timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 18, 2022 10:37:39 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 25, 2022 11:11:53 GMT
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 1, 2022 8:16:59 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 8, 2022 8:04:56 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 15, 2022 8:18:35 GMT
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Apr 22, 2022 8:22:44 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 29, 2022 8:16:48 GMT
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Techne UK
Apr 29, 2022 10:54:49 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Apr 29, 2022 10:54:49 GMT
This seems to be a very low variance pollster!
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 29, 2022 11:31:14 GMT
This seems to be a very low variance pollster! I note they’re a tracking poll, so presumably the panel composition is pretty near identical each week, and doesn’t include many undecideds. |
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Post by timmullen1 on May 6, 2022 7:59:19 GMT
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on May 13, 2022 7:40:45 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on May 20, 2022 8:40:11 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on May 27, 2022 8:07:03 GMT
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Post by batman on May 27, 2022 11:25:31 GMT
so, up to now, no particular evidence that Sunak's announcement has helped the Tories. It may be that almost all the sampling was before that took place. Perhaps we should wait a week or so before coming to any conclusions about that.
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Post by london(ex)tory on May 27, 2022 11:45:55 GMT
so, up to now, no particular evidence that Sunak's announcement has helped the Tories. It may be that almost all the sampling was before that took place. Perhaps we should wait a week or so before coming to any conclusions about that. Why would it help the Tories? If you like this kind of big state spending you might as well vote for the real deal with Labour; if you want meaningful action to actually get to grips with rising costs of (especially) energy then this package certainly isn’t it; and if you’re influenced by perceptions of general competence then you won’t be impressed by the “will they / won’t they?” back and forth before the U-turn. There is *literally* no reason to vote Tory anymore. |
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Post by batman on May 27, 2022 12:34:39 GMT
Why would it help the Tories? That's fairly simple. Some habitual, or more recent, Tory voters are likely to be deserting the party because of the attack on their standards of living. If the Tories are seen to rectify that to a significant degree, such voters might be more likely to consider returning to the fold. However, your points are fair enough
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Post by redtony on May 27, 2022 21:08:26 GMT
Yhrtr is no chance of that by 2024 indeed the betting id for a recession and inflation over 10%
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Techne UK
May 27, 2022 21:16:20 GMT
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Post by aargauer on May 27, 2022 21:16:20 GMT
Yhrtr is no chance of that by 2024 indeed the betting id for a recession and inflation over 10% Inflation has already peaked in the US. UK will take longer but I don't see anything to suggest it'll be that prolonged. |
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Post by london(ex)tory on May 27, 2022 21:37:26 GMT
Yhrtr is no chance of that by 2024 indeed the betting id for a recession and inflation over 10% Inflation has already peaked in the US. UK will take longer but I don't see anything to suggest it'll be that prolonged. Other than the fact we have a government addicted to printing money? |
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Post by matureleft on May 27, 2022 21:39:06 GMT
Yhrtr is no chance of that by 2024 indeed the betting id for a recession and inflation over 10% Inflation has already peaked in the US. UK will take longer but I don't see anything to suggest it'll be that prolonged. Broadly agree, but the level of uncertainty is very high. If the Ukraine conflict settles into a grim armed and occasionally violent stalemate and if nations retreat from the laws of comparative advantage toward economic nationalism, as the UK is doing to an extent then there’ll be some further supply cost pressures of scale to come. That, together with attempts at populist fiscal responses will keep inflation fairly high. |
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