Suffolk Coastal

[sanders]

Eureka - Dunwich and Dunwich Heath Boroughs

[The Bishop]

Dunwich under the Sea, shurely?

[cathyc]

Sept 12, 2024 10:34:49 GMT The Bishop said:

Dunwich under the Sea, shurely?

Dunwich-sub-Mare.

[sanders]

Aldborough and Dunwich Burghs (county constituency)

[East Anglian Lefty]

Doggerland West.

[sanders]

Sept 12, 2024 11:22:45 GMT East Anglian Lefty said:

Doggerland West.

New Nederland. 

[owainsutton]

Sept 12, 2024 11:22:45 GMT East Anglian Lefty said:

Doggerland West.

Higher Doggerland

[michaelarden]

Dunwich on the Wold?

[evergreenadam]

Over 90% of existing claimants to lose their winter fuel allowance in this seat.

www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/estimates-of-winter-fuel-payment

Uncomfortable for the new Labour MP with a small majority.

[Merseymike]

Oct 6, 2024 14:31:19 GMT evergreenadam said:

Over 90% of existing claimants to lose their winter fuel allowance in this seat.

www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/estimates-of-winter-fuel-payment

Uncomfortable for the new Labour MP with a small majority.

I'm not surprised. Labour should listen.

[sanders]

Make the unpopular decisions early on. This was a great Labour result. But they don't need Suffolk Coastal. They could also haemorrhage to Reform. The same goes for Norfolk SW. This could be a three-way marginal. Obviously, it's not like Great Yarmouth. Still, old, white, retirement communities here. Plenty of potential for Reform surging. I know I say that often. But look at where they've won. Coastal Lincolnshire coastal Norfolk, etc etc. Many old people didn't back Starmer. Still, we'll see what happens here. Local elections here worth watching, IMO. 

[batman]

I don't see this as particularly fertile for Reform although they could do well in Felixstowe. It's not like Lowestoft (as Waveney constituency now basically is) let alone Great Yarmouth.

[edgbaston]

Oct 6, 2024 16:55:10 GMT batman said:

I don't see this as particularly fertile for Reform although they could do well in Felixstowe. It's not like Lowestoft (as Waveney constituency now basically is) let alone Great Yarmouth.

Waveney actually now contains none of Lowestoft, there have been some dramatic changes in this area

[Davıd Boothroyd]

The renaming of the seat containing Lowestoft as 'Waveney' in 1983 always seemed a bit contrived (I think done because it had a few smaller towns in it as well). It's fortunate that the PBCE could think of no other name for the cross-border Suffolk/Norfolk seat than 'Waveney Valley', thereby forcing the resurrection of Lowestoft as a constituency name.

[Sibboleth]

Oct 6, 2024 19:30:06 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

The renaming of the seat containing Lowestoft as 'Waveney' in 1983 always seemed a bit contrived (I think done because it had a few smaller towns in it as well). It's fortunate that the PBCE could think of no other name for the cross-border Suffolk/Norfolk seat than 'Waveney Valley', thereby forcing the resurrection of Lowestoft as a constituency name.

Contrived, cutesy names for districts and parliamentary constituencies were very much In at the time for whatever reason. Regrettably one of the silliest - 'Glyndŵr' - has recently resurfaced and with even less justification than before as Glyndyfrdwy is not even in 'Montgomery and Glyndŵr'. Sycharth, admittedly, is, but it was transferred into Montgomery without the need for a renaming in 2010 and it isn't as if anyone actually lives there. Maybe it would work as an Australian style name for the whole constituency, but as a geographical indicator of Denbighshire part of the constituency? Madness.

[heslingtonian]

I do wonder if the Conservatives would have held on narrowly here with a fresh candidate. Therese Coffey was synonymous with being the face of sewage in water and Liz Truss's Deputy by the time of the General Election. I also understand that she wasn't renowned for being an especially diligent constituency MP either.

[iainbhx]

Oct 6, 2024 20:40:23 GMT heslingtonian said:

I do wonder if the Conservatives would have held on narrowly here with a fresh candidate. Therese Coffey was synonymous with being the face of sewage in water and Liz Truss's Deputy by the time of the General Election. I also understand that she wasn't renowned for being an especially diligent constituency MP either.

I think it might have been that for the first time many of the voters of her seat actually got a look at their MP and decided they really didn't like why they saw.

My husband called her "The other Awful Poo Lady", the first one of course being "Dr" Gillian McKeith.

[greatkingrat]

There isn't any evidence of a negative personal vote though. In fact Coffey's vote held up notably better than most other Suffolk constituencies.

Ipswich -23.8%
Suffolk Coastal -26.9%
South Suffolk -29.1%
Central Suffolk & North Ipswich -29.3%
West Suffolk -30.0%
Lowestoft -31.1%
Waveney Valley -31.9%
Bury St Edmunds & Stowmarket -32.9%

[sanders]

I can see why Coffey lost. Most British people prefer tea, really. Shedding 26% is still piss poor. It's way above the national average. 

And Reform got 16% of votes. So in line with nation-wide result. Beautiful seat this, unbelievable Labour won. 

Tories should get this back, however. No reason why Reform couldn't advance. Lots of old people, very white. 

[ilerda]

Oct 6, 2024 21:23:20 GMT greatkingrat said:

There isn't any evidence of a negative personal vote though. In fact Coffey's vote held up notably better than most other Suffolk constituencies.

Ipswich -23.8%
Suffolk Coastal -26.9%
South Suffolk -29.1%
Central Suffolk & North Ipswich -29.3%
West Suffolk -30.0%
Lowestoft -31.1%
Waveney Valley -31.9%
Bury St Edmunds & Stowmarket -32.9%

Don’t let the facts get in the way of a politically-convenient assumption.