maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 17:07:24 GMT
Recount in Surrey City Centre has mnoved the NDP majority to 175 and Kelowna Centre to a Conservative majority of 68. Recount in Juan de Fuca should end today and all 20000-ish absentees will be counted today, so we should have a final result today (unless the result is within 1/500 of the votes casted in a riding, then it will go to a court recount within 8 days). After one hour of absentee count, Con lead in Surrey Guildford is now 25, and NDP leads in Juan de Fuca - Malahat is now 113. No update from the other two. After 2 hours, 111 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 63 Con in Kelowna Centre, 173 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 18:03:19 GMT
After one hour of absentee count, Con lead in Surrey Guildford is now 25, and NDP leads in Juan de Fuca - Malahat is now 113. No update from the other two. After 2 hours, 111 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 63 Con in Kelowna Centre, 173 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford.After 3 hours, 109 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 60 Con in Kelowna Centre, 180 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 4 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 19:05:13 GMT
After 2 hours, 111 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 63 Con in Kelowna Centre, 173 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford.After 3 hours, 109 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 60 Con in Kelowna Centre, 180 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 4 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford.After 4 hours, 114 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 62 Con in Kelowna Centre, 190 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 14 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford.
If this holds, the NDP has a majority government. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 20:03:01 GMT
After 3 hours, 109 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 60 Con in Kelowna Centre, 180 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 4 votes lead for Conservatives in Surrey Guildford.After 4 hours, 114 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 62 Con in Kelowna Centre, 190 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 14 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford.
If this holds, the NDP has a majority government. After 4 hours, 116 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 64 Con in Kelowna Centre, 200 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. |
|
|
|
Post by redvers on Oct 28, 2024 21:44:58 GMT
Them some weird Saskatchewan polls. This could be an interesting night.
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 21:49:12 GMT
After 4 hours, 114 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 62 Con in Kelowna Centre, 190 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 14 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford.
If this holds, the NDP has a majority government. After 4 hours, 116 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 64 Con in Kelowna Centre, 200 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. After 5 hours, 123 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 46 Con in Kelowna Centre, 203 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 22:03:26 GMT
After 4 hours, 116 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 64 Con in Kelowna Centre, 200 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 9 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. After 5 hours, 123 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 46 Con in Kelowna Centre, 203 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. After 6 hours, 125 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 44 Con in Kelowna Centre, 229 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 17 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. I would assume they are quite close to done. CBC also called the election for the NDP as the largest party given how many votes are left (unclear if majority or hung, through). |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 28, 2024 23:05:23 GMT
After 5 hours, 123 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 46 Con in Kelowna Centre, 203 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. After 6 hours, 125 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 44 Con in Kelowna Centre, 229 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 17 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. I would assume they are quite close to done. CBC also called the election for the NDP as the largest party given how many votes are left (unclear if majority or hung, through). After 6 hours, 127 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 43 Con in Kelowna Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. No change in Surrey City Centre. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 29, 2024 0:14:48 GMT
After 6 hours, 125 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 44 Con in Kelowna Centre, 229 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 17 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. I would assume they are quite close to done. CBC also called the election for the NDP as the largest party given how many votes are left (unclear if majority or hung, through). After 6 hours, 127 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 43 Con in Kelowna Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. No change in Surrey City Centre. After 7 hours, 125 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 35 Con in Kelowna Centre, 233 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 16 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. |
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
|
Post by maxque on Oct 29, 2024 1:06:21 GMT
After 6 hours, 127 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 43 Con in Kelowna Centre and 18 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. No change in Surrey City Centre. After 7 hours, 125 NDP in Juan de Fuca - Malahat, 35 Con in Kelowna Centre, 233 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 16 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. After 8 hours, 38 Con in Kelowna Centre, 236 NDP in Surrey City Centre and 27 votes lead for the NDP in Surrey Guildford. |
|
Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135
|
Post by Foggy on Oct 29, 2024 4:54:46 GMT
CBC is being too cautious to call it but it's another Sask Party government, as expected. The only question is if it's an overall majority of 1 seat or a more comfortable 17 - as I type the lead is slap bang in the middle of those two figures at 9 MLAs, which is if anything an underperformance when you look at the popular vote.
Unlike in BC and NB last week, votes are still counted by hand in Saskatchewan so the tabulation is moving very slowly there, which is proving frustrating for those trying to cover election night. Postal votes will apparently be tallied on Wednesday (so the day after next local time).
No chance of a minority government since there are only two parties in the legislature these days. Looking at which parties are getting to finish a distant third across the various constituencies, the most recent third party (the Liberals) seem to be nowhere. In rural areas it tends to be Sask United or something called The Buffalo Party, while in the cities it looks like the continuity PCs, Greens and a fringe group calling themselves The Progress Party. Haven't spotted any strong independent candidates this time.
Provnicial Leader of HM Loyal Opposition Carla Beck might've done enough to remain NDP leader if the SP majority stays in single figures. But four years can be a long time in politics.
|
|
|
|
Post by matureleft on Oct 29, 2024 5:09:15 GMT
The BC count is now complete with the NDP winning a narrow overall majority - 47 to Conservative 44 and Green 2. However several results are extremely tight (both ways) so some judicial recounts will follow.
|
|
|
|
Post by matureleft on Oct 29, 2024 5:39:26 GMT
Saskatchewan results are here: newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/saskatchewan/2024/results/#/NDP has made significant gains with a number of SP cabinet members heading for defeat. The SP majority should be around 7. It was 35 but redistricting has taken place (with the overall number of seats remaining the same). |
|
|
|
Post by rcronald on Oct 29, 2024 7:11:32 GMT
Saskatchewan results are here: newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/saskatchewan/2024/results/#/NDP has made significant gains with a number of SP cabinet members heading for defeat. The SP majority should be around 7. It was 35 but redistricting has taken place (with the overall number of seats remaining the same). The NDP run a very good campaign, my brain can’t comprehend how the people in charge of the NDP in the Prairies are technically in the same party as the nutters in BC. |
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Oct 29, 2024 8:54:25 GMT
Saskatchewan results are here: newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/saskatchewan/2024/results/#/NDP has made significant gains with a number of SP cabinet members heading for defeat. The SP majority should be around 7. It was 35 but redistricting has taken place (with the overall number of seats remaining the same). Major fail for the polls in terms of vote share. They had it neck-and-neck but the SP has a lead of 13.5% atm. |
|
Georg Ebner
Non-Aligned
Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
Posts: 9,797
|
Post by Georg Ebner on Oct 29, 2024 9:07:36 GMT
The NDP swept both cities (apart from 2 suburban ones in Saskatoon, the "Calgary of SK", i.e. the less left city being focussed on commerce).
But together with the 2 RedIndian-ones in the farNorth that's just not enough in SK - they would have needed then additionally 3 townsRidings.
|
|
|
|
Post by redvers on Oct 29, 2024 10:52:16 GMT
Well the end-of-campaign polls were most certainly wrong. The last few had the NDP ahead by about 3% but instead the Sask Party dominated the popular vote by 13.5%. However, from where the NDP were, it's been a successful election, as whilst they were absolutely decimated in the rural areas (where the Sask Party ran up the popular vote numbers) they swept Regina and lost out on just 2 ridings in Saskatoon.
The Sask Party super-majority that has lasted 17 years is at least over, and the NDP will come out with their strongest caucus since 2007. There is a pathway now for 2028 - grab the last two Saskatoon ridings, win the two Prince Albert ridings (they look like narrowly missing out on Prince Albert Northcote), and then you're looking at a wildcard like Moose Jaw Wakamow. Gets you a bare NDP majority.
In the meantime, the Sask government will be almost exclusively rural-based. A sharp divide now in Saskatchewan politics - feels like an alternative universe now where the NDP where they could win rural ridings just as much as urban ones.
|
|
|
|
Post by finsobruce on Oct 29, 2024 12:39:38 GMT
Well the end-of-campaign polls were most certainly wrong. The last few had the NDP ahead by about 3% but instead the Sask Party dominated the popular vote by 13.5%. However, from where the NDP were, it's been a successful election, as whilst they were absolutely decimated in the rural areas (where the Sask Party ran up the popular vote numbers) they swept Regina and lost out on just 2 ridings in Saskatoon. The Sask Party super-majority that has lasted 17 years is at least over, and the NDP will come out with their strongest caucus since 2007. There is a pathway now for 2028 - grab the last two Saskatoon ridings, win the two Prince Albert ridings (they look like narrowly missing out on Prince Albert Northcote), and then you're looking at a wildcard like Moose Jaw Wakamow. Gets you a bare NDP majority. In the meantime, the Sask government will be almost exclusively rural-based. A sharp divide now in Saskatchewan politics - feels like an alternative universe now where the NDP where they could win rural ridings just as much as urban ones. There are constituency names, and then there are Canadian constituency names. |
|
|
|
Post by redvers on Oct 29, 2024 12:54:27 GMT
Well the end-of-campaign polls were most certainly wrong. The last few had the NDP ahead by about 3% but instead the Sask Party dominated the popular vote by 13.5%. However, from where the NDP were, it's been a successful election, as whilst they were absolutely decimated in the rural areas (where the Sask Party ran up the popular vote numbers) they swept Regina and lost out on just 2 ridings in Saskatoon. The Sask Party super-majority that has lasted 17 years is at least over, and the NDP will come out with their strongest caucus since 2007. There is a pathway now for 2028 - grab the last two Saskatoon ridings, win the two Prince Albert ridings (they look like narrowly missing out on Prince Albert Northcote), and then you're looking at a wildcard like Moose Jaw Wakamow. Gets you a bare NDP majority. In the meantime, the Sask government will be almost exclusively rural-based. A sharp divide now in Saskatchewan politics - feels like an alternative universe now where the NDP where they could win rural ridings just as much as urban ones. There are constituency names, and then there are Canadian constituency names. Sounds like an obscure board game! |
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
|
Post by The Bishop on Oct 29, 2024 13:07:29 GMT
Saskatchewan results are here: newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/saskatchewan/2024/results/#/NDP has made significant gains with a number of SP cabinet members heading for defeat. The SP majority should be around 7. It was 35 but redistricting has taken place (with the overall number of seats remaining the same). The NDP run a very good campaign, my brain can’t comprehend how the people in charge of the NDP in the Prairies are technically in the same party as the nutters in BC. Shame that their opponents in BC were also nutters eh. |
|
