Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Dec 29, 2023 12:47:37 GMT
STIRLING UA; Dunblane & Bridge of Allan (Con resigned)
Candidates:
ANDREWS, Clare Pauline (Green)
HEALD, Thomas (Conservative)
KHAN, Ahsan (SNP)
MOERMAN, Dick (Liberal Democrat)
WILLIS, Michael (Scottish Family Party)
WILSON, David (Labour)
Mar 23by: Con 1832; SNP 1202; Lab 600; LD 399; Grn 389; SFP 50 (Con gain from SNP)
2022: Con 1536, 598; SNP 1266, 564; Grn 1138; Lab 842; LD 665; Alba 61; SFP 50
2018: Con 1543, 1502; SNP 1203,723; Lab 824; Grn 706; LD 476
All the candidates except the Conservative and SFP contested last year’s by-election. Ahsan Khan was the unsuccessful SNP candidate here in 2022. Dick Moerman stood for the Lib Dems and Michael Willis for SFP in Stirling West. Clare Andrews stood for the Scottish Greens in Clackmannanshire North in 2022 and gives her address in that authority... Thomas Heald was the unsuccessful Conservative candidate in Forth & Endrick in 2022.
Current Council: Con 7; SNP 7; Lab 5; Ind 2; Grn 1; 1 vacancy
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Post by timrollpickering on Dec 29, 2023 14:00:30 GMT
One minor correction - in both 2022 & 2023 the Scottish Family Party stood Nickie Willis here not Michael Willis. I don't know if they're related.
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Post by batman on Dec 29, 2023 15:52:27 GMT
I'd imagine so, Willis is not a particularly common name in Scotland and even less so for activists in the Scottish Family Party one would imagine
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Post by phil156 on Jan 24, 2024 17:03:17 GMT
Stirling will be counting on the night
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,729
Member is Online
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 25, 2024 8:28:33 GMT
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Post by carolus on Jan 25, 2024 23:42:31 GMT
Con hold
Con 1644
SNP 1000
Lab 869
Grn 433
LD 292
SFP 50
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 25, 2024 23:42:59 GMT
STIRLING Dunblane and Bridge of Allan
HEALD, Thomas (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 1,644
KHAN, Ahsan (Scottish National Party) 1,000
WILSON, David (Labour) 869
ANDREWS, Clare Pauline (Scottish Greens) 433
MOERMAN, Dick (Scottish Liberal Democrat) 292
WILLIS, Michael (Scottish Family Party) 50
Electorate 11,778; BPs 4,315; rejected BPs 27.
Thomas Heald elected at stage 6.
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Post by iainbhx on Jan 25, 2024 23:46:20 GMT
That's quite a good result for Labour sort of hiding there. Con and SNP down, Lab up.
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Post by lackeroftalent on Jan 25, 2024 23:46:30 GMT
So the Scottish Family Party got exactly 50 votes here for the third election in a row.
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Post by andrewp on Jan 26, 2024 0:06:34 GMT
First preferences
Con 38.3%
SNP 23.3%
Lab 20.3%
Green 10.1%
LD 6.8%
SFP 1.2%
Changes from 2023 BE
Con -2.6
SNP -3.6
Lab +6.9
Green +1.4
LD -2.1
SFO +0.1
changes since 2022
Con +6.5
SNP -3.9
Lab +7.8
Green -6.8
LD -3.1
SFP +0.5
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Post by johnloony on Jan 26, 2024 1:08:52 GMT
So the Scottish Family Party got exactly 50 votes here for the third election in a row. It would be fun to have a Venn diagram of the SFPvoters in those 3 elections. How many voted SFP in all three? I sometimes wonder what would be the Venn diagram of my voters in the three by-elections which I stood in in Bensham Manor ward in Croydon. In 1996, 2004 and 2007 I got 25, 44 and 15 votes respectively. |
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Post by andrewp on Jan 26, 2024 8:30:41 GMT
An update on local by election statistics this municipal year, following the Stirling contest on 25/01/24
Excluding countermanded elections, up to 25th January 2024 there have now been 128 ordinary by elections for 130 seats since May 4th 2023
The Conservatives have defended 35- Held 13 and lost 22: 5 to the Greens, 12 to the Lib Dems 4 to Labour and 1 to an Independent. ( retention rate 37%) and have gained 7
Labour have defended 46- Held 34 and lost 12: 4 to the Conservatives, 5 to Independents, 2 to the Lib Dems and 1 to the Greens( retention rate 74%) and have gained 8
Lib Dems have defended 23- Held 21 and lost 2, 1 to the Greens and 1 to an Independent ( retention rate 91% ) and have gained 18
Greens have defended 9- Held 5 and lost 4: 1 each to the Conservatives, Labour, the Liberal Democrats and to an Independent( retention rate 56%) and have gained 8
There have been elections for 6 seats previously held by Independents: 3 have been won by an another Independent , 1 each were lost to the Conservatives, the Lib Dems and the Greens. . And Independents have gained 8
Residents/ local groups have defended 6, held 4 and lost 2 to the Lib Dems.
SNP have defended 4 Lost 4, 1 to the Conservatives and 3 to Labour ( retention rate 0%)
PC have defended 1, held 1 ( retention rate 100%)
Overall net changes
Con -15
Lab -4
LD +16
Green +4
Ind + 5
SNP -4
Res/ local groups -2
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 26, 2024 8:54:53 GMT
Transfers from Dunblane and Bridge of Allan:
Top 3: C 1738 SNP 1266 Lab 1147
Final: C 1998 SNP 1531
/photo/1
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jan 26, 2024 10:17:49 GMT
The full transfer report will be interesting - looks like it might have been close if Labour had pipped the SNP into the second.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,889
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 26, 2024 10:43:14 GMT
So the Scottish Family Party got exactly 50 votes here for the third election in a row. It would be fun to have a Venn diagram of the SFPvoters in those 3 elections. How many voted SFP in all three? I sometimes wonder what would be the Venn diagram of my voters in the three by-elections which I stood in in Bensham Manor ward in Croydon. In 1996, 2004 and 2007 I got 25, 44 and 15 votes respectively. Given that they spanned over a decade, that would surely decrease the number of "common" voters. If only one person voted for you on all three occasions, that would be quite impressive in my view. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Jan 26, 2024 12:33:20 GMT
The full transfer report will be interesting - looks like it might have been close if Labour had pipped the SNP into the second. Indeed, although I would hazard a guess that the number of non-transferrable SNP votes might leave Labour just short. |
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Post by La Fontaine on Jan 26, 2024 12:34:15 GMT
STIRLING Dunblane and Bridge of Allan HEALD, Thomas (Scottish Conservative and Unionist) 1,644 KHAN, Ahsan (Scottish National Party) 1,000 WILSON, David (Labour) 869 ANDREWS, Clare Pauline (Scottish Greens) 433 MOERMAN, Dick (Scottish Liberal Democrat) 292 WILLIS, Michael (Scottish Family Party) 50 Electorate 11,778; BPs 4,315; rejected BPs 27. Thomas Heald elected at stage 6. Actually elected by 1998 to 1531 for SNP at stage 5. Stage 6 is the computer software's imagination. |
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Post by Kristofer Keane on Jan 26, 2024 13:01:27 GMT
The full transfer report will be interesting - looks like it might have been close if Labour had pipped the SNP into the second. This is why we need Minimax Condorcet. |
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Post by batman on Jan 26, 2024 15:28:06 GMT
if you say so Kristofer!
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 26, 2024 15:33:42 GMT
It's what they're all talking about at the Dog and Duck.
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