Prediction Competition - March 2023

[manchesterman]

BARKING & DAGENHAM: Lab 61, Con 19, LD 12, Green 8

GLOUCESTER: LD 44, Con 31, Lab 18, Ref 6, OMRLP 1

ANGLESEY: PC 52, Lab 25, Con 15, LD 8

[corradino]

Barking & Dagenham: Lab 57, Con 24, Green 14, LD 5.
Gloucester: Con 39, LD 35, Lab 22.5, Reform 3, OMRLP 0.5.
Anglesey: PC 50, Lab 30, Con 12, LD 8.

[andrewp]

Barking and Dagenham. Lab 71, Con 15, LD 8 Green 6
Gloucester. LD 38 Con 30 Lab 27 Ref UK 4 OMRLP 1
Anglesey, PC 55, Lab 25, Con 15, LD 5

[Tony Otim]

Barking & Dagenham: Lab 69.0; Con 18.3; Grn 7.3; LD 5.4
Gloucester: LD 39.9; Con 28.2; Lab 27.2; RefUK 3.5; OMRLP 1.2
Anglesey: PC 56.9; Lab 24.1; Con 15.5; LD 3.5

[peterl]

Barking & Dagenham: Lab 71; Con 15; Grn 8; LD 6
Gloucester: LD 42; Con 29; Lab 25; RefUK 3; OMRLP 1
Anglesey: PC 60; Lab 24; Con 14; LD 2

[Robert Waller]

Barking and Dagenham: Lab 70; Con 15; Grn 5; LD 10

Gloucester: LD 40; Con 30; Lab 26; RefUK 3; OMRLP 1

Anglesey: PC 55; Lab 28; Con 12; LD 5

[yellowperil]

Barking & Dagenham, Heath:Con 15, Lab 69, LD 10, GP 6.
Gloucester, Westgate: Con 30. Lab 26, LD 38,RUK 5, OMRLP 1.
Anglesey, Aethwy: Con 16, Lab 23, LD 6, PC 55.

[No Offence Alan]

BARKING & DAGENHAM: Lab 65, Con 20, Green 10, LD 5

GLOUCESTER: LD 40, Con 35, Lab 19, Ref 4, OMRLP 2

ANGLESEY: PC 50, Lab 30, Con 15, LD 5

[iainbhx]

Greetings from Firenze

Barking & Dagenham LBC, Heath : Lab 68; Con 16; LDm 10, Grn 6
Gloucester DC, Westgate: LDm 35, Con 30, Lab 28, Ref-UK 5, Lny 2
Anglesey/Ynys Môn WUA, Aethwy: PC 51, Lab 26, Con 18, LDm 5

[rightleaning]

Barking & Dagenham, Heath: Lab 67, Con 15, LD 12, GP 6.
Gloucester, Westgate: LD 41, Con 28, Lab 26, RUK 4, OMRLP 1.
Anglesey, Aethny: PC 55, Lab 25, Con 15, LD 5.

[yellowperil]

Mar 30, 2023 3:59:33 GMT iainbhx said:

Greetings from Firenze

Barking & Dagenham LBC, Heath : Lab 68; Con 16; LDm 10, Grn 6
Gloucester DC, Westgate: LDm 35, Con 30, Lab 28, Ref-UK 5, Lny 2
Anglesey/Ynys Môn WUA, Aethwy: PC 51, Lab 26, Con 18, LDm 5

Hi, Florence....

[Robert Waller]

Well, following the admirably speedy declarations in these final contests for a little while, we may have to wait a bit for Robbie's official results.

Meanwhile my rough calculations suggest that the best predictors for the week are manchesterman and batman, though I wouldn't presume to pick the order ... and maybe another weekly podium for Tony Otim, who consolidates his second place for the month (behind yours truly, in case I get called out for undue modesty ...)


... I think!

[robbienicoll]

14 entries this week, all on time and correct.

Heath, Barking and Dagenham: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 39% (kevinf) to 56% (andrewp and peterl).

Westgate, Gloucester, 13 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, majorities ranging from 5% (iainbhx, johnloony and No Offence Alan) to 14% (batman). Corradino Conservative hold with majority of 4%.

Aethwy, Isle of Anglesey: 100% Plaid Cymru hold, with majorities ranging from 20% (corradino, No Offence Alan and Richard Cromwell) to 36% (peterl).

Final results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WJwLDYhv14Jxpu8E4lXokQq0xaIAVGvfhvTA3PRqp0o/edit?usp=sharing - congratulations to batman for the week (with manchesterman and Tony Otim just behind - this was a very close week) and to Robert Waller followed by Tony and yellowperil for the month. 

We have a short break before the April contest gets underway, so enjoy the next couple of weeks off. I'll have the thread set up next week.