Sandy
Forum Regular
Posts: 3,187 
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Post by Sandy on Jul 6, 2024 11:55:52 GMT
Sadly missed. Much better MP than Stone. I thought you liked Stone? Or is it just that you liked Thurso more? The latter, Thurso was a very assiduous MP and an unfortunate casualty of the 2015 SNP landslide. |
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,140
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Post by cogload on Jul 7, 2024 6:15:11 GMT
www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/S14000069A lot of the MRP's had Stone losing which shows flaws in their modelling (one or two had Carmichael losing in O&S as well). A bit of an increase in the majority from circa 300 last time, it is now 10k. Notable that the Tories fell to 5th and lost their deposit here.
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
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Post by Foggy on Jul 8, 2024 4:00:10 GMT
www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/S14000069A lot of the MRP's had Stone losing which shows flaws in their modelling ( one or two had Carmichael losing in O&S as well). A bit of an increase in the majority from circa 300 last time, it is now 10k. Notable that the Tories fell to 5th and lost their deposit here. At any given election, "surprise Lib Dem loss" in one of the other 631 seats in GB is potentially a credible outcome, but not there. MRP models are crud. |
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Post by mrpastelito on Jul 8, 2024 20:24:23 GMT
www.bbc.com/news/election/2024/uk/constituencies/S14000069A lot of the MRP's had Stone losing which shows flaws in their modelling ( one or two had Carmichael losing in O&S as well). A bit of an increase in the majority from circa 300 last time, it is now 10k. Notable that the Tories fell to 5th and lost their deposit here. At any given election, "surprise Lib Dem loss" in one of the other 631 seats in GB is potentially a credible outcome, but not there. MRP models are crud. Which makes it the one seat where it would really be a surprise. |
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