stb12
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Hitchin
Mar 13, 2024 21:16:53 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:16:53 GMT
Hitchin
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 18, 2024 17:29:58 GMT
Link to profile2021 Census New Boundaries (ranks England and Wales) Age 65+ 17.4% 358/575 Owner occupied 70.3% 173/575 Private rented 15.1% 435/575 Social rented 14.7% 303/575 White 88.1% 322/575 Black 2.3% 220/575 Asian 4.8% 273/575 Managerial & professional 44.7% 48/575 Routine & Semi-routine 17.2% 479/575 Degree level 40.5% 108/575 No qualifications 12.8% 512/575 Students 4.9% 410/575
General Election 2019: Hitchin and HarpendenParty Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Bim Afolami 27,719 47.1 –6.0 Liberal Democrats Sam Collins 20,824 35.4 +24.8 Labour Kay Tart 9,959 16.9 –15.7 CPA Sid Cordle 268 0.5 +0.1 Advance Peter Marshall 101 0.2 New C Majority 6,895 11.7 –8.8 Turnout 58,921 77.1 –0.3 Conservative hold Swing 15.4 C to LD Boundary ChangesHitchin consists of 52.8% of Hitchin & Harpenden 19.9% of NE Bedfordshire 15.4% of Mid Bedfordshire Mapboundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/eastern/Eastern_071_Hitchin_Portrait.pdf 2019 Notional Results on New Boundaries (Rallings and Thrasher) | Con | 25419 | 47.0% | | Lab | 14115 | 26.2% | | LD | 12798 | 23.7% | | Green | 818 | 1.5% | | Oths | 871 | 1.6% |
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| | | | | | Majority | 11264 | 20.8% |
New seat Candidates Conservative - Bim Afolami - incumbent MP for Hitchin & Harpenden Labour - Alistair Strathern - MP for Mid Bedfordshire Lib Dem - Chris Lucas - local councillor for Hitchin Priory Reform UK - Charles Bunker
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,712
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 24, 2024 20:39:57 GMT
Link to profile2021 Census New Boundaries (ranks England and Wales) Age 65+ 17.4% 358/575 Owner occupied 70.3% 173/575 Private rented 15.1% 435/575 Social rented 14.7% 303/575 White 88.1% 322/575 Black 2.3% 220/575 Asian 4.8% 273/575 Managerial & professional 44.7% 48/575 Routine & Semi-routine 17.2% 479/575 Degree level 40.5% 108/575 No qualifications 12.8% 512/575 Students 4.9% 410/575
General Election 2019: Hitchin and HarpendenParty Candidate Votes % ±% Conservative Bim Afolami 27,719 47.1 –6.0 Liberal Democrats Sam Collins 20,824 35.4 +24.8 Labour Kay Tart 9,959 16.9 –15.7 CPA Sid Cordle 268 0.5 +0.1 Advance Peter Marshall 101 0.2 New C Majority 6,895 11.7 –8.8 Turnout 58,921 77.1 –0.3 Conservative hold Swing 15.4 C to LD Boundary ChangesHitchin consists of 52.8% of Hitchin & Harpenden 19.9% of NE Bedfordshire 15.4% of Mid Bedfordshire Mapboundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/eastern/Eastern_071_Hitchin_Portrait.pdf 2019 Notional Results on New Boundaries (Rallings and Thrasher) | Con | 25419 | 47.0% | | Lab | 14115 | 26.2% | | LD | 12798 | 23.7% | | Green | 818 | 1.5% | | Oths | 871 | 1.6% |
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| | | | | | Majority | 11264 | 20.8% |
New seat Candidates Conservative - Bim Afolami - incumbent MP for Hitchin & Harpenden Labour - Alistair Strathern - MP for Mid Bedfordshire Lib Dem - Chris Lucas - local councillor for Hitchin Priory Reform UK - Charles Bunker Hilariously, Bim Afolami is talking up the Liberal Democrats as the main threat. Needless to say, Alistair Strathern has faced this tactic before and it isn't likely to get too much traction. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Hitchin
May 25, 2024 9:25:48 GMT
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Post by Tony Otim on May 25, 2024 9:25:48 GMT
Are there any other seats where we're likely to see 2 sitting MPs going up against each other?
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nyx
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Post by nyx on May 25, 2024 9:34:40 GMT
Are there any other seats where we're likely to see 2 sitting MPs going up against each other? Simon Baynes and Helen Morgan (North Shropshire) Richard Foord and Simon Jupp (Honiton and Sidmouth) Sarah Edwards and Eddie Hughes (Tamworth) |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 25, 2024 11:18:12 GMT
Are there any other seats where we're likely to see 2 sitting MPs going up against each other? Simon Baynes and Helen Morgan (North Shropshire) Richard Foord and Simon Jupp (Honiton and Sidmouth) Sarah Edwards and Eddie Hughes (Tamworth) Interesting that they're all non-Tory by-election victors vs. Tories. I guess that's sort of expected though; any 2019 Lab/LD winner will stay put and no Tory MP is going to try and win a 2019 Lab/LD seat. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 25, 2024 12:48:11 GMT
Hilariously, Bim Afolami is talking up the Liberal Democrats as the main threat. Needless to say, Alistair Strathern has faced this tactic before and it isn't likely to get too much traction. It's a legitimate tactic given the previous result in the main donor constituency. In fact it would be stupid not to employ such a tactic |
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nyx
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Post by nyx on May 25, 2024 15:09:26 GMT
Hilariously, Bim Afolami is talking up the Liberal Democrats as the main threat. Needless to say, Alistair Strathern has faced this tactic before and it isn't likely to get too much traction. My understanding is that the local Labour and Lib Dems get along relatively well here and that there's an understanding that the Lib Dems are focusing on Harpenden and Berkhamsted whilst Labour is focusing on Hitchin. From Afolami's perspective it's absolutely a good tactic to try to divide the non Tory vote though. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on May 25, 2024 16:00:23 GMT
It has been pretty clear from the local elections in Hitchin that the electorate seems to know for which party to vote to not get Conservatives.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,712
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 25, 2024 19:03:50 GMT
Hilariously, Bim Afolami is talking up the Liberal Democrats as the main threat. Needless to say, Alistair Strathern has faced this tactic before and it isn't likely to get too much traction. It's a legitimate tactic given the previous result in the main donor constituency. In fact it would be stupid not to employ such a tactic I don't question the tactic, it is just unlikely to fly. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 25, 2024 20:12:42 GMT
In the wards that had local elections this year (so not the Bedfordshire portion), the Conservatives were behind both Labour and the Lib Dems.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 28, 2024 20:12:40 GMT
| | Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | | | 1974 | 44.7% | 34.2% | 20.6% | | | | 1974 | 45.2% | 35.9% | 18.9% | | | | 1979 | 54.2% | 30.2% | 13.7% | | | | 1983 | 53.0% | 17.9% | 29.1% | | | | 1987 | 54.3% | 18.7% | 27.0% | | | | 1992 | 53.8% | 23.9% | 21.0% | | |
| | Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn |
| | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 41.3% | 39.5% | 16.1% | | | | | 2001 | 44.1% | 38.4% | 15.1% | 1.9% | | | | 2005 | 46.1% | 28.1% | 22.2% | 2.3% | | | | 2010 | 51.0% | 18.2% | 24.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | | | 2015 | 52.3% | 22.8% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 5.4% | | | 2017 | 51.6% | 35.7% | 8.5% | | 2.4% | | | 2019 | 47.0% | 26.2% | 23.4% | | 1.5% | |
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Hitchin
Jun 8, 2024 7:27:58 GMT
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Post by greenhert on Jun 8, 2024 7:27:58 GMT
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