Prediction Competition March 2022

[greenhert]

Horsham DC, Denne: Liberal Democrats 48, Conservative 33, Green 10, Labour 9.
Northumberland UA, Seghill with Seaton Delaval: Labour 45, Conservative 40, Liberal Democrats 10, Green 5. Labour gain from Conservative.
Test Valley DC, North Baddesley: Liberal Democrats 66, Conservative 34.
Thanet DC, Nethercourt: Labour 46, Conservative 38, Thanet Independents 16.

[andykernow]

HORSHAM - Denne- Lib Dem Hold

Liberal Democrat - 56%
Conservative - 25%
Labour - 10%
Green - 9%

NORTHUMBERLAND - Seghil - Labour Gain from Conservative

Labour - 41%
Conservative - 38%
Liberal Democrat - 14%
Green - 7%

TEST VALLEY - North Baddesley - Lib Dem Hold

Liberal Democrat - 61%
Conservative 39%

THANET - Nethercourt - Labour Hold

Labour - 38%
Conservative - 33%
Thanet Independents - 29%

[Richard Cromwell]

Seghill with Seaton Delaval, Northumberland

LAB	51%
CON	44%
LDM	4%
GRN	1%

Nethercourt, Thanet

LAB	44%
CON	29%
IND	27%

North Baddesley, Test Valley

LDM	77%
CON	23%

Denne, Horsham

LDM	56%
CON	26%
LAB	12%
GRN	6%

[Ports]

Denne, Horsham:

LDM 53%
CON 30%
GRN 9%
LAB 8%

North Baddesley, Test Valley

LDM 71%
CON 29%

Nethercourt, Thanet

LAB 39%
IND 31%
CON 30%

Seghill with SD, Northumberland

LAB 46%
CON 42%
LDM 8%
GRN 4%

[peterl]

Denne, Horsham:

LDM 55%
CON 27%
GRN 12%
LAB 6%

North Baddesley, Test Valley

LDM 68%
CON 32%

Nethercourt, Thanet

LAB 42%
IND 32%
CON 26%

Seghill with SD, Northumberland

LAB 44%
CON 36%
LDM 12%
GRN 8%

[andrewp]

Horsham. Denne. LD 50, Con 32, Lab 9, Green 9
Northumberland, Seghill with Seaton Delaval. Lab 45, Con 43, Green 7: LD 5
Test Valley, North Baddesley. LD 68, Con 32
Thanet. Nether court. Lab 46, Con 33, Tind 21

[Robert Waller]

Horsham: LD 51; Con 33; Green 6; Lab 10

Northumberland: Con 46; Lab 45; LD 4; Green 5

Test Valley: LD 71; Con 29

Thanet: Lab 48; Con 37; Thanet 15

[johnloony]

Horsham: LD 62 Con 20 Lab 12 Grn 6
Northumberland: Lab 40 Con 34 LD 13 Grn 13
Test Valley: LD 77 Con 23
Thanet: Lab 48 Con 32 Ind 20

[Andrew_S]

Horsham: LD 55, Con 30, Lab 8, Grn 7
Northumberland: Con 41, Lab 40, LD 5, Grn 4
Test Valley: LD 73, Con 27
Thanet: Lab 39, Thanet Ind 34, Con 27

[iainbhx]

Horsham DC, Denne: LDm 49 Con 34 Lab 9 Grn 8
Northumberland UA, Seghill & Seaton Deleval: Con 46.5 Lab 46 Grn 5 LDm 2.5
Test Valley DC, North Baddesley : LDm 69 Con 31
Thanet DC, Nethercourt: Lab 47 Con 35 TInd 18

[rightleaning]

Horsham. Denne. LD 52, C 32, Lab 12, Gn 4
Northumberland, Seghill with Seaton Delaval. C 45, Lab 42, LD 7, Gn 6
Test Valley, North Baddesley. LD 65, Con 35
Thanet. Nethercourt. Lab 42, Con 30, Th Ind 28

[Andrew_S]

Looks like 15 entries this week.

[robbienicoll]

It is indeed 15 entries this week, with Ports joining for a maiden appearance. All on time, with AJS receiving 10 for going over in Northumberland.

Denne, Horsham: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (kevinf) to 42% (johnloony).
Seghill with Seaton Delaval, Northumberland: 9 Labour gain from Conservative, with AJS, iainbhx, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim Conservative hold.
North Baddesley, Test Valley: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 22% (andykernow) to 54% (johnloony and Richard Cromwell).
Nethercourt, Thanet: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 5% (AJS and andykernow) to 16% (johnloony).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l4H1S6CYVGTxJPSIsI1unBU7sUoUCHT4fd-uIssHS9g/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!
 

[Robert Waller]

(I can actually only spot 14 entries for the week)

With Horsham not making a significant impact since Robbie's additions of the first three ...

... it's congratulations to iainbhx and rightleaning this week, and Iain closing up on me to make the final week of the month a very close and competitive contest!

[greenhert]

Mar 25, 2022 1:31:39 GMT robbienicoll said:

It is indeed 15 entries this week, with Ports joining for a maiden appearance. All on time, with AJS receiving 10 for going over in Northumberland.

Denne, Horsham: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 14% (kevinf) to 42% (johnloony).
Seghill with Seaton Delaval, Northumberland: 9 Labour gain from Conservative, with AJS, iainbhx, Right Leaning, Robert Waller and Tony Otim Conservative hold.
North Baddesley, Test Valley: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 22% (andykernow) to 54% (johnloony and Richard Cromwell).
Nethercourt, Thanet: 100% Labour hold, with majorities ranging from 5% (AJS and andykernow) to 16% (johnloony).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1l4H1S6CYVGTxJPSIsI1unBU7sUoUCHT4fd-uIssHS9g/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all!
 

The Horsham result still has not been entered into the spreadsheet, and without it the total week faults cannot be assessed.

[robbienicoll]

Mar 25, 2022 13:06:10 GMT Robert Waller said:

(I can actually only spot 14 entries for the week)

With Horsham not making a significant impact since Robbie's additions of the first three ...

... it's congratulations to iainbhx and rightleaning this week, and Iain closing up on me to make the final week of the month a very close and competitive contest!

That's Horsham now added, apologies for that taking a bit of time. On second counting is only 14 entries, luckily that was the only error!

[kevinf]

March 31st

Doncaster - Lab 35, Con 29, Green 16, Yorkshire 12, LD 8
Melton - Con 45, Lab 41, LD 14
Scarborough - Lab 35, Con 33, Yorkshire 22, Ind 10

[andykernow]

DONCASTER - Wheatley - Labour Hold

Labour - 42%
Yorkshire Party - 21%
Conservative - 20%
Liberal Democrats - 12%
Green - 5%

MELTON - Melton Syonsby - Conservative Hold

Conservative - 48%
Labour - 28%
Liberal Democrats - 24%

SCARBOROUGH - Mayfield - Conservative Hold

Conservative - 44%
Labour - 39%
Yorkshire Party - 12%
Independent - 5%

[Richard Cromwell]

Mayfield, Scarborough

LAB	39%
CON	34%
Yorkshire	16%
IND	11%

Melton Sysonby, Melton

CON	48%
LAB	42%
LDM	10%

Wheatley Hills & Intake, Doncaster

LAB	46%
Yorkshire	20%
CON	17%
GRN	9%
LDM	8%

[johnloony]

Doncaster: WH&I: Lab 46 Con 25 Y 12 Grn 10 LD 7
Melton: MS: Con 53 Lab 29 LD 18
Scarborough: M: Con 43 Lab 35 Y 13 Ind 9