By-elections - 6th June 2013

[greatkingrat]

NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE - Walkergate (Labour resigned)

2012 - Lab 1912, LD 646, Con 149, CPGB 102
2011 - Lab 1682, LD 1580, Con 119
2010 - Lab 2009, LD 1706, Con 346, BNP 303
2008 - LD 1596, Lab 809, BNP 278, Con 195
2007 - LD 1752, Lab 1005, Con 153
2006 - LD 1770, Lab 1116, Con 155

Kevin BROWN (Liberal Democrats)
Martin COLLINS (Green Party)
Bobbie CRANNEY (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts)
Davy HICKS (Independent)
Marian MCWILLIAMS (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Olga SHORTON (It's Time to Put Newcastle First)
Reg SIBLEY (Independent)
Lorraine SMITH (UK Independence Party)
Stephen WOOD (The Labour Party Candidate)

NOTTINGHAM - Wollaton West (Conservative died)

2011 - Con 2870/2646/2593, Lab 2018/1938/1753, LD 770/601/506
Aug 2008 by - Con 2769, Lab 1042, LD 424, UKIP 220
2007 - Con 2670/2408/2305, Lab 1169/1097/1013, LD 805/744/667, Grn 498, UKIP 483, Elvis 115
2003 - Con 2630/2563/2433, Lab 1197/1118/1087, LD 688/678/676

Steve BATTLEMUCH (The Labour Party Candidate)
David BISHOP (Militant Elvis Anti HS2)
Katharina BOETTGE (Green Party)
Chris CLARKE (UK Independence Party)
Barbara PEARCE (Liberal Democrat)
James SPENCER (The Conservative Party Candidate)

[David Ashforth]

	Ward map	ONS data
NEWCASTLE UPON TYNE – Walkergate	link	link
NOTTINGHAM - Wollaton West	link	link

[thirdchill]

What on earth happened to the lib dems in walkergate in 2012? Especially as in other areas of newcastle, they did better in 2012 than in 2011. Like the large number of candidates though, plenty of choice.

Woolaton West could go to labour if the conservative vote drops dramatically on a low turnout. It is certainly possible, given how much our vote has dropped in other local by-elections.

[mrhell]

We were never going to win Walkergate in 2012.

[thirdchill]

May 16, 2013 11:19:58 GMT mrhell said:

We were never going to win Walkergate in 2012.

But you were very close in 2011. Given other results in 2011, where some labour gains in that year were lib dem holds in 2012, am just surprised that there was such a collapse.

[mrhell]

The sitting councillor had decided earlier that he didn't want to restand. He was the only person who could have come anywhere near winning (personally I think he would have won). His wife who lost in 2011 was elected for a different ward in 2012. The third councillor (who ended up standing) had lost by 300 votes in 2010.

[mrhell]

Eventually found out that Labour's Walkergate councillor has stood down after one year due to "family reasons".

[Deleted]

Seems so strange that the liberals do about as well in Walkergate as South Jesmond. If that isn't symptomatic of the destruction of class based politics I don't know what is.

[mrhell]

Walkergate became a safe Lib Dem seat between 2006 and 2008 partly as Labour did nothing between 2004 and 2009. They started in the year leading to the 2010 General Election.

[mrhell]

UKIP on Twitter think Walkergate is in Nottingham!

[mrhell]

This is the effect of two hours sleep, a day's work in Walkergate and a can of Stella. UKIP is the Banquo's ghost of the election. A Lib Dem who knows the ward well said a week ago that he doesn't write off a UKIP win. In 2007 I considered that the BNP would have a chance of doing well in Walkergate after their high third-placed vote in the 2007 Fenham by-election. It's clear that UKIP are gaining votes from us (I suspect our 2011 voters not 2012). However, Labour appeared to have stayed pretty much in their strong areas today and perhaps fear losing more of their votes to them (certainly one of the team told me they were finding UKIP voters).

While knocking-up our vote today I found some cagey people who wouldn't say who they were voting for and some who were voting for UKIP. I can't remember meeting anyone who said they were voting Labour so a surprise could be in the offing. Other people who have been canvassing say that the current Labour councillors are much less highly thought of then their Lib Dem predecessors. UKIP will come top three (no surprise there), perhaps have beaten us into second place and perhaps won. I don't know but the odds say Labour win in the ward.

Newcastle First will get some votes but the leaflet I saw wasn't good and they hadn't done much. The Greens did some work early but this isn't really their ward. The Conservatives always do pretty badly around there. Doubt TUSC or the two independents will do well.

[mrhell]

Walkergate :
Labour 1080
UKIP 668
LD 460
Don't know the others.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

So those twitter rumours about UKIP gain were a bit exaggerated.

[andrea]

Walkergate full result according to the council twitter feed

Lab 1080
UKIP 668
LD 460
Ind 64
Newcastle First 61
Con 54
Green 30
TUSC 24
Ind 12

[lancastrian]

Which way round were the independents?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

I have a result from Bracknell Town Council, Great Hollands South ward:

Clive Temperton (Labour Party Candidate) 556
John Bouchard (Conservative Party Candidate) 343
Larraine Kerry De Laune (Liberal Democrats) 64
Mark Daniel Brown (Green Party) 58

Labour gain from Conservative

[andrea]

Jun 6, 2013 22:45:40 GMT lancastrian said:

Which way round were the independents?

yes, sorry.

Sibley 12
Hicks 64

[lancastrian]

We shouldn't be waiting much longer for Nottingham. We had the result about now when Wollaton East was up in April.

[The Bishop]

Another stunning result for TUSC, I see

[Andrew_S]

Jun 6, 2013 22:48:57 GMT lancastrian said:

We shouldn't be waiting much longer for Nottingham. We had the result about now when Wollaton East was up in April.

Turnout in Wollaton West is being reported as 42.6%.