stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,379 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 14, 2024 0:17:45 GMT
Portsmouth South
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Mar 14, 2024 0:45:21 GMT
Constituency guide is here: vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/18084/portsmouth-southThis will be a very comfortable Labour hold with Labour activists being told to move en masse to North. The big question is the residual Conservative vote In a constituency which is rapidly going "trendy". I would imagine the LD campaign here would be to establish a decent second place going forward. |
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 12,011
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Post by Khunanup on Jun 4, 2024 14:23:31 GMT
Like two bald men fighting over a comb...
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,433
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Post by iain on Jun 8, 2024 13:47:00 GMT
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jun 30, 2024 15:00:32 GMT
The Conservative candidate is ofc campaigning in Portsmouth North.
The Q here is how the candidates behind Morgan are arrainged. And how far Morgan finishes in front.
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Post by jakegb on Jun 30, 2024 15:16:49 GMT
My prediction -
Labour - 55% (+6)
Conservatives -20% (-17)
Reform - 10% (+8)
Lib Dems - 10% (-1)
Green - 4% (new)
PIP - 1% (new)
Morgan should be returned very safely. Clearly it's not just the students who are supporting him, judging by the rows of Vote Labour boards in Eastney, Craneswater, St Thomas etc.
Despite the Tory wipeout in local elections, I think they will still secure a very distant second, with Reform heavily eating into their vote.
Despite their dominance in local elections, I cannot see the Lib Dems improving much beyond their 2019 performance - especially as they no longer have a sitting councillor at the helm.
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,141
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Post by cogload on Jun 30, 2024 15:21:10 GMT
My prediction - Labour - 55% (+6) Conservatives -20% (-17) Reform - 10% (+8) Lib Dems - 10% (-1) Green - 4% (new) PIP - 1% (new) Morgan should be returned very safely. Clearly it's not just the students who are supporting him, judging by the rows of Vote Labour boards in Eastney, Craneswater, St Thomas etc. Despite the Tory wipeout in local elections, I think they will still secure a very distant second, with Reform heavily eating into their vote. Despite their dominance in local elections, I cannot see the Lib Dems improving much beyond their 2019 performance - especially as they no longer have a sitting councillor at the helm. Bold. |
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Post by sinisterdexter on Jun 30, 2024 15:23:27 GMT
Really can't see the Tories finishing second, but you never know!
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