stb12
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 1:49:20 GMT
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
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Sandy
Forum Regular
Posts: 3,187
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Post by Sandy on Apr 11, 2024 23:01:04 GMT
There was quite a significant Labour vote in the old seat prior to 2015. If Labour have any sort of recovery, I think it’s likely to hurt the SNP more than the Lib Dems.
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Jun 7, 2024 15:25:57 GMT
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binky
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Post by binky on Jun 19, 2024 12:23:32 GMT
For those familiar with local elections here, are the Liberals noticeably more successful here than in other parts of the Highlands? Or does there seem to be no real pattern?
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stb12
Top Poster
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Post by stb12 on Jun 19, 2024 12:37:00 GMT
For those familiar with local elections here, are the Liberals noticeably more successful here than in other parts of the Highlands? Or does there seem to be no real pattern? I’m not hugely knowledgeable about the Highlands locally but when it comes to council elections independents make up a big part of those elected, indeed 2022 marked the first time independents weren’t the largest group with the SNP moving one ahead of them So that may make it more difficult to judge party patterns |
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Sandy
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Post by Sandy on Jun 19, 2024 12:39:06 GMT
For those familiar with local elections here, are the Liberals noticeably more successful here than in other parts of the Highlands? Or does there seem to be no real pattern? They’ve made a pretty decent recovery recently in the old CSER seat, the parts of the new seat which have come from RS&L are stronger for the SNP at a local level. |
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Ports
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Post by Ports on Jun 24, 2024 18:57:51 GMT
I've had two knowledgeable people tell me that the Lib Dems are much less confident about here than their other main contests (including Mid Dunbartonshire but excluding Inverness etc.) They're not by any means out of it, far from it, but the SNP are said to be holding up better in the new parts (which are of course a greater proportion of the seat than in other Lib Dem targets). I realise this would be quite different to the models, but don't shoot the messenger!
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jun 24, 2024 23:04:02 GMT
I've had two knowledgeable people tell me that the Lib Dems are much less confident about here than their other main contests (including Mid Dunbartonshire but excluding Inverness etc.) They're not by any means out of it, far from it, but the SNP are said to be holding up better in the new parts (which are of course a greater proportion of the seat than in other Lib Dem targets). I realise this would be quite different to the models, but don't shoot the messenger! That makes perfect sense. Of the party's five main target seats in Scotland, this one had the highest Yes vote (43%) and support for the SNP was resilient in Ross and Cromarty at the 2022 local elections. Mid Dunbartonshire, North East Fife and Edinburgh West are all markedly more affluent than this constituency with more degree holders at the 2011 census. I'd be inclined towards this being a Lib Dem (notional) gain, but it will a lot closer than Mid Dunbartonshire, North East Fife, Edinburgh West and Orkney & Shetland. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2024 5:51:43 GMT
I'd like a nice aesthetic map with three Lib Dem seats in the Highlands. Pretty please Scottish voters?
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Post by irish observer on Jun 26, 2024 17:35:40 GMT
Lib gain here.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jun 26, 2024 21:24:01 GMT
Calling this for the Lib Dems.
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Sandy
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Post by Sandy on Jul 2, 2024 20:38:10 GMT
Swinney got heckled in Alness today with a former SNP supporter shouting “Do you identify as an independence supporter?”
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Jul 5, 2024 4:45:50 GMT
Thumping majority for the Lib Dems.
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Post by ntyuk1707 on Jul 5, 2024 4:50:57 GMT
The seismic majority for the Lib Dems here would suggest they are in contention for Inverness, Wester Ross & Skye.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
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Post by cogload on Jul 5, 2024 21:35:54 GMT
One of Stone's biggest majorities isn't it?
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Post by BucksDucks on Jul 5, 2024 21:40:09 GMT
Absolutely. In 2017 Jamie Stone had a majority of 2044 and in 2019 it was reduced to 204.
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Sandy
Forum Regular
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Post by Sandy on Jul 5, 2024 21:40:35 GMT
One of Stone's biggest majorities isn't it? Second largest majority and vote share since the seat’s creation, only bested by John Thurso’s 2005 performance, which was presumably Charles Kennedy overspill and first term incumbency? |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
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Post by Khunanup on Jul 6, 2024 0:34:03 GMT
One of Stone's biggest majorities isn't it? Second largest majority and vote share since the seat’s creation, only bested by John Thurso’s 2005 performance, which was presumably Charles Kennedy overspill and first term incumbency? And, erm, well he (Thurso) is who he is! |
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Sandy
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Post by Sandy on Jul 6, 2024 0:38:21 GMT
Second largest majority and vote share since the seat’s creation, only bested by John Thurso’s 2005 performance, which was presumably Charles Kennedy overspill and first term incumbency? And, erm, well he (Thurso) is who he is! Sadly missed. Much better MP than Stone. |
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Post by nobodyimportant on Jul 6, 2024 10:52:39 GMT
And, erm, well he (Thurso) is who he is! Sadly missed. Much better MP than Stone. I thought you liked Stone? Or is it just that you liked Thurso more? |
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