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Post by jamesdoyle on Jan 28, 2023 11:08:43 GMT
I think North Northamptonshire (Northall) must end all discussion about where 'the North' starts. It starts HERE. I am not sure of the geographical implications of South Lanarkshire (East Kilbride Central North). Depends on what they identify as. |
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Post by John Chanin on Jan 28, 2023 13:08:13 GMT
I think North Northamptonshire (Northall) must end all discussion about where 'the North' starts. It starts HERE. I am not sure of the geographical implications of South Lanarkshire (East Kilbride Central North). It is of course on the west side of South Lanarkshire...... |
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Post by ollietheginge on Jan 31, 2023 10:08:41 GMT
Is there a betting market for the Hotwells & Harbourside by-election? Probably the most interesting by-election of 2023 as a genuine LD/Green marginal. LDs with strong name recognition candidate and the infamous by-election machine, and Greens with momentum behind them and ability to bus in activists from everywhere.
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Post by matureleft on Jan 31, 2023 10:26:49 GMT
There's a large and fairly close third place Labour vote in that ward. I wonder what sort of campaign they are running?
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Post by andrewp on Jan 31, 2023 10:45:55 GMT
There's a large and fairly close third place Labour vote in that ward. I wonder what sort of campaign they are running? A full throttle one I believe. It seems that one outcome of the by election is a decision by the Mayor not to move the central library, which was being mooted but is no longer being mooted ‘ following feedback on the doorsteps’ Caroline Lucas is apparently going to visit this week i would describe it as a potential 3 way marginal rather than 2. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 31, 2023 10:52:55 GMT
Hotwells and Harbourside is a cut down version of Cabot ward, which used to be a Lib Dem stronghold but where Labour were strong in 1995 and after 2010. There must be a chance of a 'slip through the middle' Labour win.
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Post by matureleft on Jan 31, 2023 11:37:33 GMT
The Bristol ward will certainly be both interesting and consequential. The choice of the Lib Dem candidate raises the stakes. Candidate and campaign quality plus perception of the council and Mayor will decide it rather than national party standing. That's always true to an extent but this looks emphatically that way.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 31, 2023 12:02:26 GMT
The Bristol ward will certainly be both interesting and consequential. The choice of the Lib Dem candidate raises the stakes. Candidate and campaign quality plus perception of the council and Mayor will decide it rather than national party standing. That's always true to an extent but this looks emphatically that way. Note that Stephen Williams was first the Avon county councillor, then the Bristol City Councillor, for this ward from 1993 until he became MP. Some of his constituents may remember him from that, as well as his Parliamentary service. |
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Jan 31, 2023 12:28:38 GMT
Hotwells and Harbourside is a cut down version of Cabot ward, which used to be a Lib Dem stronghold but where Labour were strong in 1995 and after 2010. There must be a chance of a 'slip through the middle' Labour win. And it does remain the case that the previous contest is from 2021, when Labour's results were generally poor both locally and nationally. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2023 13:41:28 GMT
The Bristol ward will certainly be both interesting and consequential. The choice of the Lib Dem candidate raises the stakes. Candidate and campaign quality plus perception of the council and Mayor will decide it rather than national party standing. That's always true to an extent but this looks emphatically that way. Note that Stephen Williams was first the Avon county councillor, then the Bristol City Councillor, for this ward from 1993 until he became MP. Some of his constituents may remember him from that, as well as his Parliamentary service. I suspect though that there has been a lot of population churn in that time |
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Post by andrewp on Jan 31, 2023 13:45:24 GMT
Note that Stephen Williams was first the Avon county councillor, then the Bristol City Councillor, for this ward from 1993 until he became MP. Some of his constituents may remember him from that, as well as his Parliamentary service. I suspect though that there has been a lot of population churn in that time Yes, I would suspect that there’s a much higher than average population churn in that ward. It’s full of 20 and 30 something renters. ( paying £1200 per month to rent a 1 bed flat). |
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J.G.Harston
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Post by J.G.Harston on Jan 31, 2023 15:30:18 GMT
I suspect though that there has been a lot of population churn in that time Yes, I would suspect that there’s a much higher than average population churn in that ward. It’s full of 20 and 30 something renters. ( paying £1200 per month to rent a 1 bed flat). SHREEK!!!!! I could rent a 3-bed HOUSE in Sheffield for half that. |
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Post by kevinf on Jan 31, 2023 15:59:04 GMT
I'm assuming this has not been posted in the Amazing Stupidity and Ignorance thread? My son says it reminds him of Dad’s army… |
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Post by andrewp on Jan 31, 2023 16:04:01 GMT
Yes, I would suspect that there’s a much higher than average population churn in that ward. It’s full of 20 and 30 something renters. ( paying £1200 per month to rent a 1 bed flat). SHREEK!!!!! I could rent a 3-bed HOUSE in Sheffield for half that. Blimey! I have a friend who lives in the Harbourside. He rents a 1 bedroom flat for £1200 per month. 2 bed flats are £1400-1600 per month. He is 32 and single and lives in, what I would describe as, a very small flat. I haven’t asked him if he’s going to vote on Thursday! But if he does, he will vote Green. Here in Taunton, a 3 bed House is about £1200 per month. |
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batman
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Post by batman on Jan 31, 2023 16:24:25 GMT
I'm assuming this has not been posted in the Amazing Stupidity and Ignorance thread? My son says it reminds him of Dad’s army… who do the Greens think they're kidding? |
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Sibboleth
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Post by Sibboleth on Jan 31, 2023 16:33:28 GMT
There's a strong case to say that Bristol has a worse problem with housing market failure than London, at least in the private rental sector: you have what are essentially London rents, but you certainly do not have London wages.
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Post by Deleted on Jan 31, 2023 17:39:31 GMT
This is certainly true in the city centre - I'm not sure what you'd pay for an equivalent house in Hartcliffe or Avonmouth. I suspect much less than in Temple Meads or Clifton but much more than equivalent areas of most other cities
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Post by iainbhx on Jan 31, 2023 17:48:33 GMT
£1000 for a 2 bed flat in Avonmouth described as "Homely" - the photos reveal a dump.
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Crimson King
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Post by Crimson King on Jan 31, 2023 17:58:32 GMT
£1000 for a 2 bed flat in Avonmouth described as "Homely" - the photos reveal a dump. presumably in the American sense |
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Chris from Brum
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 2, 2023 13:16:03 GMT
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