23:23 GMT
Of course, they might still gain those Conservative seats if the Tory vote falls sufficiently. Yes, with us on 14% or thereabouts I would not at all be surprised, except for Berwick that would probably surprise me. I don't see why people on this forum and elsewhere are so bullish about us picking up seats, I am deeply concerned looking at the polls. Though, I stress, that's just my reading. I am not involved at this election, so I cannot give any insights into canvassing etc. I’d imagine it’s based on the idea that the Scottish party will hold up relatively well in areas where it’s clearly a straight Tory-SNP fight, there’s been signs of that in council by-elections (as far as they can be an indicator of anything of course)
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Post by batman on Jun 19, 2024 12:39:11 GMT
Of course, they might still gain those Conservative seats if the Tory vote falls sufficiently. Yes, with us on 14% or thereabouts I would not at all be surprised, except for Berwick that would probably surprise me. I don't see why people on this forum and elsewhere are so bullish about us picking up seats, I am deeply concerned looking at the polls. Though, I stress, that's just my reading. I am not involved at this election, so I cannot give any insights into canvassing etc. you almost certainly know most of the Scottish seats (especially the non-urban ones) better than I do, so I will bow to your judgement re Berwick & the other seats. I have gone for Conservative hold in that (I presume you mean the Scottish Berwickshire rather than the English Berwick) but am not sure about the 2 Dumfriesshire seats yet.
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Post by uthacalthing on Jun 26, 2024 8:25:55 GMT
There will be a significant recovery in the Lib Dem vote. Their candidate Michael Turvey a near neighbour of mine and is husband of Cllr Yi-Pei Chou Turvey, who is basically Eve from Killing Eve. Labour will advance from Corbyn deposit losing territory to their natural 10%. The only fields that are voting Tory are in the hands of less than five hereditary landowners. None of this helps Andrew Bowie.
Glen Reynolds however does help Andrew Bowie.
Really too close to call
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2024 8:26:57 GMT
Black gold will save the Tories.
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