Brentford and Isleworth

[batman]

yes I know he is & I have unfriended the antisemitic swine on Facebook. A most duplicitous character.

[Adam in Stroud]

May 28, 2024 22:29:57 GMT batman said:

yes I know he is & I have unfriended the antisemitic swine on Facebook. A most duplicitous character.

Most unusual to hear that description applied to anyone at all in The Workers' Party, you shock me greatly.

[carolus]

www.hounslow.gov.uk/info/20043/elections_and_voting/2459/uk_parliamentary_general_election_2024_-_statement_of_persons_nominated_notice_of_poll_and_situation_of_polling_stations

7 - Con, Green, Lab, LD, Reform UK, WPB, Ind

[Andrew_S]

Almost no swing.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brentford_and_Isleworth_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

[evergreenadam]

Jul 10, 2024 10:59:40 GMT Andrew_S said:

Almost no swing.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brentford_and_Isleworth_(UK_Parliament_constituency)#Elections_in_the_2020s

And only a tiny swing in Feltham & Heston too.

[kitesurfer]

There was also a swing to the Tories in Ealing Southall.

The combination of the Workers Party and Greens have eaten into a chunk of the Labour vote in these places and certainly to a greater extent than Reform did to the Tories.

When the Labour government eventually gets unpopular, it will be interesting to see whether a seat like Brentford can be competitive again for the Tories one day.

[batman]

Without Chiswick it will be very difficult. The Tories potentially should be able to compete with Labour in Whitton, Osterley & Spring Grove and at a pinch Hounslow East & Hounslow South wards, but they are surely too far behind Labour everywhere else, particularly in Brentford East & Hounslow Heath, but these days in Isleworth too - Isleworth is still surprisingly heavily white but has become a very weak ward for the Tories for a number of reasons.

[evergreenadam]

Jul 27, 2024 8:21:21 GMT batman said:

Without Chiswick it will be very difficult. The Tories potentially should be able to compete with Labour in Whitton, Osterley & Spring Grove and at a pinch Hounslow East & Hounslow South wards, but they are surely too far behind Labour everywhere else, particularly in Brentford East & Hounslow Heath, but these days in Isleworth too - Isleworth is still surprisingly heavily white but has become a very weak ward for the Tories for a number of reasons.

I think it will be less a case of the Tories gaining support, more likely that their support flat lines and the Labour vote fragments in different directions. But as you say, Labour are pretty dug in here and the demographics are moving in their direction.

[aargauer]

So much depends on events. If the Tories select someone that doesn't scare the horses in London, Labour will do something sooner or later that'll seriously upset higher earners and/or the wealthy.

It's perfectly possible the Tories are permanently dead in seats like this too.

[londonseal80]

Jul 27, 2024 7:40:50 GMT kitesurfer said:

There was also a swing to the Tories in Ealing Southall.

The combination of the Workers Party and Greens have eaten into a chunk of the Labour vote in these places and certainly to a greater extent than Reform did to the Tories.

When the Labour government eventually gets unpopular, it will be interesting to see whether a seat like Brentford can be competitive again for the Tories one day.

I think the Tories will do okay in the next couple of Hounslow council elections not enough to be near control but enough to get 20-25 seats, they will certainly do better here than say Ealing or Merton. There’s a good handful of wards that aren’t overly safe for Labour.