Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Jun 19, 2017 23:54:02 GMT
Gosh, that was quick compared to some elections in Canada! Poll-by-poll results for the more decisive Nova Scotia election are also available at the same site. The Deputy Leader of the federal Conservatives has announced that he is to step down from all political offices, which will trigger a by-election in the riding of Lac-Saint-Jean, Québec. I also note that there was to be a municipal by-election in the town of Rideau Halls in Ontario next month, for a ward called... Bastard & South Burgess, but sadly only one candidate put their name forward for the vacancy. |
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Post by Deleted on Jun 20, 2017 0:16:24 GMT
Gosh, that was quick compared to some elections in Canada! Poll-by-poll results for the more decisive Nova Scotia election are also available at the same site. The Deputy Leader of the federal Conservatives has announced that he is to step down from all political offices, which will trigger a by-election in the riding of Lac-Saint-Jean, Québec. I also note that there was to be a municipal by-election in the town of Rideau Halls in Ontario next month, for a ward called... Bastard & South Burgess, but sadly only one candidate put their name forward for the vacancy.  The NS election is largely irrelevant. Its a small, poor province no one in the rest of the country cares about and the Grits kept their majority. Why do you consider it "more decisive" than BC? A large, populous, rich and dynamic province that were on a knife's edge, got what passes for a hung parliament in Canada, and whose government formation process will set a precedent for the rest of the country. |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Jun 20, 2017 0:21:25 GMT
The NS election is largely irrelevant. Its a small, poor province no one in the rest of the country cares about and the Grits kept their majority. Why do you consider it "more decisive" than BC? A large, populous, rich and dynamic province that were on a knife's edge, got what passes for a hung parliament in Canada, and whose government formation process will set a precedent for the rest of the country. I meant in the sense that it produced a more decisive result. Of course NS is less signification at federal elections, but every province (plus the Yukon) has its own story to tell when it holds it own legislative election. Personally I have closer links to NS than to BC so I don't appreciate the tone of your description of it, even if it factually not inaccurate. That said, the aftermath of the BC result is in fact a great test of the looseness of the Westminster system, which a lot of my compatriots commenting on the current situation in the UK House of Commons in another part of the forum appear to have missed. |
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Post by Deleted on Jun 22, 2017 19:14:13 GMT
So far so good.. (will be interesting to see if he stays on after the government is voted out).
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jun 30, 2017 1:14:28 GMT
BC Government falls, as expected. Now in the hands of Lieutenant Governor Judith Guichon. She can ask NDP leader to lead a government or call new elections. The rumours (from letters of her secretary to citizens) would be NDP leading government, but having to face a vote of confidence immediately.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jun 30, 2017 3:21:58 GMT
NDP takes power in British Columbia.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Jun 30, 2017 3:24:00 GMT
Mr Horgan is now the Premier-designate. The BC Speaker resigned earlier in the day. The NDP will be in office with the help of the Greens, but it doesn't really look like they've taken power in any meaningful sense.
Christy Clark should definitely be finished now, though.
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Post by timrollpickering on Jul 10, 2017 23:32:24 GMT
I note that the winning candidate only received 1,534 votes in an urban riding with a population of more than 21,000. According to Wikipedia the electorate is 10,761. It's very hard to get the votes of people without votes. |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Jul 10, 2017 23:35:34 GMT
I note that the winning candidate only received 1,534 votes in an urban riding with a population of more than 21,000. According to Wikipedia the electorate is 10,761. It's very hard to get the votes of people without votes. Fair point. Any idea why Winnipeg would have such a huge proportion of residents unable to vote? Simply a young population?? |
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Post by timrollpickering on Jul 11, 2017 10:39:59 GMT
According to Wikipedia the electorate is 10,761. It's very hard to get the votes of people without votes. Fair point. Any idea why Winnipeg would have such a huge proportion of residents unable to vote? Simply a young population?? This is from 2003 but suggests some reasons: www.cbc.ca/manitobavotes2003/riding/029/It could have changed in the last 18 years but there's a lot in there that suggests a lot of ineligible population and unregistered. |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Jul 11, 2017 20:35:34 GMT
Fair point. Any idea why Winnipeg would have such a huge proportion of residents unable to vote? Simply a young population?? This is from 2003 but suggests some reasons: www.cbc.ca/manitobavotes2003/riding/029/It could have changed in the last 18 years but there's a lot in there that suggests a lot of ineligible population and unregistered. Thanks. I think the real correlation here is with the latter group and the levels of poverty. That is definitely a high percentage of immigrants, although some will presumably have taken Canadian citizenship. I was aware of the large First Nation population in the city (without knowing the exact proportion), but of course they aren't ineligible to vote. |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Jul 28, 2017 18:57:22 GMT
Mr Horgan is now the Premier-designate. The BC Speaker resigned earlier in the day. The NDP will be in office with the help of the Greens, but it doesn't really look like they've taken power in any meaningful sense. Christy Clark should definitely be finished now, though. Christy Clark will resign (on August 4th) as both leader of BC Liberals and as an MLA. So, the NDP should be quite safe for 6 months (unlike UK, in Canada, by-elections are at the will of the Premier and they have 6 months to call them). Expect Horgan to wait the full 6 months before calling it. |
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Izzyeviel
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Post by Izzyeviel on Oct 24, 2017 1:56:09 GMT
Two by-elections tonight, Rona Ambrose has quit and her riding should be a safe Conservative hold
The Riding of Lac-Saint-Jean is more interesting. The Conservative quit in June and there could be a surprise here.
2015:
Conservative, 18,393, 33.27%
NDP 15,735, 28.46%
Bloc Quebec & Liberals both around 10,200, 18.5%
The national polls have the Liberals around the mid 30's, Conservatives a few points off, and NDP in the 15-20 range
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Izzyeviel
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Post by Izzyeviel on Oct 24, 2017 3:14:21 GMT
 liberals 36%, Cons 22.5%, NDP 13% Quebec 26% |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Oct 24, 2017 9:01:29 GMT
Although it isn't as rare for governing parties to gain seats in by-elections in Canada as it is in the UK, this is a very good result indeed for the Liberals - the last time that this riding elected a Liberal was in 1980, when Pierre Trudeau won 74 out of 75 seats in Quebec. Meh, it's easy to win elections when the media covers for your corruption and your broken promises. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 24, 2017 10:16:04 GMT
Although it isn't as rare for governing parties to gain seats in by-elections in Canada as it is in the UK, this is a very good result indeed for the Liberals - the last time that this riding elected a Liberal was in 1980, when Pierre Trudeau won 74 out of 75 seats in Quebec. Meh, it's easy to win elections when the media covers for your corruption and your broken promises. Tell us about it  |
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Post by Ghyl Tarvoke on Oct 24, 2017 15:39:49 GMT
Terrible result for the NDP.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 24, 2017 16:29:06 GMT
Meh, it's easy to win elections when the media covers for your corruption and your broken promises. Tell us about it In fairness, the media is currently slating the Conservatives. |
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Oct 24, 2017 17:27:51 GMT
Lac-Saint-Jean has a lot of electoral history, being named as it is after a geographical feature, which also means its boundaries have changed a lot. It's been held by the Liberals before and disappeared from the federal map from 2004 to 2015. Its notional results from 2011 would've seen the Liberals in a distant fourth at under 4% of the vote. The turnaround since then is remarkable. Clearly Denis Lebel had a personal vote, whilst Justin Trudeau's honeymoon period has now lasted two years. Some early returns got a few bloquistes overexcited but they ultimately ended up in third place. Ghyl is right to say that things don't look great for the NDP on the basis of this result either. Turnout was reasonably good for a by-election at 41.1% of the pre-poll electorate.
The Conservatives easily held the rural Alberta seat previously occupied by former Tory interim leader Rona Ambrose, with 77.4% on a 23.7% turnout. There was no Green candidate, but the Christian Heritage Party took 2.9% of the vote. The Liberals were ahead of the NDP for second place all night.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on Nov 2, 2017 4:35:42 GMT
If a territorial election happens in Nunavut and no political parties are around to contest it, does it make an impact? Evidently not. One candidate in the riding of Quttiktuq managed to garner zero votes. Eight incumbents lost their seats, including three Cabinet ministers plus former Premier Paul Okalik (who is a Liberal federally). Incumbent head of the executive Peter Taptuna declined to re-offer, so we'll have to wait and see who the new one will be. Three days after the election, the open seat of Cambridge Bay is still considered too close to call. Things move a lot more slowly up there in consensus government country, it seems. We're back up to four vacancies in the House of Commons now. The by-elections must be called for April at the latest. As for a provincial round-up... Former federal House Leader Jason Kenney is the new leader of the Official Opposition in Alberta, the recently merged United Conservative Party. Jamie Baillie has resigned as leader of the Nova Scotia Progressive Conservatives after failing to make enough headway against the Liberals at the snap election there earlier this year. There are currently two empty ridings on the map of Ontario caused by resignation, one of which is the seat vacated by federal NDP leader Jagmeet Singh. Lots of intra-party action in the Prairies lately. Non-MLA Wab Kinew is the leader of the Manitoba New Democrats, having defeated the only other candidate Steve Ashton, father of two-time failed federal leadership candidate Niki Ashton. That province's Liberal branch surprisingly also went for an ex-leadership failure in Dougald Lamont who is outside of the legislature too. Meanwhile, both main parties in Saskatchewan will elect fresh leaders early next year, first the ruling Sask Party in January and then the New Democrats in the spring. |
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