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Post by iainbhx on Jan 6, 2022 18:23:30 GMT
I note that a certain Serbian tennis player, having had his Australian visa revoked, is being held in a detention centre in Carlton. There was bound to be an Oz one. The Park Hotel. Not very good to be honest and like most quarantine centres has not had rave reviews. The Melbourne Carlton is fairly pleasant, walked through it several times. |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,151
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 6, 2022 19:21:33 GMT
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Post by phil156 on Jan 6, 2022 23:14:39 GMT
Isn't it boring waiting for 1 solitary result
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Post by batman on Jan 6, 2022 23:19:17 GMT
Isn't it boring waiting for 1 solitary result not if you have other stuff to do. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jan 6, 2022 23:29:22 GMT
GEDLING Cavendish
Andrew Mark Dunkin (Liberal Democrats) 344
John Charles Butterworth (Labour) 303
Darren Robert Maltby (Conservative) 250
Fran Loi (no description) 56
Jim Norris (Green Party) 26
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 6, 2022 23:30:58 GMT
" hit the fan"? What are you saying about Andrew's Previews? |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,151
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 6, 2022 23:32:38 GMT
" hit the fan"? What are you saying about Andrew's Previews? Oh, I say that about everything, nothing pejorative implied. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,688 
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Post by iain on Jan 6, 2022 23:32:55 GMT
GEDLING Cavendish Andrew Mark Dunkin (Liberal Democrats) 344 35.1% John Charles Butterworth (Labour) 303 30.9% Darren Robert Maltby (Conservative) 250 25.5% Fran Loi (no description) 56 5.7% Jim Norris (Green Party) 26 2.7% |
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 6, 2022 23:33:40 GMT
GEDLING Cavendish Andrew Mark Dunkin (Liberal Democrats) 344 John Charles Butterworth (Labour) 303 Darren Robert Maltby (Conservative) 250 Fran Loi (no description) 56 Jim Norris (Green Party) 26 Hmm- should have been more courageous with the prediction contest... |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,151
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Post by Chris from Brum on Jan 6, 2022 23:33:56 GMT
GEDLING Cavendish Andrew Mark Dunkin (Liberal Democrats) 344 John Charles Butterworth (Labour) 303 Darren Robert Maltby (Conservative) 250 Fran Loi (no description) 56 Jim Norris (Green Party) 26 That'll be a Lib Dem gain from Labour, then 😉 |
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Post by aidypiez on Jan 6, 2022 23:36:07 GMT
Got 35/2 on a lib dem win  |
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iang
Lib Dem
Posts: 1,508
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Post by iang on Jan 6, 2022 23:40:57 GMT
Always think it's significant if we are running an ex Councillor. Usually seems to mean we are competing seriously. Had heard on the grapevine that we were fighting this one properly
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Post by middleenglander on Jan 6, 2022 23:47:12 GMT
Gedling: Cavendish - Liberal Democrat gain from Labour| Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | | Liberal Democrat | 344 | 35.1% | +15.4% | +15.5% | +11.7% | +10.8% | | Labour | 303 | 30.9% | -24.6% | -25.7% | -4.5% | -6.2% | | Conservative | 250 | 25.5% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +3.2% | +4.2% | | No Description | 56 | 5.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 26 | 2.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | UKIP |
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| -18.7% | -17.2% | | Total votes | 979 |
| 77% | 79% | 36% | 38% |
Swing: Labour to Liberal Democrat 20% / 20½% since 2019 and 8% / 8½% since 2015 Council now: 28 Labour, 8 Conservative, 3 Liberal Democrat, 2 Independent
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 6, 2022 23:49:36 GMT
Always think it's significant if we are running an ex Councillor. Usually seems to mean we are competing seriously. Had heard on the grapevine that we were fighting this one properly Quite, but I was a bit worried about how poor the 2019 result had been, with the same candidate. I had wondered then, and maybe this suggests it might be so, we targetted Phoenix last time and decided not to work Cavendish on that occasion. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jan 7, 2022 1:29:07 GMT
GEDLING Cavendish Andrew Mark Dunkin (Liberal Democrats) 344 John Charles Butterworth (Labour) 303 Darren Robert Maltby (Conservative) 250 Fran Loi (no description) 56 Jim Norris (Green Party) 26 Hmm- should have been more courageous with the prediction contest... Me too, I contemplated going closer but never really contemplated a LD win. |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jan 7, 2022 1:30:02 GMT
Quite a reasonable Conservative result there too. Certainly better than most of their December results.
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 7, 2022 7:23:14 GMT
Quite a reasonable Conservative result there too. Certainly better than most of their December results. Yes, it looks as though we didn't manage to squeeze the Tory anti-Labour vote, and I didn't think we would win without doing so. Anyway, 100% of 2022 elections so far have ended in Lib Dem gains. |
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Post by andrew111 on Jan 7, 2022 7:36:27 GMT
Quite a reasonable Conservative result there too. Certainly better than most of their December results. Yes, it looks as though we didn't manage to squeeze the Tory anti-Labour vote, and I didn't think we would win without doing so. Anyway, 100% of 2022 elections so far have ended in Lib Dem gains. Happy New Year to all! |
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Post by andrew111 on Jan 7, 2022 7:43:14 GMT
Quite a reasonable Conservative result there too. Certainly better than most of their December results. Another interpretation would be "in a very marginal constituency the Tories tried hard to win but failed and came third" Given that the Tories nationally were on about 27% and plummeting in May 2019, you would expect their vote to hold up. Same arguments say it was pretty bad for Labour though. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jan 7, 2022 8:47:39 GMT
Reading the Mark Pack account of this result, he mentions two other factors nobody I think has mentioned here about the Lib Dem candidate- he was the only candidate of the five who lived in the ward, and he owned the local pub. Putting that on top of the the two things we had noted, the fact that he was the former councillor for the predecessor ward and that he had a lot of help (training, etc) from the party campaigns, how could anybody ever have doubted he would win?
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