edgbaston
Labour
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Post by edgbaston on Jul 5, 2024 1:24:16 GMT
Sounds like this is going Reform. ffs |
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Post by uthacalthing on Jul 5, 2024 1:26:52 GMT
And his too
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 3:06:54 GMT
Tice takes this.
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Post by mrsir on Jul 5, 2024 15:18:54 GMT
The first few posts in this thread make for a fun read now. Tice indeed did a bit better than Nuttall…
I must admit this came as a shock to me. The conditions in Great Yarmouth seemed very good for Reform and I always thought Clacton would be an easy win but I was not expecting the conservatives vote to collapse as much as they did here.
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Post by finsobruce on Jul 5, 2024 15:36:12 GMT
The first few posts in this thread make for a fun read now. Tice indeed did a bit better than Nuttall… I must admit this came as a shock to me. The conditions in Great Yarmouth seemed very good for Reform and I always thought Clacton would be an easy win but I was not expecting the conservatives vote to collapse as much as they did here. The now historical success of the Boston Bypass Independents was perhaps a pointer to the potential here. |
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rcronald
Likud
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Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 17:22:55 GMT
The first few posts in this thread make for a fun read now. Tice indeed did a bit better than Nuttall… I must admit this came as a shock to me. The conditions in Great Yarmouth seemed very good for Reform and I always thought Clacton would be an easy win but I was not expecting the conservatives vote to collapse as much as they did here. Warman was a rather poor fit for Lincolnshire. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 5, 2024 17:25:22 GMT
This was only going to be one of the best Reform seats, like it was always one of the better UKIP areas in their heyday. Tice is exactly in line with what you'd expect considering that when, in 2015, UKIP got 34% here while polling 13% nationally, Reform got 38% here while polling 16% nationally.
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Post by heslingtonian on Jul 5, 2024 17:31:05 GMT
The first few posts in this thread make for a fun read now. Tice indeed did a bit better than Nuttall… I must admit this came as a shock to me. The conditions in Great Yarmouth seemed very good for Reform and I always thought Clacton would be an easy win but I was not expecting the conservatives vote to collapse as much as they did here. Warman was a rather poor fit for Lincolnshire. Especially this seat. He might have been an ok fit in Grantham or Stamford |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jul 5, 2024 21:08:03 GMT
The first few posts in this thread make for a fun read now. Tice indeed did a bit better than Nuttall… I must admit this came as a shock to me. The conditions in Great Yarmouth seemed very good for Reform and I always thought Clacton would be an easy win but I was not expecting the conservatives vote to collapse as much as they did here. Warman was a rather poor fit for Lincolnshire. He was but aside from a well known local I don't think any other candidate would have done all that much better. In a general election most new candidates tend to be seen as "Generic party X" regardless of where they fit on the political spectrum. |
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rcronald
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Post by rcronald on Jul 5, 2024 22:20:20 GMT
Warman was a rather poor fit for Lincolnshire. He was but aside from a well known local I don't think any other candidate would have done all that much better. In a general election most new candidates tend to be seen as "Generic party X" regardless of where they fit on the political spectrum. Didn’t he only lose by 4%? A solid but not spectacular populistish right winger like Caroline Johnson would have probably been enough to hold on. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Jul 6, 2024 18:54:05 GMT
He was but aside from a well known local I don't think any other candidate would have done all that much better. In a general election most new candidates tend to be seen as "Generic party X" regardless of where they fit on the political spectrum. Didn’t he only lose by 4%? A solid but not spectacular populistish right winger like Caroline Johnson would have probably been enough to hold on. Strongly disagree. Unless they have a local profile I don't thing "generic right wing Tory" does much better than "generic centrist Tory". |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jul 8, 2024 16:22:07 GMT
Didn’t he only lose by 4%? A solid but not spectacular populistish right winger like Caroline Johnson would have probably been enough to hold on. Doubt anyone would give two shits who the Tory candidate is, never thought the Tories would hold this for a moment, Great Yarmouth yes, here no I always thought Reform would win the seats they won, except from Great Yarmouth. I thought the fifth Reform seat would be on Canvey Island or a Kent seat. |
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