Prediction Competition - August 2023

[johnloony]

HAVERING: UCRA 64 Con 14 Lab 8 Grn 6 LD 5 Ind 3
SOMERSET: LD 58 Con 29 Grn 13
WYCHAVON: Grn 45 Con 15 Lab 10 LD 8 IndS 13 IndH 9

[batman]

HAVERING, Upminster : R 59 C 15 Lab 12 Green 7 LD 5 Ind 2

SOMERSET, Castle Cary : LD 54 C 37 Green 9

WYCHAVON, Evesham S. : Green 43 C 19 Lab 14 Ind Haines 9 LD 8 Ind Snape 7

[manchesterman]

Havering: RA 60, Con 19, Grn 8, Lab 7, LD 4, Ind 2

Somerset: LD 52, Con 36, Grn 12

Wychavon: Grn 48, Con 22, Lab 10, LD 7, Snape 7, Haines 6

[kevinf]

Havering
Ucra 64, Con 13, LD 10, Lab 8, Green 3.5, Ind 1.5
Somerset
LD 55, Con 35, Green 10
Wychavon
Green 48, Con 27, Lab 10, Ind Snape 8, LD 4, Ind Haines 3

[Richard Cromwell]

Upminster, Havering

Residents Association	69%
CON	11%
LAB	9%
GRN	7%
LDEM	4%
IND	0%

Castle Cary, Somerset

LDEM	48%
CON	33%
GRN	19%

Evesham South, Wychavon

GRN	76%
CON	16%
LAB	4%
LDEM	3%
Matt Snape	1%
Julie Haines	0%

[Tony Otim]

Havering: UCRA 61.7; Lab 12.8; Con 11.6; Durant 5.1; LD 4.8; Grn 4.0
Somerset: LD 50.9; Con 37.6; Grn 11.5
Wychavon: Grn 41.8; Con 21.1; Snape 15.1; Lab 9.1; Haines 7.8; LD 5.1

[corradino]

Havering, Upminster: UCRA 59, Lab 13, Con 9, LD 8, Green 7. Ind 4.

Somerset, Castle Cary: LD 46, Con 39, Green 15.

Wychavon, Evesham South: Green 50, Con 23, Lab 11, LD 10, Haines 4, Snape 2.

[andrewp]

Havering, Upminster Res 57 Lab 15 Con 15 Green 6 Ind 4 LD 3

Somerset. Castle Cary . LD 54 Con 36 Green 10

Wychavon. Evesham South. Green 47 Con 22 Lab 10, Haines 8 LD 7 Snape 6

[Robert Waller]

Havering, Upminster Res 60 Lab 12 Con 15 Green 5 Ind 4 LD 4

Somerset. Castle Cary . LD 55 Con 38 Green 7

Wychavon. Evesham South. Green 44 Con 25 Lab 12 Haines 8 LD 8 Snape 3

[yellowperil]

Havering, Upminster, etc: Con 15, Lab 12, LD 4, GP 6, Ind 3,Res 60.
Somerset, Castle Cary: Con 35, LD 50, GP 15.
Wychavon, Evesham S: Con 29, Lab 12, LD 10, GP 40. Ind Haines 7,Ind Snape 2

[peterl]

Havering, Upminster Res 62 Lab 15 Con 11 Green 7 Ind 3 LD 2
Somerset. Castle Cary LD 59 Con 32 Green 9
Wychavon. Evesham South Green 44 Con 22 Lab 15 Haines 11 LD 5 Snape 3

[rightleaning]

Havering, Upminster: Res 60, Lab 16, Con 11, GP 8, LD 3, Ind 2
Somerset, Castle Cary: LD 53, Con 29, GP 17
Wychavon, Evesham S: GP 43, Con 27, LD 12, Lab 10, Ind Haines 6, Ind Snape 2

[iainbhx]

Havering LBC, Upminster: UCRA 55, Lab 15, Ind 12, Con 10 Grn 5, LDm 3
Somerset UA, Castle Cary: LDm 52 Con 36 Grn 12
Wychavon DC, Evesham South: Grn 45, Con 24, Lab 11, Ind Haines 9, Ind Snape 6, LDm 5

[Robert Waller]

After the two overnight declarations, johnloony leads the week.

One to come on Friday.

[robbienicoll]

13 entries this week, with manchesterman rejoining. All on time, but with Right Leaning picking up 1 fault for going under in Somerset.

Upminster, Havering: 100% Residents Association hold, with majorities ranging from 41% (manchesterman) to 58% (Richard Cromwell).

Castle Cary, Somerset: 100% Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, with majorities ranging from 7% (corradino) to 29% (johnloony).

Eversham South, Wychavon: 100% Green hold, with majorities ranging from 11% (yellowperil) to 60% (Richard Cromwell), nearest after this is 30% (johnloony).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1u6NaU72CO3P7QCiJiVTg-0TCbEtRxyfnImAKHi47u8A/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all ahead of tomorrow morning's result.

[batman]

MIDDLESBROUGH, Ayresome : LD 41 Lab 37 C 13 Green 4 Ind Rathmell 3 Ind Young 2

ST ALBANS, Marshalswick E. & Jersey Farm : LD 49 C 27 Green 12 Lab 8 Ind 4

[kevinf]

Middlesbrough
LibDem 36, Lab 30, Ind (R) 12, Con 10, Ind (Y) 8, Green 4
St Albans
LibDem 40, Con 33, Green 10, Ind 9, Lab 8

[mattbewilson]

Didn't realise there was a by election in St Albans. Lib Dem hold easy id have thought

[Tony Otim]

Middlesbrough: Lab 38.5; Rathmell 27.6; Con 15.1; Young 9.7; LD 7.1; Grn 2.0
St Albans: LD 47.5; Con 32.1; Grn 8.4; Lab 7.9; Posner 4.1

[Richard Cromwell]

Ayresome, Middlesbrough

LAB	36%
Jon Rathmell	35%
GRN	17%
CON	6%
LDEM	5%
Jackie Young	1%

Marshalswick East & Jersey Farm, St Albans

LDEM	50%
CON	32%
GRN	9%
LAB	8%
IND	1%