Prediction Competition - January 2023

[robbienicoll]

12 entries this week, with batman having the week off. All on time, with kevinf picking up 1 fault for going over in Staffordshire Moorlands.

Biddulph North, Staffordshire: 7 Independent (Hart) gain from Conservative, with iainbhx, peterl, Richard Cromwell and Right Leaning Labour gain and johnloony Conservative hold.

Biddulph West, Staffordshire Moorlands: 8 have both Independents winning, with iainbhx and peterl having Independent (Eardley) win and Labour gain, Tony Otim Independent (McLoughlin) win and Labour gain and Richard Cromwell 2 Labour gains.

Bedwell, Stevenage: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 30% (manchesterman) to 47% (Richard Cromwell).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ik-E3We30sUrgjN2sQWsNY0XSRh0KDc0R33gYC6yNw0/edit?usp=sharing - congratulations to peterl for just pipping iainbhx to the post and Right Leaning in third for the week. Once again thanks for the perseverance this week, thankfully back to normal in the next set of contests.

[johnloony]

ROTHERHAM, Keppel: Ind 36 Lab 33 Con 16 York 8 LD 4 Grn 3

[batman]

ROTHERHAM, Keppel : Lab 35 Ind 28 Con 22 Yorks 6 LD 5 Green 4

[kevinf]

Be glad to get this month over!

Rotherham, Keppel
Lab 32, Ind 26, Con 21, Yorks 10, Green 6, LD 5

[Richard Cromwell]

Keppel, Rotherham

LAB	43%
IND	22%
CON	15%
Yorkshire	12%
LDEM	7%
GRN	1%

[Tony Otim]

Keppel:
Lab 41.2; Currie 29.4; Con 13.1; Yorkshire 9.4; LD 4.9; Grn 2.0

[manchesterman]

Rotherham, Keppel :

Lab 37, Ind 32, Con 16, Yorkshire 9, LD 3, Green 3

[andrewp]

Rotherham. Keppel

Lab 39, Ind 30, Con 13, YP 9, Green 5, LD 4

[yellowperil]

Rotherham, Keppel: Con 14, Lab 40, LD 4, GP 4, Ind 30, YP 8.

( I'm having computer problems at the moment so can't do my usual embolding ,etc!. Think I'd better post this now before it packs up totally!

[Robert Waller]

Keppel, Rotherham

LAB 44%
IND 27%
CON 13%
Yorkshire 8%
LDEM 4%
GRN 4%

[peterl]

Rotherham, Keppel: Lab 37, Ind 35, Con 12, Yorkshire 8, LD 5, Green 3

[rightleaning]

Rotherham, Keppel: Lab 41, Ind 32, Con 10, Yorkshire 8, LD 5, Green 4

[iainbhx]

Rotherham MBC, Keppel: Lab 39, Ind 25, Con 14, LDm 12, York 7, Grn 3

[No Offence Alan]

ROTHERHAM, Keppel: Lab 39 Ind 30 Con 16 York 6 LD 5 Grn 4

[robbienicoll]

13 entries to close the month with batman returning, all on time and correct.

Keppel, Rotherham: 12 Labour gain from Rotherham Democratic Party, majorities ranging from 2% (peterl) to 21% (Richard Cromwell). All 12 have the Independent in second place. Johnloony Independent (Currie) gain with a 3% majority over Labour.

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1BG3dsP5p4XAKcIT7zhgB8vudvetUbmwO9WxpbOBppGU/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[Robert Waller]

Before I do the update on the form guide, could I just check something with robbienicoll?
Have the carried over cumulative scores for the month changed since last week?
For example, if you look at the spreadsheet in the post at the top of page 5, I seemed to have amassed 240.4 faults already. That plus the 49.6 for today would make 290.0 not 280.0 as in today's total.
I am only taking myself as an example, this applies to others as well, for example I made it that Richard Cromwell went up a place in the monthly positions, but this is not reflected here.
I am just wondering if there was a modification in last week's result, for example.

[robbienicoll]

Jan 27, 2023 0:24:32 GMT Robert Waller said:

Before I do the update on the form guide, could I just check something with robbienicoll ?
Have the carried over cumulative scores for the month changed since last week?
For example, if you look at the spreadsheet in the post at the top of page 5, I seemed to have amassed 240.4 faults already. That plus the 49.6 for today would make 290.0 not 280.0 as in today's total.
I am only taking myself as an example, this applies to others as well, for example I made it that Richard Cromwell went up a place in the monthly positions, but this is not reflected here.
I am just wondering if there was a modification in last week's result, for example.

That's very bizarre, the only thing I've noticed when investigating that is that the four who had the correct scores copied across (Iain, Peter, Richard and Right Leaning) were the ones who got the Biddulph North prediction right, so it's possible the 10 wrong winner faults didn't get added on when getting carried to the new sheet? That would be a bug with Google Sheets as there wasn't anything wrong with the initial spreadsheet so I'll keep an eye on that in future. Thanks for the spot.

[Robert Waller]

Thanks!

Well, congratulations to rightleaning for the first month's victory in 2023, and iainbhx for the week and moving up to second for the month.

I have now updated the Form Guide on the revised figures.

[iainbhx]

I did know that we were running a campaign in Keppel which is why I marked the LibDems up, I didn't appreciate that it had gone that well. I did toy with putting us a little higher, but it wouldn't have made much difference to the end mark as I would have removed mainly from the Yorkshire Party.