North Shropshire - 16th December 2021

[0oh]

Suzie Akers Smith	Independent	0.1%
Andrea Christabel Allen	UKIP	0.3%
Boris Been Bunged	Rejoin EU	0.2%
Martin Edward Daubney	The Reclaim Party	0.2%
Russell Fraser Dean	The Party Party	0.1%
James Alexander Elliot	Heritage Party	0.2%
Howling Lord Hope	The Official Monster Raving Looney Party	0.3%
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse	Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative	0.1%
Yolande Ann Kenward	No Description	0.1%
Duncan Alistair Kerr	Green Party	2.6%
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan	Liberal Democrats	43.8%
Neil Shastri Hurst	The Conservative Party	42.1%
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley	Reform UK	0.9%
Ben Wood	Labour	9.0%

[Roger Harmer]

Suzie Akers Smith, - Independent 0.1%
Andrea Christabel Allen, - UKIP 0.5%
Boris Been Bunged, - Rejoin EU 0.1%
Martin Edward Daubney, - The Reclaim Party 1.2%
Russell Fraser Dean, - The Party Party 0.1%
James Alexander Elliot, - Heritage Party 0.2%
Howling Lord Hope, - The Official Monster Raving Looney Party 0.4%
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse, - Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative 0.3%
Yolande Ann Kenward, - No Description 0.1%
Duncan Alistair Kerr, - Green Party 4.0%
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan, - Liberal Democrats 49.4%
Neil Shastri Hurst, - The Conservative Party 31.5%
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley, - Reform UK 3.8%
Ben Wood, - Labour - 8.3%

[Tony Otim]

LD 41.2
Con 37.8
RefUK 7.8
Lab 6.3
Grn 3.4
UKIP 1.2
Freedom Alliance 0.6
Reclaim 0.4
OMRLP 0.4
Akers-Smith 0.3
Heritage 0.3
Rejoin 0.2
Party Party 0.1
Kenward 0.0 (ie less than 0.05%)

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Dec 16, 2021 9:03:46 GMT Defenestrated Fipplebox said:

22 entries accepted so far, all add up to 100%, competition remains open until 10pm tonight.

Now 28 valid entries, all those posted. Still time, just, if you want to enter.

[Arthur Figgis]

LD 42.7
Con 37.2
Lab 8.6
RefUK 5.8
Grn 3.0
UKIP 0.9
Akers-Smith 0.5
Freedom Alliance 0.4
Reclaim 0.3
OMRLP 0.2
Heritage 0.2
Rejoin 0.1
Party Party 0.1
Kenward 0.0

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Competition closed.

29 Entries. Thank you all for entering.

10 predict a Conservative win over Liberal Democrats ranging from 0.60% by DHAA to 11.00% by msc a range of 10.40%
19 predict a Liberal Democrat win over Conservatives ranging from 0.10% by YL & Bjornhatten to 14.60% by Johnloony a range of 14.50%

Prediction ranges
Suzie Akers Smith, - Independent 0 by nobodyimportant & RichardCromwell to 0.9 by Carlton43 a range of 0.9
Andrea Christabel Allen, - UKIP 0 by RichardCromwell to 2 by Dibs a range of 2
Boris Been Bunged, - Rejoin EU 0 by nobodyimportant to 8 by RichardCromwell a range of 8
Martin Edward Daubney, - The Reclaim Party 0 by RichardCromwell to 2.2 by Carlton43 a range of 2.2
Russell Fraser Dean, - The Party Party 0 by 4 predictors to 0.3 by ricmk & LDCaerdydd a range of 0.3
James Alexander Elliot, - Heritage Party 0 by 3 predictors to 0.4 by Johnloony & DHAA a range of 0.4
Howling Lord Hope, - The Official Monster Raving Looney Party 0.1 by Carlton43 & mc to 1.1 by Jamesdoyle a range of 1
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse, - Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative 0 by nobodyimportant to 0.9 by YL a range of 0.9
Yolande Ann Kenward, - No Description 0 by 5 predictors to 0.4 by No Offence Alan a range of 0.4
Duncan Alistair Kerr, - Green Party 1.5 by nobodyimportant to 11 by RichardCromwell a range of 9.5
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan, - Liberal Democrats 31 by RichardCromwell to 49.4 by RogerHamer a range of 18.4
Neil Shastri Hurst, - The Conservative Party 29 by agbutler to 44 by mc a range of 15
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley, - Reform UK 0 by Johnloony& RichardCromwell to 12 by Jamesdoyle& agbutler a range of 12
Ben Wood, - Labour 4.8 by ricmk to 19 by nobodyimportant & agbutler a range of 12.5

I will post the result of the competition in the morning.

[Tony Otim]

Dec 16, 2021 22:13:10 GMT Defenestrated Fipplebox said:

Competition closed.

29 Entries. Thank you all for entering.

10 predict a Conservative win over Liberal Democrats ranging from 0.60% by DHAA to 11.00% by msc a range of 10.40%
19 predict a Liberal Democrat win over Conservatives ranging from 0.10% by YL & Bjornhatten to 14.60% by Johnloony a range of 14.50%

Prediction ranges
Suzie Akers Smith, - Independent 0 by nobodyimportant & RichardCromwell to 0.9 by Carlton43 a range of 0.9
Andrea Christabel Allen, - UKIP 0 by RichardCromwell to 2 by Dibs a range of 2
Boris Been Bunged, - Rejoin EU 0 by nobodyimportant to 8 by RichardCromwell a range of 8
Martin Edward Daubney, - The Reclaim Party 0 by RichardCromwell to 2.2 by Carlton43 a range of 2.2
Russell Fraser Dean, - The Party Party 0 by 4 predictors to 0.3 by ricmk & LDCaerdydd a range of 0.3
James Alexander Elliot, - Heritage Party 0 by 3 predictors to 0.4 by Johnloony & DHAA a range of 0.4
Howling Lord Hope, - The Official Monster Raving Looney Party 0.1 by Carlton43 & mc to 1.1 by Jamesdoyle a range of 1
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse, - Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative 0 by nobodyimportant to 0.9 by YL a range of 0.9
Yolande Ann Kenward, - No Description 0 by 5 predictors to 0.4 by No Offence Alan a range of 0.4
Duncan Alistair Kerr, - Green Party 1.5 by nobodyimportant to 11 by RichardCromwell a range of 3.6
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan, - Liberal Democrats 31 by RichardCromwell to 49.4 by RogerHamer a range of 18.4
Neil Shastri Hurst, - The Conservative Party 29 by agbutler to 44 by mc a range of 15
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley, - Reform UK 0 by Johnloony& RichardCromwell to 12 by Jamesdoyle& agbutler a range of 12
Ben Wood, - Labour 4.8 by ricmk to 19 by nobodyimportant & agbutler a range of 12.5

I will post the result of the competition in the morning.

I think you might want to check your maths there

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Dec 16, 2021 22:31:23 GMT Tony Otim said:

Dec 16, 2021 22:13:10 GMT Defenestrated Fipplebox said:

Competition closed.

29 Entries. Thank you all for entering.

10 predict a Conservative win over Liberal Democrats ranging from 0.60% by DHAA to 11.00% by msc a range of 10.40%
19 predict a Liberal Democrat win over Conservatives ranging from 0.10% by YL & Bjornhatten to 14.60% by Johnloony a range of 14.50%

Prediction ranges
Suzie Akers Smith, - Independent 0 by nobodyimportant & RichardCromwell to 0.9 by Carlton43 a range of 0.9
Andrea Christabel Allen, - UKIP 0 by RichardCromwell to 2 by Dibs a range of 2
Boris Been Bunged, - Rejoin EU 0 by nobodyimportant to 8 by RichardCromwell a range of 8
Martin Edward Daubney, - The Reclaim Party 0 by RichardCromwell to 2.2 by Carlton43 a range of 2.2
Russell Fraser Dean, - The Party Party 0 by 4 predictors to 0.3 by ricmk & LDCaerdydd a range of 0.3
James Alexander Elliot, - Heritage Party 0 by 3 predictors to 0.4 by Johnloony & DHAA a range of 0.4
Howling Lord Hope, - The Official Monster Raving Looney Party 0.1 by Carlton43 & mc to 1.1 by Jamesdoyle a range of 1
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse, - Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative 0 by nobodyimportant to 0.9 by YL a range of 0.9
Yolande Ann Kenward, - No Description 0 by 5 predictors to 0.4 by No Offence Alan a range of 0.4
Duncan Alistair Kerr, - Green Party 1.5 by nobodyimportant to 11 by RichardCromwell a range of 3.6
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan, - Liberal Democrats 31 by RichardCromwell to 49.4 by RogerHamer a range of 18.4
Neil Shastri Hurst, - The Conservative Party 29 by agbutler to 44 by mc a range of 15
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley, - Reform UK 0 by Johnloony& RichardCromwell to 12 by Jamesdoyle& agbutler a range of 12
Ben Wood, - Labour 4.8 by ricmk to 19 by nobodyimportant & agbutler a range of 12.5

I will post the result of the competition in the morning.

I think you might want to check your maths there

With so many entries a mistake was bound to happen. 😁

[mboy]

Dec 10, 2021 8:24:12 GMT johnloony said:

LIb Dem 48.7
Conservative 34.1
Labour 9.6
Green 2.7
Reform 1.8
UKIP 0.7
Rejoin 0.6
Reclaim 0.5
Heritage 0.4
OMRLP 0.3
Freedom 0.2
Ind 0.2
Party 0.1
(-) 0.1

Wow

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

These are the percentages, rounded, used for the competition.

Suzie Akers Smith, - Independent 0.2
Andrea Christabel Allen, - UKIP 1
Boris Been Bunged, - Rejoin EU 0.2
Martin Edward Daubney, - The Reclaim Party 1
Russell Fraser Dean, - The Party Party 0
James Alexander Elliot, - Heritage Party 0.2
Howling Lord Hope, - The Official Monster Raving Looney Party 0.3
Earl Elvis Phillipe Jesse, - Freedom Alliance The Real Alternative 0.1
Yolande Ann Kenward, - Independent 0
Duncan Alistair Kerr, - Green Party 4.6
Helen Margaret Lillian Morgan, - Liberal Democrats 47.2
Neil Shastri Hurst, - The Conservative Party 31.6
Kirsty Rebecca Walmsley, - Reform UK 3.8
Ben Wood, - Labour 9.7

Even though they were just 1 vote apart Rejoin EU rounds up to 0.2 and Freedom Alliance rounds down to 0.1

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Congratulations to our podium trio who all scored under 10.

1st. Roger Harmer

2nd: andykernow

3rd: johnloony

RogerHamer 5.7
Andykernow 8.7
John Loony 9.7
peterl 12.5
ArthurFiggis 16.5
jamesmanc22 17.5
greenhert 17.9
dibs 18.1
mattb 18.1
No Offence Alan 20.5
YL 20.7
Froome 20.9
ajs 21.5
ricmk 21.7
Tony Otim 22.5
Bjornhatten 22.9
david 23.1
Jamesdoyle 24.9
DHAA 26.5
carlton43 26.7
LDCaerdydd 27.1
Pete Whitehead 27.5
Ooh 28.1
mysticrobin 31.1
bigfatron 32
agbutler 36.1
msc 38.2
nobodyimportant 39.6
RichardCromwell 48.9

Thanks to all for taking part.

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

For those who like the information these were the scores before penalties

RogerHamer 5.7
Andykernow 8.7
John Loony 9.7
peterl 12.5
ArthurFiggis 16.5
jamesmanc22 17.5
greenhert 17.9
dibs 18.1
mattb 18.1
No Offence Alan 20.5
YL 20.7
Froome 20.9
ajs 21.5
ricmk 21.7
Tony Otim 22.5
Bjornhatten 22.9
david 23.1
DHAA 23.1
carlton43 23.3
LDCaerdydd 23.7
Pete Whitehead 24.1
Ooh 24.7
Jamesdoyle 24.9
mysticrobin 26.7
bigfatron 28.6
msc 34.8
nobodyimportant 35.2
agbutler 36.1
RichardCromwell 48.9

[Richard Cromwell]

For the record, my "8" for Rejoin was the result of a stupid little compromise between my serious prediction (LDM win) and my "wouldn't it be funny?" prediction (Rejoin EU cost LDM the scalp).

[The Bishop]

I think that Roger Harmer was very close in Chesham/Amersham as well?

[Defenestrated Fipplebox]

Dec 17, 2021 11:14:01 GMT The Bishop said:

I think that Roger Harmer was very close in Chesham/Amersham as well?

Yes, 2nd in the Peterl run competition. No entry for bexley and old Sidcup competition. 

[Roger Harmer]

Dec 17, 2021 11:19:53 GMT Defenestrated Fipplebox said:

Dec 17, 2021 11:14:01 GMT The Bishop said:

I think that Roger Harmer was very close in Chesham/Amersham as well?

Yes, 2nd in the Peterl run competition. No entry for bexley and old Sidcup competition. 

Yes thanks, though to be fair I think johnloony's prediction was more impressive, having been made a week out.

[iang]

Dec 17, 2021 11:14:01 GMT The Bishop said:

I think that Roger Harmer was very close in Chesham/Amersham as well?

Where does Roger Harmer get his information?

[tonyhill]

Yes, respect to johnloony in particular.

[andrew111]

Dec 17, 2021 10:02:47 GMT Richard Cromwell said:

For the record, my "8" for Rejoin was the result of a stupid little compromise between my serious prediction (LDM win) and my "wouldn't it be funny?" prediction (Rejoin EU cost LDM the scalp).

If they got a vote for every tweet they might have got that! (although more in C&A, I would say)