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Post by andrewp on Mar 10, 2023 16:15:53 GMT
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 50% (+5)
CON: 26% (-)
LDEM: 7% (-4)
REF: 6% (-)
GRN: 5% (-1)
via @omnisis, 09 - 10 Mar
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Post by robert1 on Mar 10, 2023 16:35:51 GMT
Interesting contrast in Omnisis movement of Lab support (+5) v. People Polling (-3)
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Post by andrewp on Mar 16, 2023 16:07:57 GMT
Highest Reform ever?
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Post by michaelarden on Mar 16, 2023 16:34:29 GMT
Not just that - when were the Lib Dems last in 5th place? |
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Post by bigfatron on Mar 16, 2023 17:22:57 GMT
Not just that - when were the Lib Dems last in 5th place? Omnisis are all over the place with the Lib Dem vote - their last four polls have been 10%, 11%, 7%, 6% through a period when the LibDems have been averaging a pretty steady 9% across the full family of polling companies. I understand some firms have a 'house effect' like Opinium but I'm a bit baffled by Omnisis' wild gyrations... |
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Post by london(ex)tory on Mar 16, 2023 17:24:24 GMT
We’ve had a few now on 9% from several pollsters. Still waiting for that all-elusive 10%+ (we hit that in a R&W red wall poll but not yet on national VI). |
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Post by mattbewilson on Mar 16, 2023 17:44:32 GMT
Not just that - when were the Lib Dems last in 5th place? Jan 2015 maybe? |
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Post by michaelarden on Mar 16, 2023 20:39:14 GMT
Not just that - when were the Lib Dems last in 5th place? Omnisis are all over the place with the Lib Dem vote - their last four polls have been 10%, 11%, 7%, 6% through a period when the LibDems have been averaging a pretty steady 9% across the full family of polling companies. I understand some firms have a 'house effect' like Opinium but I'm a bit baffled by Omnisis' wild gyrations... Although that does show a trend of sorts (but I don't disagree Omnsis may not be the most accurate). The Lib Dems usually start picking up a point or two around now as the 'Winning Here' Focus leaflets ramp up across the country. So it will be interesting to see how this goes. It's also clear RefUK with no ground campaign and precious little airtime (Daily Politics excepted) must be doing something. I suspect Cummings and the Cambridge Analytica crowd are doing their worst on social media talking about small boats etc in so called red wall seats. |
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Post by andrewp on Mar 24, 2023 15:39:30 GMT
Fieldwork yesterday / today
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Post by bigfatron on Mar 24, 2023 16:55:20 GMT
Fieldwork yesterday / today This is pretty close to the average of other recent polls, so this is not one of Omnisis' quite frequent 'exciting' polls.... |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,756
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Post by Chris from Brum on Mar 24, 2023 16:56:55 GMT
Reversion to the norm.
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Post by andrewp on Mar 31, 2023 7:01:15 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 39,009
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Post by The Bishop on Mar 31, 2023 9:30:16 GMT
Bit bouncy this pollster innit.
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Post by batman on Mar 31, 2023 9:49:07 GMT
indeed, although the majority of polls the last couple of days have tended to indicate a slight increase in Labour's lead. This increase is pretty improbable, although the actual figures aren't really, they're not wildly out of line with other pollsters taken as a whole.
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Post by andrewp on Mar 31, 2023 9:53:25 GMT
indeed, although the majority of polls the last couple of days have tended to indicate a slight increase in Labour's lead. This increase is pretty improbable, although the actual figures aren't really, they're not wildly out of line with other pollsters taken as a whole. Omnisis does seem to pick up bigger changes than most. There last 5 Labour numbers, all in the last month, have been 45-50-46-44-50 |
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Post by batman on Mar 31, 2023 10:38:34 GMT
yes - the average of those 5 is probably not far off the truth, many would think.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Mar 31, 2023 13:48:19 GMT
Bit bouncy this pollster innit. Any pollster that isn't a bit bouncy should be viewed with suspicion. |
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Post by Ben Walker on Mar 31, 2023 15:10:05 GMT
Bit bouncy this pollster innit. Any pollster that isn't a bit bouncy should be viewed with suspicion. Nonsense. Excess bounce is sign of poor sample cleaning. One week your respondents are too logged on - too aware of the news - and the next it's oversaturated with low attention voters (potentially why People Polling has higher than avg numbers for Ref + Grn, though unsure on that front). |
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Post by mattbewilson on Mar 31, 2023 15:27:15 GMT
Any pollster that isn't a bit bouncy should be viewed with suspicion. Nonsense. Excess bounce is sign of poor sample cleaning. One week your respondents are too logged on - too aware of the news - and the next it's oversaturated with low attention voters (potentially why People Polling has higher than avg numbers for Ref + Grn, though unsure on that front). I did wonder if it was sampling |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Mar 31, 2023 19:01:14 GMT
Any pollster that isn't a bit bouncy should be viewed with suspicion. Nonsense. Excess bounce is sign of poor sample cleaning. One week your respondents are too logged on - too aware of the news - and the next it's oversaturated with low attention voters (potentially why People Polling has higher than avg numbers for Ref + Grn, though unsure on that front). Perhaps you should learn to read. Excess bounce is obviously a problem but total lack of bounce indicates herding which for me is a greater problem in polling than the odd outlier. Hence my comment that "Any pollster that isn't a bit bouncy should be viewed with suspicion". |
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