Local Council by-elections 29th September 2022

[melthamhd94nn]

Labour sometimes win from 3rd place. It largely depends on who claims the local narrative.

[southernliberal]

Sept 29, 2022 22:59:11 GMT melthamhd94nn said:

Labour sometimes win from 3rd place. It largely depends on who claims the local narrative.

I fully expect to see Labour do just that in at least two parliamentary seats at the next election

[Ben Walker]

Finchley?

[andrewp]

Oxford. Hinksey Park

Lab 801
Green 305
Ind 270
LD 118
Con 60
TUSC 8

[batman]

Cities of London & Westminster would be another seat Labour would very much fancy winning from third place, and with current polling even Chelsea & Fulham. I don't think there are many others where I'd really expect it though. One feature of the 2019 election is that, outside London, genuine 3-way marginals or even semi-marginals involving Lab LD & Con are in very short supply. In past years there have tended to be rather more of them.

[Robert Waller]

Hinksey Park (Oxford) council by-election result:

LAB: 51.3% (-4.7)
GRN: 19.5% (+5.9)
IND: 17.3% (+3.2)
LDEM: 7.6% (-3.2)
CON: 3.8% (-1.8)
TUSC: 0.5% (+0.5)

Votes cast: 1,562

Labour HOLD.

[ElectionMapsUK]

Any ideas when we'll here from Rossendale? Haven't seen any updates anywhere yet.

[phil156]

Sept 29, 2022 23:28:49 GMT ElectionMapsUK said:

Any ideas when we'll here from Rossendale? Haven't seen any updates anywhere yet.

    And Warrington then thats it to tomorrow morning

[andrewteale]

The Warrington count is for two seats so it'll take a while.

It wouldn't surprise me if the Rossendale count has finished and everybody's gone off to drink botanic beer in Fitzpatrick's without thinking of the world beyond the valley.

[kevinf]

Sept 29, 2022 23:11:47 GMT andrewp said:

Oxford. Hinksey Park

Lab 801
Green 305
Ind 270
LD 118
Con 60
TUSC 8

Quite an achievement by Tusc as they’d have needed ten signatories on the nomination paper. Though I am aware it happens more often than you may expect.

[ricmk]

From ElectionMaps:
Facit & Shawforth (Rossendale)

CON: 43.5% (+12.2)
IND: 27.6% (-15.3)
LAB: 26.2% (+0.5)
GRN: 2.6% (New)

Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2021.

[timmullen1]

Rossendale have been turfed out of Fitzpatrick’s and are Con HOLDS

[ricmk]

You wait ages for one...

Helmshore (Rossendale) By-Election Result:

CON: 50.6% (+4.0)
LAB: 37.1% (+0.5)
GRN: 5.1% (-6.4)
LDM: 4.3% (New)
INDs: 2.9% (-2.4)

Conservative HOLD.
Changes w/ 2022.

[andrewteale]

WARRINGTON, Grappenhall - LD hold 2
LD 1073 (Speed)/1047 (Browne) C 524 (Dolan)/462 (Ford) Lab 193 Grn 135

[ElectionMapsUK]

Here are the raw votes for Rossendale:

Helmshore
CON 736
LAB 540
GRN 74
LDM 62
IND 42

Facit & Shawforth
CON 337
IND 214
LAB 203
GRN 20

[rockefeller]

Sept 29, 2022 22:18:36 GMT andrewp said:

Edwinstowe and Clipstone, Newark and Sherwood

Lab 804
Con 540

Good Labour result given how those areas have trended in recent years.

[yellowperil]

Sept 30, 2022 2:17:23 GMT rockefeller said:

Sept 29, 2022 22:18:36 GMT andrewp said:

Edwinstowe and Clipstone, Newark and Sherwood

Lab 804
Con 540

Good Labour result given how those areas have trended in recent years.

"those areas"- is that the new phrase to avoid saying  " r*d wa*ll"?

[batman]

it isn't Red Wall though, it has been a Tory seat since 2010 & was never safe Labour (though some think it should have been)

[andrewp]

Well, I’m surprised that those Rossendale results were quite good for the Tories.

[CatholicLeft]

Sept 30, 2022 7:16:28 GMT andrewp said:

Well, I’m surprised that those Rossendale results were quite good for the Tories.

I am not - local issues and personalities are strong there and national politics rarely impinge outside of General Elections.