Prediction Competition, August 2022

[iainbhx]

Bridgend WUA, Bridgend Central: Ind 43, Lab 39, Con 10, LDm 5, Grn 3
Spelthorne DC, Laleham and Shepperton Green: LDm 53, Con 44, TUSC 3
Wychavon DC, Dodderhill: Con 52, LDm 34 Grn 14

[robbienicoll]

12 entries this week, missing casualobserver, all on time and correct.

Bridgend Central, Bridgend: 100% Ind (Easterbrook) gain from Labour, with majorities ranging from 1% (Robert Waller) to 10.1% (Tony Otim).

Laleham and Shepperton Green, Spelthorne: 11 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, majorities ranging from 2% (kevinf) to 21% (peterl). Richard Cromwell Conservative hold with majority of 6%.

Dodderhill, Wychavon: 11 Conservative hold, majorities ranging from 11% (kevinf) to 29.3% (Tony Otim). Johnloony Liberal Democrat gain with majority of 11%.

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mbyJQMRIDGzwpp53IWNb7CIOWp1S1cPVa9mdL3kyzTM/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!

[Robert Waller]

Congratulations to rightleaning who I believe has won the week convincingly and taken the lead for the month.

[andrewp]

robbienicoll. For the purpose of calculating the scores on the spreadsheet , the LD vote in Dodderhill was 32, not 50 as I originally posted

[iainbhx]

I think the Bridgend Central scores are wrong and don't include column G

[Tony Otim]

Aug 13, 2022 5:48:50 GMT iainbhx said:

I think the Bridgend Central scores are wrong and don't include column G

robbienicoll

[robbienicoll]

Aug 13, 2022 7:45:52 GMT Tony Otim said:

Aug 13, 2022 5:48:50 GMT iainbhx said:

I think the Bridgend Central scores are wrong and don't include column G

robbienicoll

Both issues now sorted, thanks for the spot.

[batman]

CAMBRIDGE, Trumpington : LD 42 Lab 35 Con 12 Green 11

WYRE, Preesall : Con 48 Lab 34 Ind Wright 10 Ind Rushforth 8

Pretty much uneducated guesswork with the Independents in Wyre unless you have strong local knowledge but let's give it a go.

[johnloony]

Cambridge: LD 43 Lab 28 Grn 19 Con 10
Wyre: Lab 43 Con 41 Ind 8 Ind 8

[kevinf]

Cambridge
LD 41, Lab 30, Green 15 Con 14
Wyre
Con 50, Lab 32, Ind Rushford 10, Ind Wright 8

[Tony Otim]

Cambridge: LD 41.0; Lab 32.6; Grn 13.6; Con 12.8
Wyre: Con 53.6; Lab 29.6; Rushforth 8.8; Wright 8.0

[Richard Cromwell]

Trumpington, Cambridge

LDEM	44%
LAB	33%
CON	12%
GRN	11%

Preesall, Wyre

LAB	35%
CON	30%
Collette Rushforth	20%
Gary Wright	15%

[peterl]

Cambridge LD 39, Lab 32, Green 17 Con 12
Wyre Con 44, Lab 33, Ind Rushford 13, Ind Wright 10

[greenhert]

Cambridge BC, Trumpington: Liberal Democrats 45, Labour 34, Green 12, Conservative 9.
Wyre DC, Pressall: Conservative 44, Labour 34, Independent (Rushforth) 17, Independent (Wright) 5.

[andrewp]

Cambridge. Trumpington LD 45, Lab 30, Green 14, Con 11
Wyre. Preesall. Con 42, Lab 25, Rushforth 23, Wright 10

[Robert Waller]

Cambridge: LD 46; Lab 32; Grn 12; Con 10

Wyre: Con 48; Lab 27; Rushforth 10; Wright 15

[rightleaning]

Cambridge Trumpington: LD 43, Lab 34, Gn 12, Con 11
Wyre Preesall: Con 51, Lab 25, Rushforth 15, Wright 9

[iainbhx]

Cambridge DC, Trumpington: LDm 42, Lab 34, Con 13, Grn 11
Wyre DC, Preesall: Con 45, Lab 33, Ind Rushforth 15, Ind Wright 7

[yellowperil]

Cambridge, Trumpington: Con 10, Lab 35, LD 45, GP 10.
Wyre, Preesall: Con 45, Lab 30, Rushforth 16, Wright 9.

[andrewp]

Now I know that the quarry in Preesall has an association with a Conservative councillor, I might have gone for a NIMBY win.