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Post by carlton43 on Jan 21, 2022 0:34:16 GMT
A large swing to Labour and the highest Labour vote (as a %) that has ever been recorded in this ward. The Labour vote is actually higher than when we last held the ward in 2015. Bearing in mind that this is the kind of area that will have swung heavily to the Tories in 2019, not a bed result. Oh! It is very bed. Virtually chaise longue! If you can't win there this week you are an utter disgrace and a shambles. |
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Post by manchesterman on Jan 21, 2022 0:41:00 GMT
I was just about to say (jokingly) that this will be ramped as a Tory gain by Johnson and his ministers!
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Post by phil156 on Jan 21, 2022 0:45:28 GMT
Oh well looks like East Lindsey hasn't changed in 8 years and we await the result when they open tomorrow morning
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Post by johnloony on Jan 21, 2022 0:51:29 GMT
Importance Index Corrected figures | | Con | Lab | LDm | Grn | SNP | | Charnwood (Loughborough Shelthorpe) | 24 | 50 | 12 | 16 | | | Charnwood (Loughborough Shelthorpe) | 22 | 50 | 12 | 16 | | | East Lindsey (Chapel St Leonards) | 100 | 42 | | | | | East Lothian (Preston, Seton & Gosford) | 39 | 50 | 12 | 12 | 31 | | Selby (Byram & Brotherton) | 44 | 37 | | 14 | |
Originally posted figures | | Con | Lab | LDm | Grn | SNP | | Charnwood (Loughborough Shelthorpe) | 24 | 26 | 12 | 16 | | | Charnwood (Loughborough Shelthorpe) | 22 | 26 | 12 | 16 | | | East Lindsey (Chapel St Leonards) | 100 | 25 | | | | | East Lothian (Preston, Seton & Gosford) | 39 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 31 | | Selby (Byram & Brotherton) | 44 | 26 | | 14 | |
Doylean Gibberish Index: Con 100% Lab 100% LD 100% Green 100% Yorkshire 100% |
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 21, 2022 0:52:06 GMT
A large swing to Labour and the highest Labour vote (as a %) that has ever been recorded in this ward. The Labour vote is actually higher than when we last held the ward in 2015. Bearing in mind that this is the kind of area that will have swung heavily to the Tories in 2019, not a bed result. Oh! It is very bed. Virtually chaise longue! If you can't win there this week you are an utter disgrace and a shambles. 19% turnout, therefore most were likely postal votes returned 10-14 days ago, Labour candidate from outside the Ward, and the resigning councillor is the daughter of a former Conservative councillor for the Ward. For once in your life stop being a twit. |
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Post by carlton43 on Jan 21, 2022 0:58:52 GMT
Oh! It is very bed. Virtually chaise longue! If you can't win there this week you are an utter disgrace and a shambles. 19% turnout, therefore most were likely postal votes returned 10-14 days ago, Labour candidate from outside the Ward, and the resigning councillor is the daughter of a former Conservative councillor for the Ward. For once in your life stop being a twit. It was a very bad result in an area that ought to be nailed on Labour. Labour should be cleaning up in conditions like this and yet their record all over for most of last year was frankly piss poor. |
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Post by minionofmidas on Jan 21, 2022 1:17:30 GMT
No matter how often the wife makes you sleep there, the chaiselongue is not a bed.
(Labour not winning places like that under this shambles of a Tory 'government' is distinctly underwhelming.)
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timmullen1
Labour
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 21, 2022 1:42:57 GMT
19% turnout, therefore most were likely postal votes returned 10-14 days ago, Labour candidate from outside the Ward, and the resigning councillor is the daughter of a former Conservative councillor for the Ward. For once in your life stop being a twit. It was a very bad result in an area that ought to be nailed on Labour. Labour should be cleaning up in conditions like this and yet their record all over for most of last year was frankly piss poor. 🥱 change the record, you’re becoming boring with your delusional rants. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 21, 2022 6:50:31 GMT
carlton43 is correct. This ward was one of only three in Selby district to give Labour a lead in 2015 and did so then by a clear margin. Somebody said this is their highest vote share in this ward, but that is presumably 'since 2015' as the current ward boundaries have only existed since then. Prior to that Labour used to win overwhelmingly in this area - 80-90% in the 1990s. I wouldn't read too much into it but it isn't other than a poor result for Labour
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 21, 2022 7:10:32 GMT
What are the chances we get the Scottish result before anyone finds out Chapel St Leonards?
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Post by batman on Jan 21, 2022 8:02:36 GMT
A large swing to Labour and the highest Labour vote (as a %) that has ever been recorded in this ward. The Labour vote is actually higher than when we last held the ward in 2015. Bearing in mind that this is the kind of area that will have swung heavily to the Tories in 2019, not a bed result. Oh! It is very bed. Virtually chaise longue! If you can't win there this week you are an utter disgrace and a shambles. brave words but that don't impress me much |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 21, 2022 9:03:17 GMT
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Post by froome on Jan 21, 2022 9:26:37 GMT
SELBY Byram and Brotherton ASHTON, Georgina (Conservative Party Candidate) 215 BURTON, Matthew Keir (Labour Party) 207 WATERS, Cherry Elizabeth (The Green Party) 25 I guess that's technically Con gain from YP. And while Labour might fulminate against the Greens for splitting the vote, perhaps they might have wished us to stand, as we tend to attract disaffected Tories in a way that the Greens never can and which are more difficult for Labour That is utter nonsense, as anyone who keeps an eye on by-election results will know. We are quite capable of attracting many disaffected Tory votes, and do so frequently. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jan 21, 2022 9:29:36 GMT
Perhaps someone (who currently has a working phone, unlike me!) could ring them up? |
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Post by owainsutton on Jan 21, 2022 9:37:48 GMT
I guess that's technically Con gain from YP. And while Labour might fulminate against the Greens for splitting the vote, perhaps they might have wished us to stand, as we tend to attract disaffected Tories in a way that the Greens never can and which are more difficult for Labour That is utter nonsense, as anyone who keeps an eye on by-election results will know. We are quite capable of attracting many disaffected Tory votes, and do so frequently. I get the feeling that we're going to hear a lot more of this nonsense as we continue to win more seats. They'll point at the Lib Dem vote and say "you should be so grateful we took those away from the Tories for you". |
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Post by casualobserver on Jan 21, 2022 10:20:47 GMT
carlton43 is correct. This ward was one of only three in Selby district to give Labour a lead in 2015 and did so then by a clear margin. Somebody said this is their highest vote share in this ward, but that is presumably 'since 2015' as the current ward boundaries have only existed since then. Prior to that Labour used to win overwhelmingly in this area - 80-90% in the 1990s. I wouldn't read too much into it but it isn't other than a poor result for Labour I, for one, had completely written off any chance on current circumstances of the Conservatives winning this seat. So I’m surprised and delighted and it’s a good result for the Conservatives. I expected one of the ‘non-Conservative’ candidates to win, but I see this result far more as being a better than expected one for the Conservatives rather than a bad one for Labour. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jan 21, 2022 10:24:47 GMT
Perhaps someone (who currently has a working phone, unlike me!) could ring them up? It would help if electoral services answered their bl00dy phone. |
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
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Post by timmullen1 on Jan 21, 2022 10:26:36 GMT
Perhaps someone (who currently has a working phone, unlike me!) could ring them up? It would help if electoral services answered their bl00dy phone. Day off in lieu as happened to listener eight years ago? |
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Post by andrewp on Jan 21, 2022 10:28:20 GMT
Every single member of the prediction competition predicted a Labour gain in Selby. There are obviously possible issues about herding there, but there was a general expectation that Labour would win.
Too early to tell but I do wonder if the current drop in the Conservative poll numbers may not be totally reflected in Conservative local election performances, as Conservative voters might differentiate between the national shambles and their local council/ councillors.
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Post by andrewp on Jan 21, 2022 10:38:27 GMT
They beat Chapel St Leonard’s
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