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Post by iainbhx on Feb 2, 2023 13:46:03 GMT
Top marks to Andrew for including the GLC's Fresh Prince of Cwmbran in the preview. One of my other half's aunts lives in the ward, but she's the sort of Solid Labour voter who has never graced the polling booths with her presence and questioning revealed, there were a couple of leaflets but Uncle Tony threw them in the bin.
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Post by phil156 on Feb 2, 2023 15:53:00 GMT
Bit of a disappointment Bristol & Torfaen count tonight but North Northamptonshire count in the morning
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 2, 2023 16:22:30 GMT
Bit of a disappointment Bristol & Torfaen count tonight but North Northamptonshire count in the morning At least the two tonight are the two "interesting"ones, i.e. the two where they can be significant doubt as to who will win. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 2, 2023 16:58:03 GMT
Bit of a disappointment Bristol & Torfaen count tonight but North Northamptonshire count in the morning At least the two tonight are the two "interesting"ones, i.e. the two where they can be significant doubt as to who will win. Are you saying Northall is 'in the bag' for Labour? |
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Post by batman on Feb 2, 2023 17:14:06 GMT
it would on current form be something of a surprise if Labour did not win Northall, but it is clearly a marginal in its normal behaviour
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 2, 2023 19:15:22 GMT
I was wondering if anybody would pick me up on my earlier comment, which was a bit tongue in cheek. If it follows national trends it should certainly be safe for Labour, but local issues, candidates, etc - okay maybe it could still be interesting after all.
Of course the prediction competition folk voted for a Labour win 14/14 but it would not be the first time we've been 100% wrong.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 2, 2023 23:24:45 GMT
Hotwells and Harbourside - electorate 3,860; ballot papers verified 1,251, turnout 32.4%.
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Roger Harmer
Lib Dem
Councillor for Acocks Green in Birmingham
Posts: 247
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Post by Roger Harmer on Feb 2, 2023 23:42:43 GMT
Late to the party but the map in Andrew's preview confirms that I used to live in this ward - when I first joined the Liberal Party and then campaigned for Don Foster (later MP for Bath) to win the old Cabot Ward in 1981. |
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 2, 2023 23:44:57 GMT
TORFAEN, Llantarnam - Ind hold
Ind 489 Lab 406 PC 111 C 85 Grn 69 LD 13
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Feb 2, 2023 23:46:01 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 3, 2023 0:14:12 GMT
Recount in Hotwells and Harbourside, reportedly between Grn and LD.
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,619 
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Post by ricmk on Feb 3, 2023 0:22:08 GMT
Green win apparently.
Reliable source?
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Post by David Ashforth on Feb 3, 2023 0:28:38 GMT
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Post by manchesterman on Feb 3, 2023 0:39:44 GMT
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Post by southernliberal on Feb 3, 2023 1:27:07 GMT
Green 537 Lib Dems 511 Labour 153 Ind 40 Con 34 Green majority of 26 votes |
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,908
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Post by YL on Feb 3, 2023 7:02:55 GMT
Green 537 Lib Dems 511 Labour 153 Ind 40 Con 34 Green majority of 26 votes 14 not 40 for Booth. I had to listen twice to be sure. |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,901
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Post by Tony Otim on Feb 3, 2023 7:07:04 GMT
Green 537 Lib Dems 511 Labour 153 Ind 40 Con 34 Green majority of 26 votes Exactly the same size as the Lib Dem majority last time... Not exactly a 3 way marginal this time... |
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Post by Penddu on Feb 3, 2023 7:16:40 GMT
Excellent article as always with an uncharecteristic error in the Llantarnam postcodes. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,732
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 3, 2023 7:20:06 GMT
Vote red get green.
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Post by matureleft on Feb 3, 2023 7:31:23 GMT
Green 537 Lib Dems 511 Labour 153 Ind 40 Con 34 Green majority of 26 votes Exactly the same size as the Lib Dem majority last time... Not exactly a 3 way marginal this time...Yes, I wondered earlier quite what sort of campaign Labour would be running and noted their fielding a retread as candidate. A squeeze was always likely if Labour didn't run a strong candidate and a vigorous campaign, and might have happened even if they had. The ex-MP ( and ex-councillor) label helped the squeeze but he clearly wasn't that popular (or even that well-known in what seems a high turnover ward). |
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