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Post by phil156 on Aug 10, 2023 23:03:45 GMT
Same as last week with the LD party seem to be steamrolling the Grn vote must have gone down but the Con vote must have halved I await the percentages
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Post by carolus on Aug 10, 2023 23:12:23 GMT
Same as last week with the LD party seem to be steamrolling the Grn vote must have gone down but the Con vote must have halved I await the percentages Somerset, Castle Cary:
LD 54.8% Con 27.0% Green 18.2%
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Post by andrewp on Aug 10, 2023 23:13:55 GMT
Of the 55 electoral wards in Somerset, I think the Lib Dem’s would win about 48 of them in a by election that occurred at the moment. I think the only ones they wouldn’t win are the 4 in Bridgwater, Dulverton & Exmoor, and the 2 Green wards in Frome.
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Post by andrewp on Aug 10, 2023 23:15:08 GMT
Same as last week with the LD party seem to be steamrolling the Grn vote must have gone down but the Con vote must have halved I await the percentages Somerset, Castle Cary:
LD 54.8% Con 27.0% Green 18.2%
Changes LD + 10.4% Con -15.7% Green +5.3% |
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Post by andrewp on Aug 10, 2023 23:20:36 GMT
Same as last week with the LD party seem to be steamrolling the Grn vote must have gone down but the Con vote must have halved I await the percentages The Green vote went up in % terms. |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135 
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Post by Foggy on Aug 10, 2023 23:25:40 GMT
Slovenia has suffered some horrendous natural disasters this past week, but to my knowledge it has not slipped down into the Balkan peninsula. Anyway, I was in the division halfway between the parliamentary by-election and this one time-wise, in Ansford parish where two aunts and one uncle of mine now live. Not sure what the politics of the old couple in the big house up the hill (and beyond the orchard) are, but my spinster aunt had a LD leaflet still in her bungalow's letterbox when I was there and just out of sight of that, a big red Labour rosette pinned to the fridge. So, with no Labour candidate in sight, I presume she might have abstained or else cast a blank or spoiled vote today. My mother had been staying with her this morning and said to me on the phone in the evening that she wasn't aware of any plans to go out and vote having been discussed over breakfast. Decent win for the Lib Dems there, mind, and fair enough since they were the only party with any evidence of campaigning activity when I visited. |
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Post by carolus on Aug 10, 2023 23:29:03 GMT
You will not believe who won in Havering...
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 10, 2023 23:29:09 GMT
HAVERING Upminster
Jacqueline Ann Williams (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 1,642
Edward Andrew Green (Conservatives) 421
John Gregory Sullivan (Labour Party) 234
David Warren Durant (Independent) 150
Melanie Jane Collins (Green Party) 115
Thomas Patrick Clark (Liberal Democrats) 35
Spoiled ballots 8
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Post by phil156 on Aug 10, 2023 23:34:31 GMT
The UCRA hold Upminster - numbers unknow except they won with 1642 votes
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Post by phil156 on Aug 11, 2023 5:24:22 GMT
HAVERING Upminster Jacqueline Ann Williams (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 1,642 Edward Andrew Green (Conservatives) 421 John Gregory Sullivan (Labour Party) 234 David Warren Durant (Independent) 150 Melanie Jane Collins (Green Party) 115 Thomas Patrick Clark (Liberal Democrats) 35 Spoiled ballots 8 421 for the Conservative that has been disowned seems to have done well I expected far worse. I await the percentage figures on how much he dropped by with interest |
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Post by swindonlad on Aug 11, 2023 6:18:58 GMT
Upminster percentages (used top)
UCRA 63.2% +0.1%
Con 16.2% -3.7%
Lab 9.0% -0.5%
Ind 5.8% +5.8%
Gen 4.4% -3.1%
LD 1.4% +1.4%
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Post by swindonlad on Aug 11, 2023 6:21:35 GMT
HAVERING Upminster Jacqueline Ann Williams (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 1,642 Edward Andrew Green (Conservatives) 421 John Gregory Sullivan (Labour Party) 234 David Warren Durant (Independent) 150 Melanie Jane Collins (Green Party) 115 Thomas Patrick Clark (Liberal Democrats) 35 Spoiled ballots 8 421 for the Conservative that has been disowned seems to have done well I expected far worse. I await the percentage figures on how much he dropped by with interest Surprisingly little. Although, it could well be a fair percentage of those who voted for him didn't know anything about him or being disowned & say the description/ logo & voted for the party |
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 11, 2023 6:23:30 GMT
HAVERING Upminster Jacqueline Ann Williams (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 1,642 Edward Andrew Green (Conservatives) 421 John Gregory Sullivan (Labour Party) 234 David Warren Durant (Independent) 150 Melanie Jane Collins (Green Party) 115 Thomas Patrick Clark (Liberal Democrats) 35 Spoiled ballots 8 421 for the Conservative that has been disowned seems to have done well I expected far worse. I await the percentage figures on how much he dropped by with interest Maybe he benefitted by being disowned by the Conservative Party. Perhaps its what a few other Conservative candidates might try |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Aug 11, 2023 8:08:39 GMT
When was he disowned? If postals had already gone out, that would also minimise the impact.
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Post by andrewp on Aug 11, 2023 8:13:00 GMT
HAVERING Upminster Jacqueline Ann Williams (Upminster and Cranham Residents Association) 1,642 Edward Andrew Green (Conservatives) 421 John Gregory Sullivan (Labour Party) 234 David Warren Durant (Independent) 150 Melanie Jane Collins (Green Party) 115 Thomas Patrick Clark (Liberal Democrats) 35 Spoiled ballots 8 421 for the Conservative that has been disowned seems to have done well I expected far worse. I await the percentage figures on how much he dropped by with interest Most voters don’t know about it when that happens. |
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ColinJ
Labour
Living in the Past
Posts: 2,126
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Post by ColinJ on Aug 11, 2023 8:51:15 GMT
When was he disowned? If postals had already gone out, that would also minimise the impact. David reported, no doubt very promptly, the fact he was disowned on 9 August. I am sure the majority of postal votes would have been returned by then, and there was little time for opposition parties to use this fact against the candidate in leaflets or on the doorstep. |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Aug 11, 2023 9:06:58 GMT
I would also assume that in a very safe ward like this there's much less incentive to spend time making sure the electorate are aware. If you're going to win anyway, why bother trying to pad the margin by 5% extra?
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 11, 2023 9:15:06 GMT
The actual suspension of Ed Green occurred a good fortnight before polling day - it was reported in the Romford Recorder on 26 July.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,925
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Post by The Bishop on Aug 11, 2023 9:15:44 GMT
But at the moment, there may also be something in what yellowperil said  |
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Post by andrewteale on Aug 11, 2023 9:16:30 GMT
When was he disowned? If postals had already gone out, that would also minimise the impact. David reported, no doubt very promptly, the fact he was disowned on 9 August. I am sure the majority of postal votes would have been returned by then, and there was little time for opposition parties to use this fact against the candidate in leaflets or on the doorstep. I found out when I wrote the Preview over the weekend, and that was from a local press report. So it must have been known earlier than that. |
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