Prediction competition for April 2013

[Tony Otim]

Apr 8, 2013 17:46:53 GMT Tony Otim said:

Luton, Wigmore:
Ld 35.3
Lab 25.3
Con 17.2
UKIP 15.5
Ind 4.2
Grn 2.5

[Philip Davies]

Apr 9, 2013 22:53:54 GMT Philip Davies said:

LUTON - Wigmore

John MAGILL (Independent) 3
Lance RICHARDSON (UK Independence Party) 15
Marc SCHEIMANN (Green Party candidate) 2
Alan SKEPELHORN (Liberal Democrat)37
James TAYLOR (The Labour Party Candidate) 25
John YOUNG (The Conservative Party Candidate) 18

[dibs]

11TH APRIL

DARLINGTON - Lascelles (Labour died)

Lewis CAIRNS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 25
Helen CRUMBIE (The Labour Party Candidate) 60
Howard JONES (Liberal Democrat) 15

PEMBROKESHIRE - Burton (Independent resigned)

Jon HARVEY (Independent) 26
Robin HOWELLS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 21
Rob SUMMONS (Independent) 29
Robin WILSON (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 24

[Pete Whitehead]

Darlinghton Lascelles
Lab 69.3
Con 18.8
LD 11.9

Pembs - Burton
Ind S 35.4
Ind H 28.5
Con 19.5
Lab 16.6

[Deleted]

Darlinghton Lascelles
Lab 77.3
Con 10.8
LD 11.9

Pembs - Burton
Ind S 35.4
Ind H 28.5
Con 9.5
Lab 26.6

[hempie]

Darlington, Lascelles: Lab 65, Con 27, LD 8
Pembrokeshire, Burton: Summons 42,Harvey 24, Con 20, Lab 14

[greatkingrat]

DARLINGTON - Lab 69, Con 22, LD 9
PEMBROKESHIRE - Summons 38, Harvey 29, Con 22, Lab 11

[Arthur Figgis]

Darlington, Lascelles: L 61, C 28, LD 11.
Pembrokeshire, Burton: Ind S 45, Ind H 32, C 13, L 10.

[Philip Davies]

Apr 10, 2013 21:29:14 GMT Philip Davies said:

DARLINGTON - Lascelles

Lewis CAIRNS (The Conservative Party Candidate) 28.6
Helen CRUMBIE (The Labour Party Candidate) 66.7
Howard JONES (Liberal Democrat) 4.7


PEMBROKESHIRE - Burton

Jon HARVEY (Independent) 35.7
Robin HOWELLS (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) 7.1
Rob SUMMONS (Independent) 42.9
Robin WILSON (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) 14.3

[Tony Otim]

Apr 10, 2013 9:30:34 GMT Tony Otim said:

Darlington:
Lab 67.9
Con 22.3
LD 9.8


Pembrokeshire:
Ind S 42.1
Lab 23.4
Ind H 18.8
Con 15.7

[Tony Otim]

Looks like Mark will have the best score for Luton.

[Robert Waller]

I agree, Tony; and after Darlington Lascelles I think Mark is still ahead for the week, though Pete may have done best there and moved into second.
For the month, I'm disappointed to see that East Anglian Lefty appears to have dropped out from third place. So far I may have slightly increased my lead over Phildav, but I had no real idea about Pembrokeshire, Burton.

[Robert Waller]

Think Tonyotim had the best score for Pembrokeshire Burton, ahead of me.
Perhaps someone (Pete?) has authoritative figures - did ME say he'd be away?

[marksenior]

At least Pembroke wasn't the usual Welsh disaster for me .

[Pete Whitehead]

Apr 11, 2013 22:04:39 GMT Robert Waller said:

Think Tonyotim had the best score for Pembrokeshire Burton, ahead of me.
Perhaps someone (Pete?) has authoritative figures - did ME say he'd be away?

I'm afraid I have not. I have not collated anyone's predictions onto a spreadhseet this week and my own predictions were very rushed affairs especially Luton which I had forgotten was voting on Wednesday. I think my own results have been poor this week but don;t reallyt have a feel for how they compare with otrhers

[Pete Whitehead]

Luton: Mark Senior 13.5, Phildav76 and Robert Waller 19.6, Pete Whitehead 21.0, Hempie 22.7, Tonyotim 23.0, greatkingrat 26.8, Justlooking 31.3, Artur Figgis 31.4

Darlington: Pete Whitehead 14.6, Dibs 15.2, Mark Senior 16.4, Robert Waller 18.4, Tonyotim 18.8, Greatkingrat 20.4, Arhur Figgis 21.2, Hempie 22.4, Justlooking 27.8, Phildav76 29.0

Pembrokeshire: Tonyotim 23.8, Robert Waller 26.2, Hempie 34.2, Dibs 38.2, Mark Senior 38.2, Pete Whitehead 43.2, Greatkingrat 44.2, Justlooking 47.6, Arthur Figgis 52.6, Phildav76 57.6


For the week I have Robert Waller on 64.1, Tonyotim 65.5, Mark Senior 68.0, Pete Whitehead 78.7, Hempie 79.3, Greatkingrat 91.4, Arthur Figgis 105.2, Phildave 76 106.1, Justlooking 106.8, Dibs 153.3 (no entry for Luton)

So Robert maintains a fairly commanding lead for the month with a real fight on for second place:
Robert Waller 160.2, Mark Senior and Tonyotim 208.4, Phildav76 210.4, Pete Whitehead 210.8, Hempie 237.0, Greatkingrat 249.3, Arthur Figgis 275.7, Dibs 314.6, Justlooking 411.8, EastAnglianLeftie 416.8, Erlend 473.0

[Tony Otim]

Congratulations to Robert again! I actually thought I'd completely hashed up Pembrokeshire after reading the previews after I put my prediction in.

[Robert Waller]

Thanks to Pete for all the hard work put in adding these up!

[middleenglander]

Back from our short break.

I agree with the all the faults for this week, but I have 2 differences for the month to date.

greatkingrat had 2 additional faults last week for adding to 98% in Knowsley, Prescot East. His month to date is hence 251.3.
Just Looking had 4 wrong winners last week (Prescot West, Bilborough, Wollaton East & Lenton Abbey and Pemberton) so carried forward 275.1 + 40 faults and now has 421.8.

Just the one contest next week. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on Thursday.

[East Anglian Lefty]

Apr 11, 2013 21:54:57 GMT Robert Waller said:

For the month, I'm disappointed to see that East Anglian Lefty appears to have dropped out from third place.

I was away for the week, and internet access proved to be a problem. The by-elections for the rest of the month don't grab my interest, but I might re-enter in May if life isn't too chaotic at that point and certainly should in June.