stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365 
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:30:08 GMT
Waveney Valley
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Post by michaelarden on Mar 20, 2024 19:44:36 GMT
Surprise Green gain of the evening?
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Post by johnloony on Mar 20, 2024 20:01:20 GMT
Surprise Green gain of the evening? QTWTAIN |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Mar 20, 2024 21:01:03 GMT
Surprise Green gain of the evening? They are clearly trying, but this is a pretty safe Tory seat: 62.2% notionally in 2019 and, barring the small part which comes from the old Waveney, no recent history of a non-Conservative MP. I don't know how good they will be at establishing themselves as the main challenger to the Tories, but, even if they do, getting enough votes to win seems a tall order, outside of a complete Tory meltdown scenario anyway. |
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Post by tucson on Jun 3, 2024 15:47:18 GMT
Green candidate endorsed by Norman Lamb (former LD MP for Norfolk North)
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Post by froome on Jun 3, 2024 18:51:26 GMT
Surprise Green gain of the evening? The Green campaign here is tending to go under the media radar, but Norman Lamb's endorsement (or prediction, I wasn't sure he actually was endorsing) may change that. Perhaps somewhat controversially, I have long thought that this seat is our best chance of making a gain, above Bristol Central where everyone's attention is focused (and which I think is still too close to call). |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2024 18:54:19 GMT
Green candidate endorsed by Norman Lamb (former LD MP for Norfolk North) I'm curious if this actually helps the Greens here since he was a Norfolk MP after all, although maybe the Greens in Waveney Valley are targeting a similar demographic to the one that elected Lamb for so many years in North Norfolk. Are there many similarities between that seat and this? I suspect it also has an elderly population and may also have been ravaged by the Beeching axe? |
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Post by noorderling on Jun 3, 2024 18:55:16 GMT
Surprise Green gain of the evening? The Green campaign here is tending to go under the media radar, but Norman Lamb's endorsement (or prediction, I wasn't sure he actually was endorsing) may change that. Perhaps somewhat controversially, I have long thought that this seat is our best chance of making a gain, above Bristol Central where everyone's attention is focused (and which I think is still too close to call). Would be interesting if this was the only Green seat after the GE: a Tory instead of a Labour facing seat. What would that mean in terms of the policy stands in Parliament? |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jun 3, 2024 19:01:09 GMT
The Green campaign here is tending to go under the media radar, but Norman Lamb's endorsement (or prediction, I wasn't sure he actually was endorsing) may change that. Perhaps somewhat controversially, I have long thought that this seat is our best chance of making a gain, above Bristol Central where everyone's attention is focused (and which I think is still too close to call). Would be interesting if this was the only Green seat after the GE: a Tory instead of a Labour facing seat. What would that mean in terms of the policy stands in Parliament? It'll be interesting if they win all four of the seats they hope to take: Brighton Pavilion, Bristol Central, the North Herefordshire seat and here. |
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 3, 2024 20:18:58 GMT
Green candidate endorsed by Norman Lamb (former LD MP for Norfolk North) Are the Lib Dems running here? |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,425
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Post by iain on Jun 3, 2024 20:42:16 GMT
Yes
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Post by Forfarshire Conservative on Jun 3, 2024 20:53:53 GMT
Shame then. I know he'd left the Lib Dems, but he was one of the more reasonable Lib Dem affiliated types. The bridges are probably truly burnt now.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,425
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Post by iain on Jun 3, 2024 21:01:09 GMT
Shame then. I know he'd left the Lib Dems, but he was one of the more reasonable Lib Dem affiliated types. The bridges are probably truly burnt now. I may be wrong but I think he rejoined? Pretty sure he’s been helping the Lib Dem campaign in North Norfolk anyway. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 3, 2024 22:49:45 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 45.4% | 26.0% | 28.0% | | | | 1974 | 46.9% | 29.0% | 24.0% | | | | 1979 | 55.0% | 26.7% | 17.8% | | | | 1983 | 55.1% | 15.9% | 29.0% | | | | 1987 | 54.5% | 16.5% | 29.1% | | | | 1992 | 52.4% | 21.4% | 24.5% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn | | | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 41.9% | 32.4% | 21.5% | 3.4% | | | | 2001 | 45.1% | 31.3% | 20.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | | | 2005 | 47.8% | 24.7% | 22.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | | | 2010 | 52.6% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | | | 2015 | 53.4% | 18.4% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 5.4% | | | 2017 | 62.0% | 28.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 3.2% | | | 2019 | 62.2% | 18.6% | 9.2% | | 9.3% | |
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Post by carlton43 on Jun 3, 2024 22:58:46 GMT
Green candidate endorsed by Norman Lamb (former LD MP for Norfolk North) Are the Lib Dems running here? What do you mean by running boy? In Britain, gentlemen stand, they do not run. Take an hour's detention. |
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Post by noorderling on Jun 4, 2024 5:02:23 GMT
Shame then. I know he'd left the Lib Dems, but he was one of the more reasonable Lib Dem affiliated types. The bridges are probably truly burnt now. I may be wrong but I think he rejoined? Pretty sure he’s been helping the Lib Dem campaign in North Norfolk anyway. He strongly endorsed the Lib Dem candidate in North Norfolk on X. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 11,425
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Post by iain on Jun 8, 2024 12:19:36 GMT
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nyx
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,024
Member is Online
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Post by nyx on Jun 12, 2024 13:50:40 GMT
Probably a Green gain, considering how much they're focusing on it and the Conservatives' national weakness.
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stb12
Top Poster
Posts: 8,365
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Post by stb12 on Jun 12, 2024 13:55:21 GMT
Probably a Green gain, considering how much they're focusing on it and the Conservatives' national weakness. ’Probably’ seems a big statement considering the huge gap involved, even under these current terrible circumstances for the Tories However there seems to be some interest in this so I will add a poll |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 12, 2024 16:20:52 GMT
The Greens were being bigged up in Norwich South in 2010 based on pretty phenomenal local election results. In the event Labour did lose the seat but it was surprisingly gained by the Lib Dems.
The Green candidate came a distant fourth, despite a big increase in vote share. His name was Adrian Ramsay.
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