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Post by andrewp on Feb 23, 2024 10:59:17 GMT
Derbyshire Dales, Norbury
Bob ALLEN (Lab) 75 Sue BULL (Con) 317 - elected John James HILL (Green) 65 Robin Michael SHIRTCLIFFE (Lib Dem) 45
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Post by carolus on Feb 23, 2024 11:14:27 GMT
Derbyshire Dales, Bakewell
Lab 467 (38%) Con 452 (36%) LD 161 (13%) Green 73 (6%) RefUK 50 (4%) Ind 36 (3%)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 23, 2024 11:26:25 GMT
Certainly not a bloodbath as some predicted
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Post by gramps191919 on Feb 23, 2024 11:30:26 GMT
CON HOLD FOLKESTONE & HYTHE DC; Romney Marsh Ward
🔴 Lab, 295, 1️⃣ Ind 1, 62, 🔵 Con, 375, 🔶 LibDem, HORROX, Matt, 11, 2️⃣ Ind 2, 51, 3️⃣ Ind 3, 155, ➡️ Reform, 237, 🟢 Green, 332, 4️⃣ Ind 4, 31,
Many thanks to Matt Horrox & team for flying the flag.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2024 11:30:27 GMT
FOLKESTONE AND HYTHE Romney Marsh
Tony Hills (The Conservative Party Candidate) 375 Malcolm Watkinson (The Green Party) 332 Chrissie Cooper (Labour And Co-Operative Party) 295 Kim Elizabeth Rye (Reform UK) 237 Paul Andrew Peacock (Independent) 155 Dave Evans (Independent) 62 Ian Barry Meyers (Independent) 51 Dougie Young (no description) 31 Matt Horrox (Liberal Democrats) 11
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Post by carolus on Feb 23, 2024 11:32:08 GMT
Certainly not a bloodbath as some predicted That would have been the cherry on top of this result.
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Post by John Chanin on Feb 23, 2024 11:34:38 GMT
Certainly not a bloodbath as some predicted No, actually a pretty good week for the Conservatives. What do I know? There's a reason I don't enter the prediction competition.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2024 11:39:53 GMT
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Post by andrewp on Feb 23, 2024 11:44:12 GMT
It’s skewed by them not having many defences, but I would say the Tories local by election performance has improved a bit since Christmas. Jan and Feb feel as a whole more like poor than terrible.
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Post by batman on Feb 23, 2024 11:53:09 GMT
Yes I think "pretty good" is a bit kind. They have lost 2 seats but "not as bad as it might have been" would certainly be fair. Their performance in Jedburgh, though not very surprisingly, was very strong.
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Post by andrewp on Feb 23, 2024 11:53:24 GMT
An update on local by election statistics this municipal year, following the eight contests on 22/02/2024
Excluding countermanded elections, up to 22nd February 2024 there have now been 145 ordinary by elections for 147 seats since May 4th 2023
The Conservatives have defended 42- Held 17 and lost 25: 5 to the Greens, 14 to the Lib Dems, 5 to Labour and 1 to an Independent. ( retention rate 40%) and have gained 9
Labour have defended 49- Held 35 and lost 14- 5 to the Conservatives, 5 to Independents, 3 to the Lib Dems and 1 to the Greens( retention rate 71%) and have gained 10
Lib Dems have defended 25- Held 23 and lost 2, 1 to the Greens and 1 to an Independent ( retention rate 92% ) and have gained 21
Greens have defended 9- Held 5 and lost 4: 1 each to the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and to an Independent( retention rate 56%) and have gained 8
There have been elections for 9 seats previously won by Independents: 4 have been won by an another Independent , 1 each were lost to the Conservatives, Labour, the Lib Dems, the Greens and Plaid Cymru.And Independents have gained 9 Residents/ local groups have defended 6, held 4 and lost 2 to the Lib Dems. SNP have defended 5, lost 5, 2 to the Conservatives and 3 to Labour ( retention rate 0%) PC have defended 2, held 1 , lost 1 ( retention rate 50%) and have gained 1
Overall net changes
Con -16 Lab -4 LD +19 Green +4 Ind + 4 SNP -5 Res/ local groups -2
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 23, 2024 11:55:52 GMT
That Romney Marsh result is as mad as one would have expected
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,905
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Post by YL on Feb 23, 2024 11:57:05 GMT
Anyone know of any previous Labour wins in Bakewell? I looked in Elections Centre and didn’t find any; they didn’t contest it in 1995.
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Post by Robert Waller on Feb 23, 2024 12:01:01 GMT
Anyone know of any previous Labour wins in Bakewell? I looked in Elections Centre and didn’t find any; they didn’t contest it in 1995. I am originally from the Peak District, and I can never remember Labour winning in Bakewell at least in the past 50 odd years. Chapel-en-le-Frith, Whaley Bridge, Wirksworth, even villages like Hathersage & Eyam and Youlgreave, yes. Bakewell (and Ashbourne) no.
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Post by iainbhx on Feb 23, 2024 12:06:04 GMT
That Romney Marsh result is as mad as one would have expected Winner got 24% I think.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 23, 2024 12:11:48 GMT
10% for Labour in Jedburgh is actually fairly encouraging.
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Post by matureleft on Feb 23, 2024 12:22:40 GMT
Anyone know of any previous Labour wins in Bakewell? I looked in Elections Centre and didn’t find any; they didn’t contest it in 1995. I am originally from the Peak District, and I can never remember Labour winning in Bakewell at least in the past 50 odd years. Chapel-en-le-Frith, Whaley Bridge, Wirksworth, even villages like Hathersage & Eyam and Youlgreave, yes. Bakewell (and Ashbourne) no. There is a fair bit of demographic change in the Peaks. The communities with relatively easy access to Manchester or Sheffield are attracting educated professionals who are pretty unsympathetic to the current Conservative brand. But Bakewell isn’t particularly accessible. What is generally (with some notable exceptions) a staggeringly beautiful area has always attracted an arty element and that seems larger. But the other explanation may be quite local - a strongly motivated and rooted Labour Party.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 23, 2024 12:32:51 GMT
Anyone know of any previous Labour wins in Bakewell? I looked in Elections Centre and didn’t find any; they didn’t contest it in 1995. I think it must be a first. The old Bakewell Urban District Council was always non-partisan.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Feb 23, 2024 12:45:23 GMT
Yes I think "pretty good" is a bit kind. They have lost 2 seats but "not as bad as it might have been" would certainly be fair. Their performance in Jedburgh, though not very surprisingly, was very strong. They held two of their seats on low shares due to the opposition being divided (comically so in Kent) so got lucky to a degree.
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Post by johnloony on Feb 23, 2024 12:51:49 GMT
FOLKESTONE AND HYTHE Romney Marsh Tony Hills (The Conservative Party Candidate) 375 24.2% Malcolm Watkinson (The Green Party) 332 21.4% Chrissie Cooper (Labour And Co-Operative Party) 295 19.0% Kim Elizabeth Rye (Reform UK) 237 15.3% Paul Andrew Peacock (Independent) 155 10.0% Dave Evans (Independent) 62 4.0% Ian Barry Meyers (Independent) 51 3.3% Dougie Young (no description) 31 2.0% Matt Horrox (Liberal Democrats) 11 0.7% %percentages added
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